Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: FC BW Linz vs Ried

FC BW Linz vs Ried prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Bundesliga 2025-08-23 15:00
FC BW Linz
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
55%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-1
Ried
Away

Prediction Summary

1
48%
X
24%
2
28%
Over 2.5
55%
BTTS Yes
57%
Confidence
Medium

Market Evidence

FC BW Linz (Home)

Goals scored / match1.75
Goals conceded / match1.44
Over 2.5 rate38%
BTTS rate38%

Ried (Away)

Goals scored / match1
Goals conceded / match1.59
Over 2.5 rate6%
BTTS rate53%

Team Form last 5 matches

FC BW Linz
LDLWW
Ried
LWWLL

Goals Comparison rate per team

69% +0.5 59%
56% +1.5 35%
38% +2.5 6%
6% +3.5 0%
6% +4.5 0%
38% BTTS 53%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 55%. Model confidence is Medium.

FC BW Linz averages 1.75 goals scored at home, while Ried averages 1 goals scored away.

Model Strength
57%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
48%
Draw
24%
Away Win
28%
Over 2.5
55%
BTTS Yes
57%

Head-to-Head last 5

May 2026 FC BW Linz(A) 0 - 2 Ried Away
Mar 2026 FC BW Linz 3 - 2 Ried Home
Nov 2025 FC BW Linz(A) 1 - 2 Ried Away
Aug 2025 FC BW Linz 0 - 2 Ried Away
Jun 2020 FC BW Linz(A) 3 - 1 Ried Home

In the last 5 meetings, FC BW Linz won 2, drew 0 and lost 3.

Current Streaks

FC BW Linz — unbeaten run (home)0
FC BW Linz — scoring streak (home)0
Ried — winless run (away)9
Ried — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5

1X2 Probability model

FC BW Linz Win (1)48%
Draw (X)24%
Ried Win (2)28%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

69% +0.5 59%
56% +1.5 35%
38% +2.5 6%
6% +3.5 0%
6% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

31% -0.5 41%
44% -1.5 65%
62% -2.5 94%
94% -3.5 100%
94% -4.5 100%

FC BW Linz vs Ried — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

FC BW Linz — scored (home)1.75
FC BW Linz — conceded (home)1.44
Ried — scored (away)1
Ried — conceded (away)1.59
Model expected combined goals2.89

Both Teams To Score

Yes57%
No43%

Rate per Team

FC BW Linz — BTTS matches (home)38%
Ried — BTTS matches (away)53%
Combined (simple average)45.5%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.5100%
Under 4.50%
Over 5.582%
Under 5.518%
Over 6.570%
Under 6.530%
Over 7.555%
Under 7.545%
Over 8.543%
Under 8.557%
Over 9.527%
Under 9.573%
Over 10.524%
Under 10.576%
Expected total corners (blended average)8.40

Per-Team Corners own matches

FC BW Linz (home)

Corners for4.6
Corners against3.6

Ried (away)

Corners for3.5
Corners against4.9

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

FC BW Linz
8 9 14 5 7
Ried
12 8 6 9 11

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.594%
Under 0.56%
Over 1.585%
Under 1.515%
Over 2.576%
Under 2.524%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4.4

Yellow Cards per Team

FC BW Linz (home)

For2.2

Ried (away)

For2.3

Shots per Game

FC BW Linz — total shots (home)13.9
Ried — total shots (away)10.4

Shots on Target

FC BW Linz — on target (home)4.3
Ried — on target (away)3.3

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

FC BW Linz

Inside the box7.94
Outside the box4.53

Ried

Inside the box7.83
Outside the box4.09

Player Shots FC BW Linz

S. Seidl
Shots on Target/Game0.9
+0.5 On Target45%
+1.5 On Target31%
J. Knollmüller
Shots on Target/Game0.9
+0.5 On Target43%
+1.5 On Target14%
Ronivaldo
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target53%
+1.5 On Target13%
S. Weissman
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target48%
+1.5 On Target19%
N. Maier
Shots on Target/Game0.4
+0.5 On Target24%
+1.5 On Target10%

Player Shots Ried

K. Mutandwa
Shots on Target/Game1.1
+0.5 On Target56%
+1.5 On Target28%
M. Große
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target38%
+1.5 On Target15%
A. Van Wyk
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target40%
+1.5 On Target13%
P. Kiedl
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target25%
+1.5 On Target20%
A. Bajić
Shots on Target/Game0.3
+0.5 On Target26%
+1.5 On Target6%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

FC BW Linz xG (home)1.37
Ried xG (away)1.36

Average Possession

49.94% Possession 49.26%

Team Comparison FC BW Linz vs Ried

71.16% Pass accuracy 73.34%
385.44 Passes per match 332.09
-0.34 Goals prevented -0
12.03 Fouls committed 11.74
2.41 Goalkeeper saves 2.91
1.55 Offsides 2.45
17.81 Tackles per match 14.54

League average xG this season is 1.34 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

FC BW Linz vs Ried prediction analysis

Review FC BW Linz vs Ried with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Bundesliga.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Bundesliga
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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