What markets are included in the FC Augsburg vs Holstein Kiel prediction?

GoalStatsLab may analyze 1X2 outcome probabilities, Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams To Score, corners and cards where enough match data is available.

How is the FC Augsburg vs Holstein Kiel prediction calculated?

The prediction is based on available football data such as recent form, goals scored and conceded, home and away performance, league trends and selected market probabilities.

Are football predictions guaranteed?

No. Football predictions are statistical estimates and should be used for analysis, not as guaranteed betting outcomes or financial advice.

Prediction Analysis: FC Augsburg vs Holstein Kiel

FC Augsburg vs Holstein Kiel prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Bundesliga 2025-05-04 13:30

FC Augsburg

Home

Selected Prediction

Featured Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

Pick

Yes

Probability

56%

Confidence

Medium

Score

1-1

Holstein Kiel

Away

Prediction Summary

48%

24%

28%

Over 2.5

56%

BTTS Yes

58%

Confidence

Medium

Market Evidence

FC Augsburg (Home)

Goals scored / match1.06

Goals conceded / match1.18

Over 2.5 rate6%

BTTS rate53%

Holstein Kiel (Away)

Goals scored / match1.47

Goals conceded / match2.29

Over 2.5 rate12%

BTTS rate88%

Team Form last 5 matches

FC Augsburg

LLLLD

Holstein Kiel

LLWWD

Goals Comparison rate per team

65% +0.5 94%

35% +1.5 41%

6% +2.5 12%

0% +3.5 0%

0% +4.5 0%

53% BTTS 88%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 56%. Model confidence is Medium.

FC Augsburg averages 1.06 goals scored at home, while Holstein Kiel averages 1.47 goals scored away.

Model Strength

58%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win

48%

Draw

24%

Away Win

28%

Over 2.5

56%

BTTS Yes

58%

Head-to-Head last 2

May 2025 FC Augsburg 1 - 3 Holstein Kiel Away

Dec 2024 FC Augsburg(A) 1 - 5 Holstein Kiel Away

In the last 2 meetings, FC Augsburg won 0, drew 0 and lost 2.

Current Streaks

FC Augsburg — unbeaten run (home)0

FC Augsburg — scoring streak (home)2

Holstein Kiel — winless run (away)1

Holstein Kiel — clean sheets (away, last 5)0 of 5

1X2 Probability model

FC Augsburg Win (1)48%

Draw (X)24%

Holstein Kiel Win (2)28%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

65% +0.5 94%

35% +1.5 41%

6% +2.5 12%

0% +3.5 0%

0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

35% -0.5 6%

65% -1.5 59%

94% -2.5 88%

100% -3.5 100%

100% -4.5 100%

FC Augsburg vs Holstein Kiel — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

FC Augsburg — scored (home)1.06

FC Augsburg — conceded (home)1.18

Holstein Kiel — scored (away)1.47

Holstein Kiel — conceded (away)2.29

Model expected combined goals2.93

Both Teams To Score

Yes58%

No42%

Rate per Team

FC Augsburg — BTTS matches (home)53%

Holstein Kiel — BTTS matches (away)88%

Combined (simple average)70.5%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.597%

Under 4.53%

Over 5.594%

Under 5.56%

Over 6.588%

Under 6.512%

Over 7.577%

Under 7.523%

Over 8.559%

Under 8.541%

Over 9.556%

Under 9.544%

Over 10.550%

Under 10.550%

Expected total corners (blended average)10.60

Per-Team Corners own matches

FC Augsburg (home)

Corners for5.8

Corners against4.5

Holstein Kiel (away)

Corners for3.5

Corners against7.4

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

FC Augsburg

12 10 12 13 4

Holstein Kiel

16 15 12 7 8

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.597%

Under 0.53%

Over 1.594%

Under 1.56%

Over 2.576%

Under 2.524%

Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4.3

Yellow Cards per Team

FC Augsburg (home)

For2.4

Holstein Kiel (away)

For2.4

Shots per Game

FC Augsburg — total shots (home)14.3

Holstein Kiel — total shots (away)10.7

Shots on Target

FC Augsburg — on target (home)4.6

Holstein Kiel — on target (away)4.1

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

FC Augsburg

Inside the box7.56

Outside the box4.18

Holstein Kiel

Inside the box7.21

Outside the box3.76

Player Shots FC Augsburg

S. Mounié

Shots on Target/Game2

+0.5 On Target25%

+1.5 On Target13%

C. Zesiger

Shots on Target/Game2

+0.5 On Target7%

+1.5 On Target7%

P. Tietz

Shots on Target/Game1.3

+0.5 On Target44%

+1.5 On Target12%

A. Claude-Maurice

Shots on Target/Game1.3

+0.5 On Target61%

+1.5 On Target14%

A. Maier

Shots on Target/Game1.2

+0.5 On Target18%

+1.5 On Target4%

Player Shots Holstein Kiel

A. Kelati

Shots on Target/Game3

+0.5 On Target13%

+1.5 On Target13%

P. Harres

Shots on Target/Game1.7

+0.5 On Target38%

+1.5 On Target19%

S. Machino

Shots on Target/Game1.6

+0.5 On Target44%

+1.5 On Target16%

N. Remberg

Shots on Target/Game1.5

+0.5 On Target6%

+1.5 On Target3%

A. Bernhardsson

Shots on Target/Game1.4

+0.5 On Target53%

+1.5 On Target16%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

FC Augsburg xG (home)1.02

Holstein Kiel xG (away)1.18

Average Possession

43.94% Possession 43.65%

Team Comparison FC Augsburg vs Holstein Kiel

77.94% Pass accuracy 76.41%

396.15 Passes per match 370.29

0.15 Goals prevented -0.15

10.32 Fouls committed 11.97

3.15 Goalkeeper saves 3.59

1.74 Offsides 1.38

13.65 Tackles per match 15.97

League average xG this season is 1.46 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.

PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

FC Augsburg vs Holstein Kiel prediction analysis

Review FC Augsburg vs Holstein Kiel with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Bundesliga.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Bundesliga

DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics

Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators

AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights