Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: FC Augsburg vs Werder Bremen

FC Augsburg vs Werder Bremen prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

Back to Predictions
Bundesliga 2025-12-20 14:30
FC Augsburg
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
69%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-1
Werder Bremen
Away

Prediction Summary

1
39%
X
22%
2
39%
Over 2.5
69%
BTTS Yes
69%
Confidence
Medium

Market Evidence

FC Augsburg (Home)

Goals scored / match1.47
Goals conceded / match1.65
Over 2.5 rate12%
BTTS rate59%

Werder Bremen (Away)

Goals scored / match1.06
Goals conceded / match1.71
Over 2.5 rate12%
BTTS rate47%

Team Form last 5 matches

FC Augsburg
LWWDW
Werder Bremen
LLLDW

Goals Comparison rate per team

82% +0.5 59%
53% +1.5 24%
12% +2.5 12%
0% +3.5 12%
0% +4.5 0%
59% BTTS 47%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 69%. Model confidence is Medium.

FC Augsburg averages 1.47 goals scored at home, while Werder Bremen averages 1.06 goals scored away.

Model Strength
69%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
39%
Draw
22%
Away Win
39%
Over 2.5
69%
BTTS Yes
69%

Head-to-Head last 5

May 2026 FC Augsburg(A) 3 - 1 Werder Bremen Home
Dec 2025 FC Augsburg 0 - 0 Werder Bremen Draw
Jan 2025 FC Augsburg(A) 2 - 0 Werder Bremen Home
Aug 2024 FC Augsburg 2 - 2 Werder Bremen Draw
Apr 2024 FC Augsburg 0 - 3 Werder Bremen Away

In the last 5 meetings, FC Augsburg won 2, drew 2 and lost 1.

Current Streaks

FC Augsburg — unbeaten run (home)3
FC Augsburg — scoring streak (home)9
Werder Bremen — winless run (away)3
Werder Bremen — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5

1X2 Probability model

FC Augsburg Win (1)39%
Draw (X)22%
Werder Bremen Win (2)39%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

82% +0.5 59%
53% +1.5 24%
12% +2.5 12%
0% +3.5 12%
0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

18% -0.5 41%
47% -1.5 76%
88% -2.5 88%
100% -3.5 88%
100% -4.5 100%

FC Augsburg vs Werder Bremen — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

FC Augsburg — scored (home)1.47
FC Augsburg — conceded (home)1.65
Werder Bremen — scored (away)1.06
Werder Bremen — conceded (away)1.71
Model expected combined goals3.57

Both Teams To Score

Yes69%
No31%

Rate per Team

FC Augsburg — BTTS matches (home)59%
Werder Bremen — BTTS matches (away)47%
Combined (simple average)53%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.594%
Under 4.56%
Over 5.588%
Under 5.512%
Over 6.579%
Under 6.521%
Over 7.571%
Under 7.529%
Over 8.562%
Under 8.538%
Over 9.559%
Under 9.541%
Over 10.553%
Under 10.547%
Expected total corners (blended average)10.70

Per-Team Corners own matches

FC Augsburg (home)

Corners for5.2
Corners against5.2

Werder Bremen (away)

Corners for4.2
Corners against6.6

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

FC Augsburg
15 16 10 5 13
Werder Bremen
10 16 10 11 9

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%
Under 0.50%
Over 1.588%
Under 1.512%
Over 2.583%
Under 2.517%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4.2

Yellow Cards per Team

FC Augsburg (home)

For2.5

Werder Bremen (away)

For2.3

Shots per Game

FC Augsburg — total shots (home)13.2
Werder Bremen — total shots (away)10.8

Shots on Target

FC Augsburg — on target (home)5.1
Werder Bremen — on target (away)3.6

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

FC Augsburg

Inside the box8.47
Outside the box4.71

Werder Bremen

Inside the box8.09
Outside the box4.94

Player Shots FC Augsburg

A. Claude-Maurice
Shots on Target/Game0.9
+0.5 On Target52%
+1.5 On Target24%
A. Kade
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target21%
M. Gregoritsch
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target35%
+1.5 On Target12%
M. Kömür
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target39%
+1.5 On Target14%
Rodrigo Ribeiro
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target36%
+1.5 On Target7%

Player Shots Werder Bremen

J. Stage
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target52%
+1.5 On Target17%
J. Njinmah
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target45%
+1.5 On Target21%
R. Schmid
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target47%
+1.5 On Target12%
V. Boniface
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target45%
+1.5 On Target9%
S. Musah
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target38%
+1.5 On Target13%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

FC Augsburg xG (home)1.37
Werder Bremen xG (away)1.23

Average Possession

43.97% Possession 51.15%

Team Comparison FC Augsburg vs Werder Bremen

78.29% Pass accuracy 81.53%
392.06 Passes per match 480.41
0.07 Goals prevented 0.2
11.03 Fouls committed 9.91
3.12 Goalkeeper saves 3.26
2.18 Offsides 1.82
15.88 Tackles per match 17.12

League average xG this season is 1.57 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

FC Augsburg vs Werder Bremen prediction analysis

Review FC Augsburg vs Werder Bremen with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Bundesliga.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Bundesliga
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
Scroll to Top