What markets are included in the FC Ingolstadt 04 vs SSV Ulm 1846 prediction?

GoalStatsLab may analyze 1X2 outcome probabilities, Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams To Score, corners and cards where enough match data is available.

How is the FC Ingolstadt 04 vs SSV Ulm 1846 prediction calculated?

The prediction is based on available football data such as recent form, goals scored and conceded, home and away performance, league trends and selected market probabilities.

Are football predictions guaranteed?

No. Football predictions are statistical estimates and should be used for analysis, not as guaranteed betting outcomes or financial advice.

Prediction Analysis: FC Ingolstadt 04 vs SSV Ulm 1846

FC Ingolstadt 04 vs SSV Ulm 1846 prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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3. Liga 2025-10-04 12:00

FC Ingolstadt 04

Home

Selected Prediction

Featured Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

Pick

Yes

Probability

54%

Confidence

Medium

Score

1-1

SSV Ulm 1846

Away

Prediction Summary

41%

25%

34%

Over 2.5

54%

BTTS Yes

57%

Confidence

Medium

Market Evidence

FC Ingolstadt 04 (Home)

Goals scored / match1.63

Goals conceded / match1.53

Over 2.5 rate26%

BTTS rate79%

SSV Ulm 1846 (Away)

Goals scored / match1.32

Goals conceded / match2.16

Over 2.5 rate11%

BTTS rate84%

Team Form last 5 matches

FC Ingolstadt 04

WWLWL

SSV Ulm 1846

LDLLW

Goals Comparison rate per team

79% +0.5 95%

42% +1.5 26%

26% +2.5 11%

11% +3.5 0%

5% +4.5 0%

79% BTTS 84%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 54%. Model confidence is Medium.

FC Ingolstadt 04 averages 1.63 goals scored at home, while SSV Ulm 1846 averages 1.32 goals scored away.

Model Strength

57%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win

41%

Draw

25%

Away Win

34%

Over 2.5

54%

BTTS Yes

57%

Head-to-Head last 2

Mar 2026 FC Ingolstadt 04(A) 3 - 1 SSV Ulm 1846 Home

Oct 2025 FC Ingolstadt 04 4 - 1 SSV Ulm 1846 Home

In the last 2 meetings, FC Ingolstadt 04 won 2, drew 0 and lost 0.

Current Streaks

FC Ingolstadt 04 — unbeaten run (home)1

FC Ingolstadt 04 — scoring streak (home)2

SSV Ulm 1846 — winless run (away)8

SSV Ulm 1846 — clean sheets (away, last 5)0 of 5

1X2 Probability model

FC Ingolstadt 04 Win (1)41%

Draw (X)25%

SSV Ulm 1846 Win (2)34%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

79% +0.5 95%

42% +1.5 26%

26% +2.5 11%

11% +3.5 0%

5% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

21% -0.5 5%

58% -1.5 74%

74% -2.5 89%

89% -3.5 100%

95% -4.5 100%

FC Ingolstadt 04 vs SSV Ulm 1846 — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

FC Ingolstadt 04 — scored (home)1.63

FC Ingolstadt 04 — conceded (home)1.53

SSV Ulm 1846 — scored (away)1.32

SSV Ulm 1846 — conceded (away)2.16

Model expected combined goals2.83

Both Teams To Score

Yes57%

No43%

Rate per Team

FC Ingolstadt 04 — BTTS matches (home)79%

SSV Ulm 1846 — BTTS matches (away)84%

Combined (simple average)81.5%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.583%

Under 4.517%

Over 5.583%

Under 5.517%

Over 6.580%

Under 6.520%

Over 7.570%

Under 7.530%

Over 8.562%

Under 8.538%

Over 9.556%

Under 9.544%

Over 10.542%

Under 10.558%

Expected total corners (blended average)9.30

Per-Team Corners own matches

FC Ingolstadt 04 (home)

Corners for4.4

Corners against5.5

SSV Ulm 1846 (away)

Corners for6.7

Corners against5.2

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

FC Ingolstadt 04

14 16 4 0 0

SSV Ulm 1846

10 10 0 0 0

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%

Under 0.50%

Over 1.590%

Under 1.510%

Over 2.577%

Under 2.523%

Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4.3

Yellow Cards per Team

FC Ingolstadt 04 (home)

For1.8

SSV Ulm 1846 (away)

For2.6

Shots per Game

FC Ingolstadt 04 — total shots (home)14.5

SSV Ulm 1846 — total shots (away)13.4

Shots on Target

FC Ingolstadt 04 — on target (home)4.8

SSV Ulm 1846 — on target (away)3.9

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

FC Ingolstadt 04

Inside the box9.04

Outside the box4.11

SSV Ulm 1846

Inside the box7.12

Outside the box5.44

Player Shots FC Ingolstadt 04

M. Costly

Shots on Target/Game1.3

+0.5 On Target84%

+1.5 On Target32%

Yann Sturm

Shots on Target/Game0.7

+0.5 On Target40%

+1.5 On Target25%

D. Kaygin

Shots on Target/Game0.5

+0.5 On Target41%

+1.5 On Target12%

F. Carlsen

Shots on Target/Game0.5

+0.5 On Target43%

+1.5 On Target10%

F. Christensen

Shots on Target/Game0.5

+0.5 On Target33%

+1.5 On Target17%

Player Shots SSV Ulm 1846

L. Dajaku

Shots on Target/Game0.8

+0.5 On Target64%

+1.5 On Target18%

E. Löder

Shots on Target/Game0.7

+0.5 On Target67%

+1.5 On Target0%

L. Röser

Shots on Target/Game0.6

+0.5 On Target47%

+1.5 On Target11%

E. Loder

Shots on Target/Game0.6

+0.5 On Target55%

+1.5 On Target0%

M. Brandt

Shots on Target/Game0.5

+0.5 On Target48%

+1.5 On Target5%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

FC Ingolstadt 04 xG (home)1.74

SSV Ulm 1846 xG (away)1.5

Average Possession

47.78% Possession 51.64%

Team Comparison FC Ingolstadt 04 vs SSV Ulm 1846

77.52% Pass accuracy 79.76%

406.19 Passes per match 424.56

0 Goals prevented 0

11.56 Fouls committed 13.04

4 Goalkeeper saves 2.92

2.81 Offsides 2.48

3.28 Tackles per match 2.96

League average xG this season is 1.6 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.

PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

FC Ingolstadt 04 vs SSV Ulm 1846 prediction analysis

Review FC Ingolstadt 04 vs SSV Ulm 1846 with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from 3. Liga.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance 3. Liga

DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics

Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators

AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights