Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: FC Copenhagen vs Bayer Leverkusen

FC Copenhagen vs Bayer Leverkusen prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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UEFA Champions League 2025-09-18 16:45
FC Copenhagen
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
48%
Confidence
High
Score
1-0
Bayer Leverkusen
Away

Prediction Summary

1
71%
X
19%
2
10%
Under 2.5
52%
BTTS No
62%
Confidence
High

Market Evidence

FC Copenhagen (Home)

Goals scored / match2.43
Goals conceded / match1.29
Over 2.5 rate29%
BTTS rate57%

Bayer Leverkusen (Away)

Goals scored / match1.17
Goals conceded / match1
Over 2.5 rate0%
BTTS rate17%

Team Form last 5 matches

FC Copenhagen
LDWWL
Bayer Leverkusen
LDDWW

Goals Comparison rate per team

100% +0.5 67%
86% +1.5 50%
29% +2.5 0%
14% +3.5 0%
14% +4.5 0%
57% BTTS 17%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 48%. Model confidence is High.

FC Copenhagen averages 2.43 goals scored at home, while Bayer Leverkusen averages 1.17 goals scored away.

Model Strength
71%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
71%
Draw
19%
Away Win
10%
Over 2.5
48%
BTTS Yes
38%

Head-to-Head last 1

Sep 2025 FC Copenhagen 2 - 2 Bayer Leverkusen Draw

In the last 1 meetings, FC Copenhagen won 0, drew 1 and lost 0.

Current Streaks

FC Copenhagen — unbeaten run (home)2
FC Copenhagen — scoring streak (home)7
Bayer Leverkusen — winless run (away)1
Bayer Leverkusen — clean sheets (away, last 5)3 of 5

1X2 Probability model

FC Copenhagen Win (1)71%
Draw (X)19%
Bayer Leverkusen Win (2)10%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

100% +0.5 67%
86% +1.5 50%
29% +2.5 0%
14% +3.5 0%
14% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

0% -0.5 33%
14% -1.5 50%
71% -2.5 100%
86% -3.5 100%
86% -4.5 100%

FC Copenhagen vs Bayer Leverkusen — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

FC Copenhagen — scored (home)2.43
FC Copenhagen — conceded (home)1.29
Bayer Leverkusen — scored (away)1.17
Bayer Leverkusen — conceded (away)1
Model expected combined goals2.58

Both Teams To Score

Yes38%
No62%

Rate per Team

FC Copenhagen — BTTS matches (home)57%
Bayer Leverkusen — BTTS matches (away)17%
Combined (simple average)37%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.593%
Under 4.57%
Over 5.586%
Under 5.514%
Over 6.569%
Under 6.531%
Over 7.569%
Under 7.531%
Over 8.569%
Under 8.531%
Over 9.540%
Under 9.560%
Over 10.531%
Under 10.569%
Expected total corners (blended average)9.30

Per-Team Corners own matches

FC Copenhagen (home)

Corners for3.6
Corners against4.7

Bayer Leverkusen (away)

Corners for4.5
Corners against5.7

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

FC Copenhagen
9 5 10 12 11
Bayer Leverkusen
5 6 9 5 18

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%
Under 0.50%
Over 1.585%
Under 1.515%
Over 2.561%
Under 2.539%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)3.3

Yellow Cards per Team

FC Copenhagen (home)

For1.6

Bayer Leverkusen (away)

For1.7

Shots per Game

FC Copenhagen — total shots (home)12.1
Bayer Leverkusen — total shots (away)10.5

Shots on Target

FC Copenhagen — on target (home)6.3
Bayer Leverkusen — on target (away)3.7

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

FC Copenhagen

Inside the box6.64
Outside the box4.29

Bayer Leverkusen

Inside the box7.25
Outside the box3.75

Player Shots FC Copenhagen

M. Mattsson
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target60%
+1.5 On Target40%
V. Dadason
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target17%
Robert
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target55%
+1.5 On Target18%
Y. Moukoko
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target55%
+1.5 On Target27%
J. Larsson
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target14%

Player Shots Bayer Leverkusen

P. Schick
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target67%
+1.5 On Target22%
Álex Grimaldo
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target58%
+1.5 On Target8%
Christian Kofane
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target55%
+1.5 On Target0%
M. Terrier
Shots on Target/Game0.3
+0.5 On Target33%
+1.5 On Target0%
M. Tillman
Shots on Target/Game0.3
+0.5 On Target20%
+1.5 On Target10%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

FC Copenhagen xG (home)1.39
Bayer Leverkusen xG (away)1.38

Average Possession

46.14% Possession 52.25%

Team Comparison FC Copenhagen vs Bayer Leverkusen

80.36% Pass accuracy 86.75%
415.21 Passes per match 536
0.27 Goals prevented 0.2
14.93 Fouls committed 8.58
3.07 Goalkeeper saves 3.25
2 Offsides 1.3
16.93 Tackles per match 14.83

League average xG this season is 1.65 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

FC Copenhagen vs Bayer Leverkusen prediction analysis

Review FC Copenhagen vs Bayer Leverkusen with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from UEFA Champions League.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance UEFA Champions League
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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