Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: FC Basel 1893 vs FC Thun

FC Basel 1893 vs FC Thun prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Super League 2026-08-08 16:00
FC Basel 1893
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
55%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-1
FC Thun
Away

Prediction Summary

1
34%
X
25%
2
41%
Over 2.5
55%
BTTS Yes
58%
Confidence
Medium

Market Evidence

FC Basel 1893 (Home)

Goals scored / match1.53
Goals conceded / match1.11
Over 2.5 rate26%
BTTS rate63%

FC Thun (Away)

Goals scored / match1.9
Goals conceded / match1.2
Over 2.5 rate30%
BTTS rate70%

Team Form last 5 matches

FC Basel 1893
WLLLW
FC Thun
WDLLL

Goals Comparison rate per team

79% +0.5 90%
42% +1.5 60%
26% +2.5 30%
5% +3.5 10%
0% +4.5 0%
63% BTTS 70%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 55%. Model confidence is Medium.

FC Basel 1893 averages 1.53 goals scored at home, while FC Thun averages 1.9 goals scored away.

Model Strength
58%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
34%
Draw
25%
Away Win
41%
Over 2.5
55%
BTTS Yes
58%

Head-to-Head last 5

May 2026 FC Basel 1893 3 - 1 FC Thun Home
Apr 2026 FC Basel 1893(A) 1 - 3 FC Thun Away
Feb 2026 FC Basel 1893 1 - 2 FC Thun Away
Sep 2025 FC Basel 1893(A) 3 - 1 FC Thun Home
Jul 2020 FC Basel 1893(A) 0 - 0 FC Thun Draw

In the last 5 meetings, FC Basel 1893 won 2, drew 1 and lost 2.

Current Streaks

FC Basel 1893 — unbeaten run (home)0
FC Basel 1893 — scoring streak (home)2
FC Thun — winless run (away)0
FC Thun — clean sheets (away, last 5)0 of 5

1X2 Probability model

FC Basel 1893 Win (1)34%
Draw (X)25%
FC Thun Win (2)41%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

79% +0.5 90%
42% +1.5 60%
26% +2.5 30%
5% +3.5 10%
0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

21% -0.5 10%
58% -1.5 40%
74% -2.5 70%
95% -3.5 90%
100% -4.5 100%

FC Basel 1893 vs FC Thun — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

FC Basel 1893 — scored (home)1.53
FC Basel 1893 — conceded (home)1.11
FC Thun — scored (away)1.9
FC Thun — conceded (away)1.2
Model expected combined goals2.87

Both Teams To Score

Yes58%
No42%

Rate per Team

FC Basel 1893 — BTTS matches (home)63%
FC Thun — BTTS matches (away)70%
Combined (simple average)66.5%

Corners Line model prediction

Over 8.567%
Under 8.533%
Over 9.555%
Under 9.545%
Over 10.544%
Under 10.556%
Expected total corners (model prediction)10.20

Per-Team Corners own matches

FC Basel 1893 (home)

Corners for6.2
Corners against4.2

FC Thun (away)

Corners for5.2
Corners against4.4

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

FC Basel 1893
7 11 18 10 13
FC Thun
7 12 5 12 13

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%
Under 0.50%
Over 1.595%
Under 1.55%
Over 2.590%
Under 2.510%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4.8

Yellow Cards per Team

FC Basel 1893 (home)

For1.5

FC Thun (away)

For2.5

Shots Forecast model prediction

Match Total

Over 19.588%
Under 19.512%
Over 22.578%
Under 22.522%
Over 25.565%
Under 25.535%
Expected total shots29.26

FC Basel 1893

Shots Over 9.587%
Shots Over 11.574%
Shots Over 13.559%
Expected shots15.08
On Target Over 3.571%
On Target Over 4.555%
On Target Over 5.540%
Expected on target5.10

FC Thun

Shots Over 9.583%
Shots Over 11.569%
Shots Over 13.552%
Expected shots14.18
On Target Over 3.562%
On Target Over 4.545%
On Target Over 5.529%
Expected on target4.43

Shots per Game

FC Basel 1893 — total shots (home)16.1
FC Thun — total shots (away)16.9

Shots on Target

FC Basel 1893 — on target (home)5.7
FC Thun — on target (away)5.1

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

FC Basel 1893

Inside the box10.18
Outside the box5

FC Thun

Inside the box10.82
Outside the box6.21

Player Shots FC Basel 1893

P. Otele
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target65%
+1.5 On Target40%
Kevin Carlos
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target75%
+1.5 On Target25%
J. Duranville
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target25%
B. Traoré
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target60%
+1.5 On Target7%
X. Shaqiri
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target47%
+1.5 On Target12%

Player Shots FC Thun

E. Rastoder
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target56%
+1.5 On Target22%
L. Bertone
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target55%
+1.5 On Target18%
C. Ibayi
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target60%
+1.5 On Target7%
K. Imeri
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target43%
+1.5 On Target17%
E. Meichtry
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target37%
+1.5 On Target23%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

FC Basel 1893 xG (home)1.93
FC Thun xG (away)1.83

Average Possession

55.08% Possession 46.13%

Team Comparison FC Basel 1893 vs FC Thun

82.5% Pass accuracy 70.97%
449.82 Passes per match 318.97
-0.15 Goals prevented -0.05
10.34 Fouls committed 15.66
3.68 Goalkeeper saves 3.21
1.94 Offsides 2.34
16.82 Tackles per match 17.08

League average xG this season is 1.65 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

FC Basel 1893 vs FC Thun prediction and preview

Preview FC Basel 1893 vs FC Thun with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, recent form and key team performance data.

1X2 Over/Under 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Super League
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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