Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: FC Copenhagen vs Malmo FF

FC Copenhagen vs Malmo FF prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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UEFA Champions League 2025-08-12 17:00
FC Copenhagen
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
79%
Confidence
High
Score
2-1
Malmo FF
Away

Prediction Summary

1
51%
X
20%
2
30%
Over 2.5
79%
BTTS Yes
76%
Confidence
High

Market Evidence

FC Copenhagen (Home)

Goals scored / match2.43
Goals conceded / match1.29
Over 2.5 rate29%
BTTS rate57%

Malmo FF (Away)

Goals scored / match2.33
Goals conceded / match2.33
Over 2.5 rate67%
BTTS rate67%

Team Form last 5 matches

FC Copenhagen
LDWWL
Malmo FF
LDWWW

Goals Comparison rate per team

100% +0.5 67%
86% +1.5 67%
29% +2.5 67%
14% +3.5 33%
14% +4.5 0%
57% BTTS 67%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 79%. Model confidence is High.

FC Copenhagen averages 2.43 goals scored at home, while Malmo FF averages 2.33 goals scored away.

Model Strength
79%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
51%
Draw
20%
Away Win
30%
Over 2.5
79%
BTTS Yes
76%

Head-to-Head last 4

Aug 2025 FC Copenhagen 5 - 0 Malmo FF Home
Aug 2025 FC Copenhagen(A) 0 - 0 Malmo FF Draw
Dec 2019 FC Copenhagen 0 - 1 Malmo FF Away
Oct 2019 FC Copenhagen(A) 1 - 1 Malmo FF Draw

In the last 4 meetings, FC Copenhagen won 1, drew 2 and lost 1.

Current Streaks

FC Copenhagen — unbeaten run (home)2
FC Copenhagen — scoring streak (home)7
Malmo FF — winless run (away)1
Malmo FF — clean sheets (away, last 3)0 of 3

1X2 Probability model

FC Copenhagen Win (1)51%
Draw (X)20%
Malmo FF Win (2)30%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

100% +0.5 67%
86% +1.5 67%
29% +2.5 67%
14% +3.5 33%
14% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

0% -0.5 33%
14% -1.5 33%
71% -2.5 33%
86% -3.5 67%
86% -4.5 100%

FC Copenhagen vs Malmo FF — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

FC Copenhagen — scored (home)2.43
FC Copenhagen — conceded (home)1.29
Malmo FF — scored (away)2.33
Malmo FF — conceded (away)2.33
Model expected combined goals4.19

Both Teams To Score

Yes76%
No24%

Rate per Team

FC Copenhagen — BTTS matches (home)57%
Malmo FF — BTTS matches (away)67%
Combined (simple average)62%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.543%
Under 4.557%
Over 5.536%
Under 5.564%
Over 6.536%
Under 6.564%
Over 7.536%
Under 7.564%
Over 8.536%
Under 8.564%
Over 9.515%
Under 9.585%
Over 10.515%
Under 10.585%
Expected total corners (blended average)4.90

Per-Team Corners own matches

FC Copenhagen (home)

Corners for3.6
Corners against4.7

Malmo FF (away)

Corners for1.0
Corners against2.0

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

FC Copenhagen
9 5 10 12 11
Malmo FF
0 7 3

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.575%
Under 0.525%
Over 1.568%
Under 1.532%
Over 2.536%
Under 2.564%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)2.3

Yellow Cards per Team

FC Copenhagen (home)

For1.6

Malmo FF (away)

For1.0

Shots per Game

FC Copenhagen — total shots (home)12.1
Malmo FF — total shots (away)7.0

Shots on Target

FC Copenhagen — on target (home)6.3
Malmo FF — on target (away)3.0

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

FC Copenhagen

Inside the box6.64
Outside the box4.29

Malmo FF

Inside the box4
Outside the box1.5

Player Shots FC Copenhagen

M. Mattsson
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target60%
+1.5 On Target40%
V. Dadason
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target17%
Robert
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target55%
+1.5 On Target18%
Y. Moukoko
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target55%
+1.5 On Target27%
J. Larsson
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target14%

Player Shots Malmo FF

Not enough dataNot enough player match statistics for this squad.

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

FC Copenhagen xG (home)1.39
Malmo FF xG (away)0

Average Possession

46.14% Possession 49%

Team Comparison FC Copenhagen vs Malmo FF

80.36% Pass accuracy 85%
415.21 Passes per match 490
0.27 Goals prevented 0
14.93 Fouls committed 6.5
3.07 Goalkeeper saves 2
2 Offsides 1
16.93 Tackles per match 9.5

League average xG this season is 1.65 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

FC Copenhagen vs Malmo FF prediction analysis

Review FC Copenhagen vs Malmo FF with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from UEFA Champions League.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance UEFA Champions League
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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