Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: FC Copenhagen vs Borussia Dortmund

FC Copenhagen vs Borussia Dortmund prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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UEFA Champions League 2025-10-21 19:00
FC Copenhagen
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
79%
Confidence
High
Score
2-1
Borussia Dortmund
Away

Prediction Summary

1
72%
X
15%
2
13%
Over 2.5
79%
BTTS Yes
68%
Confidence
High

Market Evidence

FC Copenhagen (Home)

Goals scored / match2.43
Goals conceded / match1.29
Over 2.5 rate29%
BTTS rate57%

Borussia Dortmund (Away)

Goals scored / match2
Goals conceded / match3.2
Over 2.5 rate40%
BTTS rate80%

Team Form last 5 matches

FC Copenhagen
LDWWL
Borussia Dortmund
LWLLD

Goals Comparison rate per team

100% +0.5 80%
86% +1.5 40%
29% +2.5 40%
14% +3.5 40%
14% +4.5 0%
57% BTTS 80%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 79%. Model confidence is High.

FC Copenhagen averages 2.43 goals scored at home, while Borussia Dortmund averages 2 goals scored away.

Model Strength
79%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
72%
Draw
15%
Away Win
13%
Over 2.5
79%
BTTS Yes
68%

Head-to-Head last 3

Oct 2025 FC Copenhagen 2 - 4 Borussia Dortmund Away
Nov 2022 FC Copenhagen 1 - 1 Borussia Dortmund Draw
Sep 2022 FC Copenhagen(A) 0 - 3 Borussia Dortmund Away

In the last 3 meetings, FC Copenhagen won 0, drew 1 and lost 2.

Current Streaks

FC Copenhagen — unbeaten run (home)2
FC Copenhagen — scoring streak (home)7
Borussia Dortmund — winless run (away)3
Borussia Dortmund — clean sheets (away, last 5)0 of 5

1X2 Probability model

FC Copenhagen Win (1)72%
Draw (X)15%
Borussia Dortmund Win (2)13%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

100% +0.5 80%
86% +1.5 40%
29% +2.5 40%
14% +3.5 40%
14% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

0% -0.5 20%
14% -1.5 60%
71% -2.5 60%
86% -3.5 60%
86% -4.5 100%

FC Copenhagen vs Borussia Dortmund — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

FC Copenhagen — scored (home)2.43
FC Copenhagen — conceded (home)1.29
Borussia Dortmund — scored (away)2
Borussia Dortmund — conceded (away)3.2
Model expected combined goals4.23

Both Teams To Score

Yes68%
No32%

Rate per Team

FC Copenhagen — BTTS matches (home)57%
Borussia Dortmund — BTTS matches (away)80%
Combined (simple average)68.5%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.593%
Under 4.57%
Over 5.586%
Under 5.514%
Over 6.556%
Under 6.544%
Over 7.556%
Under 7.544%
Over 8.546%
Under 8.554%
Over 9.525%
Under 9.575%
Over 10.525%
Under 10.575%
Expected total corners (blended average)7.90

Per-Team Corners own matches

FC Copenhagen (home)

Corners for3.6
Corners against4.7

Borussia Dortmund (away)

Corners for3.2
Corners against4.2

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

FC Copenhagen
9 5 10 12 11
Borussia Dortmund
14 6 8 5 6

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%
Under 0.50%
Over 1.583%
Under 1.517%
Over 2.566%
Under 2.534%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)3.3

Yellow Cards per Team

FC Copenhagen (home)

For1.6

Borussia Dortmund (away)

For1.8

Shots per Game

FC Copenhagen — total shots (home)12.1
Borussia Dortmund — total shots (away)8.8

Shots on Target

FC Copenhagen — on target (home)6.3
Borussia Dortmund — on target (away)3.8

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

FC Copenhagen

Inside the box6.64
Outside the box4.29

Borussia Dortmund

Inside the box7.5
Outside the box3.5

Player Shots FC Copenhagen

M. Mattsson
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target60%
+1.5 On Target40%
V. Dadason
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target17%
Robert
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target55%
+1.5 On Target18%
Y. Moukoko
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target55%
+1.5 On Target27%
J. Larsson
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target14%

Player Shots Borussia Dortmund

S. Guirassy
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target70%
+1.5 On Target20%
A. Anselmino
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target67%
+1.5 On Target0%
K. Adeyemi
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target44%
+1.5 On Target11%
J. Brandt
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target33%
+1.5 On Target22%
M. Beier
Shots on Target/Game0.4
+0.5 On Target22%
+1.5 On Target11%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

FC Copenhagen xG (home)1.39
Borussia Dortmund xG (away)1.66

Average Possession

46.14% Possession 53.5%

Team Comparison FC Copenhagen vs Borussia Dortmund

80.36% Pass accuracy 84.3%
415.21 Passes per match 505
0.27 Goals prevented -0.33
14.93 Fouls committed 11.3
3.07 Goalkeeper saves 3.2
2 Offsides 0.67
16.93 Tackles per match 18.4

League average xG this season is 1.65 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

FC Copenhagen vs Borussia Dortmund prediction analysis

Review FC Copenhagen vs Borussia Dortmund with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from UEFA Champions League.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance UEFA Champions League
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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