Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: FC Basel 1893 vs FC Zurich

FC Basel 1893 vs FC Zurich prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Super League 2025-10-29 19:30
FC Basel 1893
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
59%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-1
FC Zurich
Away

Prediction Summary

1
57%
X
22%
2
21%
Over 2.5
59%
BTTS Yes
57%
Confidence
Medium

Market Evidence

FC Basel 1893 (Home)

Goals scored / match1.53
Goals conceded / match1.11
Over 2.5 rate26%
BTTS rate63%

FC Zurich (Away)

Goals scored / match1.05
Goals conceded / match1.89
Over 2.5 rate5%
BTTS rate63%

Team Form last 5 matches

FC Basel 1893
LLLWL
FC Zurich
LLWDL

Goals Comparison rate per team

79% +0.5 63%
42% +1.5 37%
26% +2.5 5%
5% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%
63% BTTS 63%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 59%. Model confidence is Medium.

FC Basel 1893 averages 1.53 goals scored at home, while FC Zurich averages 1.05 goals scored away.

Model Strength
59%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
57%
Draw
22%
Away Win
21%
Over 2.5
59%
BTTS Yes
57%

Head-to-Head last 5

Feb 2026 FC Basel 1893 2 - 1 FC Zurich Home
Jan 2026 FC Basel 1893(A) 4 - 3 FC Zurich Home
Oct 2025 FC Basel 1893 2 - 0 FC Zurich Home
Apr 2025 FC Basel 1893(A) 4 - 0 FC Zurich Home
Feb 2025 FC Basel 1893(A) 1 - 0 FC Zurich Home

In the last 5 meetings, FC Basel 1893 won 5, drew 0 and lost 0.

Current Streaks

FC Basel 1893 — unbeaten run (home)0
FC Basel 1893 — scoring streak (home)2
FC Zurich — winless run (away)6
FC Zurich — clean sheets (away, last 5)0 of 5

1X2 Probability model

FC Basel 1893 Win (1)57%
Draw (X)22%
FC Zurich Win (2)21%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

79% +0.5 63%
42% +1.5 37%
26% +2.5 5%
5% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

21% -0.5 37%
58% -1.5 63%
74% -2.5 95%
95% -3.5 100%
100% -4.5 100%

FC Basel 1893 vs FC Zurich — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

FC Basel 1893 — scored (home)1.53
FC Basel 1893 — conceded (home)1.11
FC Zurich — scored (away)1.05
FC Zurich — conceded (away)1.89
Model expected combined goals3.05

Both Teams To Score

Yes57%
No43%

Rate per Team

FC Basel 1893 — BTTS matches (home)63%
FC Zurich — BTTS matches (away)63%
Combined (simple average)63%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.5100%
Under 4.50%
Over 5.5100%
Under 5.50%
Over 6.595%
Under 6.55%
Over 7.582%
Under 7.518%
Over 8.579%
Under 8.521%
Over 9.558%
Under 9.542%
Over 10.550%
Under 10.550%
Expected total corners (blended average)10.90

Per-Team Corners own matches

FC Basel 1893 (home)

Corners for6.2
Corners against4.2

FC Zurich (away)

Corners for4.6
Corners against6.9

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

FC Basel 1893
9 7 11 18 10
FC Zurich
9 9 10 15 14

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%
Under 0.50%
Over 1.595%
Under 1.55%
Over 2.582%
Under 2.518%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4.6

Yellow Cards per Team

FC Basel 1893 (home)

For1.5

FC Zurich (away)

For2.5

Shots per Game

FC Basel 1893 — total shots (home)16.1
FC Zurich — total shots (away)11.3

Shots on Target

FC Basel 1893 — on target (home)5.7
FC Zurich — on target (away)3.9

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

FC Basel 1893

Inside the box10.18
Outside the box5

FC Zurich

Inside the box8.58
Outside the box4.39

Player Shots FC Basel 1893

P. Otele
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target65%
+1.5 On Target40%
Kevin Carlos
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target75%
+1.5 On Target25%
J. Duranville
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target25%
B. Traoré
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target60%
+1.5 On Target7%
X. Shaqiri
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target47%
+1.5 On Target12%

Player Shots FC Zurich

S. Zuber
Shots on Target/Game1.2
+0.5 On Target72%
+1.5 On Target39%
P. Keny
Shots on Target/Game1.2
+0.5 On Target59%
+1.5 On Target34%
J. Markelo
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target57%
+1.5 On Target29%
M. Phaëton
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target60%
+1.5 On Target12%
D. Reverson
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target48%
+1.5 On Target7%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

FC Basel 1893 xG (home)1.93
FC Zurich xG (away)1.51

Average Possession

55.08% Possession 50.53%

Team Comparison FC Basel 1893 vs FC Zurich

82.5% Pass accuracy 74.97%
449.82 Passes per match 365.39
-0.15 Goals prevented -0.01
10.34 Fouls committed 14.26
3.68 Goalkeeper saves 3.5
1.94 Offsides 1.46
16.82 Tackles per match 16.66

League average xG this season is 1.65 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

FC Basel 1893 vs FC Zurich prediction analysis

Review FC Basel 1893 vs FC Zurich with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Super League.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Super League
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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