Prediction Analysis: FC Eindhoven vs MVV
FC Eindhoven vs MVV prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.
Eerste Divisie
2026-08-14
18:00
FC Eindhoven
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
59%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-1
MVV
Away
Prediction Summary
1
53%
X
23%
2
24%
Over 2.5
59%
BTTS Yes
59%
Confidence
Medium
Market Evidence
FC Eindhoven (Home)
Goals scored / match1.74
Goals conceded / match1.58
Over 2.5 rate32%
BTTS rate47%
MVV (Away)
Goals scored / match0.79
Goals conceded / match2
Over 2.5 rate5%
BTTS rate42%
Team Form last 5 matches
FC Eindhoven
WLLLD
MVV
LDDLL
Goals Comparison rate per team
79%
+0.5
47%
47%
+1.5
21%
32%
+2.5
5%
11%
+3.5
5%
5%
+4.5
0%
47%
BTTS
42%
Model Insight
The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 59%. Model confidence is Medium.
FC Eindhoven averages 1.74 goals scored at home, while MVV averages 0.79 goals scored away.
Model Strength
59%
Other Top Markets for This Match
Home Win
53%
Draw
23%
Away Win
24%
Over 2.5
59%
BTTS Yes
59%
Head-to-Head last 5
Jan 2026
FC Eindhoven
5 - 0
MVV
Home
Oct 2025
FC Eindhoven(A)
1 - 3
MVV
Away
Feb 2025
FC Eindhoven(A)
0 - 2
MVV
Away
Nov 2024
FC Eindhoven
1 - 1
MVV
Draw
Jan 2024
FC Eindhoven
0 - 3
MVV
Away
In the last 5 meetings, FC Eindhoven won 1, drew 1 and lost 3.
Current Streaks
FC Eindhoven — unbeaten run (home)1
FC Eindhoven — scoring streak (home)7
MVV — winless run (away)7
MVV — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5
1X2 Probability model
FC Eindhoven Win (1)53%
Draw (X)23%
MVV Win (2)24%
Goals Over rate per team, own matches
79%
+0.5
47%
47%
+1.5
21%
32%
+2.5
5%
11%
+3.5
5%
5%
+4.5
0%
Goals Under rate per team, own matches
21%
-0.5
53%
53%
-1.5
79%
68%
-2.5
95%
89%
-3.5
95%
95%
-4.5
100%
FC Eindhoven vs MVV — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.
Goal Averages per Team
FC Eindhoven — scored (home)1.74
FC Eindhoven — conceded (home)1.58
MVV — scored (away)0.79
MVV — conceded (away)2
Model expected combined goals3.05
Both Teams To Score
Yes59%
No41%
Rate per Team
FC Eindhoven — BTTS matches (home)47%
MVV — BTTS matches (away)42%
Combined (simple average)44.5%
Corners Line model prediction
Over 8.567%
Under 8.533%
Over 9.557%
Under 9.543%
Over 10.546%
Under 10.554%
Expected total corners (model prediction)10.50
Per-Team Corners own matches
FC Eindhoven (home)
Corners for3.7
Corners against5.4
MVV (away)
Corners for3.4
Corners against7.7
Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners
FC Eindhoven
8
6
10
14
6
MVV
15
12
8
10
11
Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate
Over 0.595%
Under 0.55%
Over 1.579%
Under 1.521%
Over 2.563%
Under 2.537%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)3
Yellow Cards per Team
FC Eindhoven (home)
For1.9
MVV (away)
For1.8
Shots Forecast model prediction
Match Total
Over 19.581%
Under 19.519%
Over 22.569%
Under 22.531%
Over 25.556%
Under 25.544%
Expected total shots27.49
FC Eindhoven
Shots Over 9.586%
Shots Over 11.574%
Shots Over 13.560%
Expected shots15.35
On Target Over 3.577%
On Target Over 4.563%
On Target Over 5.548%
Expected on target5.63
MVV
Shots Over 9.569%
Shots Over 11.552%
Shots Over 13.535%
Expected shots12.15
On Target Over 3.565%
On Target Over 4.548%
On Target Over 5.533%
Expected on target4.63
Shots per Game
FC Eindhoven — total shots (home)13.5
MVV — total shots (away)10.2
Shots on Target
FC Eindhoven — on target (home)5.1
MVV — on target (away)4.3
Shot Location Split avg per match, season
FC Eindhoven
Inside the box8.08
Outside the box6.21
MVV
Inside the box6.84
Outside the box4.34
Player Shots FC Eindhoven
T. Muller
Shots on Target/Game1.6
+0.5 On Target48%
+1.5 On Target26%
H. Deenen
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target29%
+1.5 On Target14%
S. Simons
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target42%
+1.5 On Target11%
S. Blummel
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target52%
+1.5 On Target15%
R. Janga
Shots on Target/Game1.2
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target9%
Player Shots MVV
M. Kuipers
Shots on Target/Game2
+0.5 On Target19%
+1.5 On Target13%
N. El Basri
Shots on Target/Game1.7
+0.5 On Target22%
+1.5 On Target11%
Camil Mmaee
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target67%
+1.5 On Target33%
S. Van Dessel
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target30%
+1.5 On Target8%
S. Braken
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target59%
+1.5 On Target21%
Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.
Expected Goals (xG)
FC Eindhoven xG (home)1.59
MVV xG (away)1.13
Average Possession
43.79%
Possession
43.68%
Team Comparison FC Eindhoven vs MVV
78.03%
Pass accuracy
78.02%
354.95
Passes per match
373.63
0
Goals prevented
0
12.76
Fouls committed
12.05
4.03
Goalkeeper saves
4.08
1.49
Offsides
1.91
16.66
Tackles per match
18.34
League average xG this season is 1.67 per team per match, for context.
Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS
FC Eindhoven vs MVV prediction and preview
Preview FC Eindhoven vs MVV with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, recent form and key team performance data.
1X2
Over/Under 2.5
BTTS
Recent form
Team performance
Eerste Divisie
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights