Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: FC Ingolstadt 04 vs TSV 1860 München

FC Ingolstadt 04 vs TSV 1860 München prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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3. Liga 2025-12-13 13:00
FC Ingolstadt 04
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
52%
Confidence
Low
Score
1-1
TSV 1860 München
Away

Prediction Summary

1
52%
X
24%
2
24%
Over 2.5
52%
BTTS Yes
53%
Confidence
Low

Market Evidence

FC Ingolstadt 04 (Home)

Goals scored / match1.63
Goals conceded / match1.53
Over 2.5 rate26%
BTTS rate79%

TSV 1860 München (Away)

Goals scored / match1.05
Goals conceded / match1.42
Over 2.5 rate5%
BTTS rate47%

Team Form last 5 matches

FC Ingolstadt 04
WWLWL
TSV 1860 München
LLDWD

Goals Comparison rate per team

79% +0.5 68%
42% +1.5 21%
26% +2.5 5%
11% +3.5 5%
5% +4.5 5%
79% BTTS 47%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 52%. Model confidence is Low.

FC Ingolstadt 04 averages 1.63 goals scored at home, while TSV 1860 München averages 1.05 goals scored away.

Model Strength
53%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
52%
Draw
24%
Away Win
24%
Over 2.5
52%
BTTS Yes
53%

Head-to-Head last 2

May 2026 FC Ingolstadt 04(A) 2 - 1 TSV 1860 München Home
Dec 2025 FC Ingolstadt 04 1 - 2 TSV 1860 München Away

In the last 2 meetings, FC Ingolstadt 04 won 1, drew 0 and lost 1.

Current Streaks

FC Ingolstadt 04 — unbeaten run (home)1
FC Ingolstadt 04 — scoring streak (home)2
TSV 1860 München — winless run (away)5
TSV 1860 München — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5

1X2 Probability model

FC Ingolstadt 04 Win (1)52%
Draw (X)24%
TSV 1860 München Win (2)24%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

79% +0.5 68%
42% +1.5 21%
26% +2.5 5%
11% +3.5 5%
5% +4.5 5%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

21% -0.5 32%
58% -1.5 79%
74% -2.5 95%
89% -3.5 95%
95% -4.5 95%

FC Ingolstadt 04 vs TSV 1860 München — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

FC Ingolstadt 04 — scored (home)1.63
FC Ingolstadt 04 — conceded (home)1.53
TSV 1860 München — scored (away)1.05
TSV 1860 München — conceded (away)1.42
Model expected combined goals2.75

Both Teams To Score

Yes53%
No47%

Rate per Team

FC Ingolstadt 04 — BTTS matches (home)79%
TSV 1860 München — BTTS matches (away)47%
Combined (simple average)63%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.587%
Under 4.513%
Over 5.587%
Under 5.513%
Over 6.584%
Under 6.516%
Over 7.570%
Under 7.530%
Over 8.563%
Under 8.537%
Over 9.550%
Under 9.550%
Over 10.544%
Under 10.556%
Expected total corners (blended average)9.60

Per-Team Corners own matches

FC Ingolstadt 04 (home)

Corners for4.4
Corners against5.5

TSV 1860 München (away)

Corners for4.6
Corners against6.9

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

FC Ingolstadt 04
14 16 4 0 0
TSV 1860 München
13 10 0 0 0

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%
Under 0.50%
Over 1.590%
Under 1.510%
Over 2.577%
Under 2.523%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4.3

Yellow Cards per Team

FC Ingolstadt 04 (home)

For1.8

TSV 1860 München (away)

For2.5

Shots per Game

FC Ingolstadt 04 — total shots (home)14.5
TSV 1860 München — total shots (away)10.1

Shots on Target

FC Ingolstadt 04 — on target (home)4.8
TSV 1860 München — on target (away)3.4

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

FC Ingolstadt 04

Inside the box9.04
Outside the box4.11

TSV 1860 München

Inside the box8.19
Outside the box3

Player Shots FC Ingolstadt 04

M. Costly
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target84%
+1.5 On Target32%
Yann Sturm
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target40%
+1.5 On Target25%
D. Kaygin
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target41%
+1.5 On Target12%
F. Carlsen
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target43%
+1.5 On Target10%
F. Christensen
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target33%
+1.5 On Target17%

Player Shots TSV 1860 München

S. Haugen
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target52%
+1.5 On Target43%
K. Volland
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target43%
+1.5 On Target10%
F. Niederlechner
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target47%
+1.5 On Target7%
P. Hobsch
Shots on Target/Game0.4
+0.5 On Target36%
+1.5 On Target5%
M. Wolfram
Shots on Target/Game0.4
+0.5 On Target40%
+1.5 On Target0%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

FC Ingolstadt 04 xG (home)1.74
TSV 1860 München xG (away)1.76

Average Possession

47.78% Possession 46.88%

Team Comparison FC Ingolstadt 04 vs TSV 1860 München

77.52% Pass accuracy 78.96%
406.19 Passes per match 402.15
0 Goals prevented 0
11.56 Fouls committed 12.35
4 Goalkeeper saves 3.69
2.81 Offsides 2.62
3.28 Tackles per match 3.38

League average xG this season is 1.6 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

FC Ingolstadt 04 vs TSV 1860 München prediction analysis

Review FC Ingolstadt 04 vs TSV 1860 München with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from 3. Liga.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance 3. Liga
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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