Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: FC Basel 1893 vs VfB Stuttgart

FC Basel 1893 vs VfB Stuttgart prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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UEFA Europa League 2025-10-02 19:00
FC Basel 1893
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
48%
Confidence
Low
Score
1-1
VfB Stuttgart
Away

Prediction Summary

1
43%
X
26%
2
31%
Under 2.5
52%
BTTS Yes
52%
Confidence
Low

Market Evidence

FC Basel 1893 (Home)

Goals scored / match1.5
Goals conceded / match1
Over 2.5 rate25%
BTTS rate50%

VfB Stuttgart (Away)

Goals scored / match1.33
Goals conceded / match1.33
Over 2.5 rate33%
BTTS rate17%

Team Form last 5 matches

FC Basel 1893
LLLLW
VfB Stuttgart
LLLWW

Goals Comparison rate per team

75% +0.5 33%
50% +1.5 33%
25% +2.5 33%
0% +3.5 33%
0% +4.5 0%
50% BTTS 17%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 48%. Model confidence is Low.

FC Basel 1893 averages 1.5 goals scored at home, while VfB Stuttgart averages 1.33 goals scored away.

Model Strength
52%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
43%
Draw
26%
Away Win
31%
Over 2.5
48%
BTTS Yes
52%

Head-to-Head last 1

Oct 2025 FC Basel 1893 2 - 0 VfB Stuttgart Home

In the last 1 meetings, FC Basel 1893 won 1, drew 0 and lost 0.

Current Streaks

FC Basel 1893 — unbeaten run (home)0
FC Basel 1893 — scoring streak (home)0
VfB Stuttgart — winless run (away)1
VfB Stuttgart — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5

1X2 Probability model

FC Basel 1893 Win (1)43%
Draw (X)26%
VfB Stuttgart Win (2)31%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

75% +0.5 33%
50% +1.5 33%
25% +2.5 33%
0% +3.5 33%
0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

25% -0.5 67%
50% -1.5 67%
75% -2.5 67%
100% -3.5 67%
100% -4.5 100%

FC Basel 1893 vs VfB Stuttgart — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

FC Basel 1893 — scored (home)1.5
FC Basel 1893 — conceded (home)1
VfB Stuttgart — scored (away)1.33
VfB Stuttgart — conceded (away)1.33
Model expected combined goals2.58

Both Teams To Score

Yes52%
No48%

Rate per Team

FC Basel 1893 — BTTS matches (home)50%
VfB Stuttgart — BTTS matches (away)17%
Combined (simple average)33.5%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.5100%
Under 4.50%
Over 5.5100%
Under 5.50%
Over 6.571%
Under 6.529%
Over 7.563%
Under 7.537%
Over 8.563%
Under 8.537%
Over 9.563%
Under 9.537%
Over 10.542%
Under 10.558%
Expected total corners (blended average)9.90

Per-Team Corners own matches

FC Basel 1893 (home)

Corners for4.3
Corners against6.3

VfB Stuttgart (away)

Corners for6.3
Corners against2.8

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

FC Basel 1893
13 8 6 10 13
VfB Stuttgart
12 6 20 4 15

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%
Under 0.50%
Over 1.592%
Under 1.58%
Over 2.592%
Under 2.58%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4.9

Yellow Cards per Team

FC Basel 1893 (home)

For2.3

VfB Stuttgart (away)

For2.7

Shots per Game

FC Basel 1893 — total shots (home)15.3
VfB Stuttgart — total shots (away)18.5

Shots on Target

FC Basel 1893 — on target (home)5.0
VfB Stuttgart — on target (away)5.7

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

FC Basel 1893

Inside the box8
Outside the box5.5

VfB Stuttgart

Inside the box11.83
Outside the box6.83

Player Shots FC Basel 1893

J. Agbonifo
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target60%
+1.5 On Target40%
X. Shaqiri
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target38%
+1.5 On Target13%
L. Leroy
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target63%
+1.5 On Target13%
J. Adjetey
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target0%
P. Otele
Shots on Target/Game0.4
+0.5 On Target43%
+1.5 On Target0%

Player Shots VfB Stuttgart

D. Undav
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target80%
+1.5 On Target50%
B. El Khannouss
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target64%
+1.5 On Target36%
J. Leweling
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target55%
+1.5 On Target9%
B. Bouanani
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target10%
José María Andrés Baixauli
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target44%
+1.5 On Target11%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

FC Basel 1893 xG (home)1.29
VfB Stuttgart xG (away)1.93

Average Possession

46.63% Possession 59.75%

Team Comparison FC Basel 1893 vs VfB Stuttgart

80.5% Pass accuracy 85.17%
417.75 Passes per match 521.83
-0.16 Goals prevented -0.04
13.25 Fouls committed 12.83
4.25 Goalkeeper saves 2.25
2 Offsides 1.5
18.88 Tackles per match 13.17

League average xG this season is 1.39 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

FC Basel 1893 vs VfB Stuttgart prediction analysis

Review FC Basel 1893 vs VfB Stuttgart with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from UEFA Europa League.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance UEFA Europa League
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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