Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: FC Augsburg vs Hamburger SV

FC Augsburg vs Hamburger SV prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Bundesliga 2025-11-22 14:30
FC Augsburg
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
66%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-1
Hamburger SV
Away

Prediction Summary

1
39%
X
23%
2
39%
Over 2.5
66%
BTTS Yes
67%
Confidence
Medium

Market Evidence

FC Augsburg (Home)

Goals scored / match1.47
Goals conceded / match1.65
Over 2.5 rate12%
BTTS rate59%

Hamburger SV (Away)

Goals scored / match0.88
Goals conceded / match1.88
Over 2.5 rate0%
BTTS rate59%

Team Form last 5 matches

FC Augsburg
LWWDW
Hamburger SV
DWWLL

Goals Comparison rate per team

82% +0.5 65%
53% +1.5 24%
12% +2.5 0%
0% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%
59% BTTS 59%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 66%. Model confidence is Medium.

FC Augsburg averages 1.47 goals scored at home, while Hamburger SV averages 0.88 goals scored away.

Model Strength
67%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
39%
Draw
23%
Away Win
39%
Over 2.5
66%
BTTS Yes
67%

Head-to-Head last 2

Apr 2026 FC Augsburg(A) 1 - 1 Hamburger SV Draw
Nov 2025 FC Augsburg 1 - 0 Hamburger SV Home

In the last 2 meetings, FC Augsburg won 1, drew 1 and lost 0.

Current Streaks

FC Augsburg — unbeaten run (home)3
FC Augsburg — scoring streak (home)9
Hamburger SV — winless run (away)1
Hamburger SV — clean sheets (away, last 5)0 of 5

1X2 Probability model

FC Augsburg Win (1)39%
Draw (X)23%
Hamburger SV Win (2)39%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

82% +0.5 65%
53% +1.5 24%
12% +2.5 0%
0% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

18% -0.5 35%
47% -1.5 76%
88% -2.5 100%
100% -3.5 100%
100% -4.5 100%

FC Augsburg vs Hamburger SV — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

FC Augsburg — scored (home)1.47
FC Augsburg — conceded (home)1.65
Hamburger SV — scored (away)0.88
Hamburger SV — conceded (away)1.88
Model expected combined goals3.4

Both Teams To Score

Yes67%
No33%

Rate per Team

FC Augsburg — BTTS matches (home)59%
Hamburger SV — BTTS matches (away)59%
Combined (simple average)59%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.597%
Under 4.53%
Over 5.588%
Under 5.512%
Over 6.582%
Under 6.518%
Over 7.571%
Under 7.529%
Over 8.559%
Under 8.541%
Over 9.550%
Under 9.550%
Over 10.538%
Under 10.562%
Expected total corners (blended average)10.00

Per-Team Corners own matches

FC Augsburg (home)

Corners for5.2
Corners against5.2

Hamburger SV (away)

Corners for3.6
Corners against5.9

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

FC Augsburg
15 16 10 5 13
Hamburger SV
10 13 13 6 11

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%
Under 0.50%
Over 1.597%
Under 1.53%
Over 2.591%
Under 2.59%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4.6

Yellow Cards per Team

FC Augsburg (home)

For2.5

Hamburger SV (away)

For2.4

Shots per Game

FC Augsburg — total shots (home)13.2
Hamburger SV — total shots (away)11.3

Shots on Target

FC Augsburg — on target (home)5.1
Hamburger SV — on target (away)4.4

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

FC Augsburg

Inside the box8.47
Outside the box4.71

Hamburger SV

Inside the box8.06
Outside the box4.24

Player Shots FC Augsburg

A. Claude-Maurice
Shots on Target/Game0.9
+0.5 On Target52%
+1.5 On Target24%
A. Kade
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target21%
M. Gregoritsch
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target35%
+1.5 On Target12%
M. Kömür
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target39%
+1.5 On Target14%
Rodrigo Ribeiro
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target36%
+1.5 On Target7%

Player Shots Hamburger SV

R. Königsdörffer
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target48%
+1.5 On Target12%
Fábio Vieira
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target52%
+1.5 On Target10%
J. Dompé
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target35%
+1.5 On Target20%
R. Philippe
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target32%
+1.5 On Target14%
A. Grønbæk
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target43%
+1.5 On Target14%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

FC Augsburg xG (home)1.37
Hamburger SV xG (away)1.22

Average Possession

43.97% Possession 45.35%

Team Comparison FC Augsburg vs Hamburger SV

78.29% Pass accuracy 80%
392.06 Passes per match 390.12
0.07 Goals prevented 0.02
11.03 Fouls committed 11.82
3.12 Goalkeeper saves 3.35
2.18 Offsides 1.79
15.88 Tackles per match 15

League average xG this season is 1.57 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

FC Augsburg vs Hamburger SV prediction analysis

Review FC Augsburg vs Hamburger SV with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Bundesliga.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Bundesliga
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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