Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: FC BW Linz vs TSV Hartberg

FC BW Linz vs TSV Hartberg prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Bundesliga 2025-08-09 15:00
FC BW Linz
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
51%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-1
TSV Hartberg
Away

Prediction Summary

1
36%
X
26%
2
38%
Over 2.5
51%
BTTS Yes
55%
Confidence
Medium

Market Evidence

FC BW Linz (Home)

Goals scored / match1.75
Goals conceded / match1.44
Over 2.5 rate38%
BTTS rate38%

TSV Hartberg (Away)

Goals scored / match1.31
Goals conceded / match0.94
Over 2.5 rate19%
BTTS rate44%

Team Form last 5 matches

FC BW Linz
LDLWW
TSV Hartberg
WLLLW

Goals Comparison rate per team

69% +0.5 63%
56% +1.5 50%
38% +2.5 19%
6% +3.5 0%
6% +4.5 0%
38% BTTS 44%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 51%. Model confidence is Medium.

FC BW Linz averages 1.75 goals scored at home, while TSV Hartberg averages 1.31 goals scored away.

Model Strength
55%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
36%
Draw
26%
Away Win
38%
Over 2.5
51%
BTTS Yes
55%

Head-to-Head last 5

Mar 2026 FC BW Linz(A) 1 - 1 TSV Hartberg Draw
Oct 2025 FC BW Linz 1 - 1 TSV Hartberg Draw
Aug 2025 FC BW Linz 0 - 1 TSV Hartberg Away
Mar 2025 FC BW Linz 4 - 1 TSV Hartberg Home
Oct 2024 FC BW Linz(A) 1 - 2 TSV Hartberg Away

In the last 5 meetings, FC BW Linz won 1, drew 2 and lost 2.

Current Streaks

FC BW Linz — unbeaten run (home)0
FC BW Linz — scoring streak (home)0
TSV Hartberg — winless run (away)0
TSV Hartberg — clean sheets (away, last 5)3 of 5

1X2 Probability model

FC BW Linz Win (1)36%
Draw (X)26%
TSV Hartberg Win (2)38%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

69% +0.5 63%
56% +1.5 50%
38% +2.5 19%
6% +3.5 0%
6% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

31% -0.5 37%
44% -1.5 50%
62% -2.5 81%
94% -3.5 100%
94% -4.5 100%

FC BW Linz vs TSV Hartberg — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

FC BW Linz — scored (home)1.75
FC BW Linz — conceded (home)1.44
TSV Hartberg — scored (away)1.31
TSV Hartberg — conceded (away)0.94
Model expected combined goals2.72

Both Teams To Score

Yes55%
No45%

Rate per Team

FC BW Linz — BTTS matches (home)38%
TSV Hartberg — BTTS matches (away)44%
Combined (simple average)41%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.5100%
Under 4.50%
Over 5.588%
Under 5.512%
Over 6.582%
Under 6.518%
Over 7.569%
Under 7.531%
Over 8.557%
Under 8.543%
Over 9.547%
Under 9.553%
Over 10.538%
Under 10.562%
Expected total corners (blended average)9.60

Per-Team Corners own matches

FC BW Linz (home)

Corners for4.6
Corners against3.6

TSV Hartberg (away)

Corners for2.8
Corners against8.3

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

FC BW Linz
8 9 14 5 7
TSV Hartberg
12 8 8 9 15

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.597%
Under 0.53%
Over 1.591%
Under 1.59%
Over 2.575%
Under 2.525%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)3.8

Yellow Cards per Team

FC BW Linz (home)

For2.2

TSV Hartberg (away)

For1.4

Shots per Game

FC BW Linz — total shots (home)13.9
TSV Hartberg — total shots (away)8.6

Shots on Target

FC BW Linz — on target (home)4.3
TSV Hartberg — on target (away)3.2

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

FC BW Linz

Inside the box7.94
Outside the box4.53

TSV Hartberg

Inside the box5.5
Outside the box3.66

Player Shots FC BW Linz

S. Seidl
Shots on Target/Game0.9
+0.5 On Target45%
+1.5 On Target31%
J. Knollmüller
Shots on Target/Game0.9
+0.5 On Target43%
+1.5 On Target14%
Ronivaldo
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target53%
+1.5 On Target13%
S. Weissman
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target48%
+1.5 On Target19%
N. Maier
Shots on Target/Game0.4
+0.5 On Target24%
+1.5 On Target10%

Player Shots TSV Hartberg

E. Havel
Shots on Target/Game1.2
+0.5 On Target77%
+1.5 On Target23%
J. Heil
Shots on Target/Game0.4
+0.5 On Target37%
+1.5 On Target4%
D. Korherr
Shots on Target/Game0.3
+0.5 On Target17%
+1.5 On Target17%
C. Hoffmann
Shots on Target/Game0.3
+0.5 On Target29%
+1.5 On Target3%
J. Drew
Shots on Target/Game0.3
+0.5 On Target31%
+1.5 On Target0%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

FC BW Linz xG (home)1.37
TSV Hartberg xG (away)0.87

Average Possession

49.94% Possession 38.94%

Team Comparison FC BW Linz vs TSV Hartberg

71.16% Pass accuracy 72.47%
385.44 Passes per match 321.31
-0.34 Goals prevented 0.17
12.03 Fouls committed 10.94
2.41 Goalkeeper saves 2.81
1.55 Offsides 1.16
17.81 Tackles per match 15.94

League average xG this season is 1.34 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

FC BW Linz vs TSV Hartberg prediction analysis

Review FC BW Linz vs TSV Hartberg with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Bundesliga.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Bundesliga
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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