Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: FC Juarez vs Club America

FC Juarez vs Club America prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Liga MX 2026-08-22 03:00
FC Juarez
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
BTTS Yes
Pick
Yes
Probability
59%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-1
Club America
Away

Prediction Summary

1
36%
X
25%
2
39%
Over 2.5
56%
BTTS Yes
59%
Confidence
Medium

Market Evidence

FC Juarez (Home)

Goals scored / match1.65
Goals conceded / match1.55
Over 2.5 rate20%
BTTS rate75%

Club America (Away)

Goals scored / match1.43
Goals conceded / match1.19
Over 2.5 rate24%
BTTS rate57%

Team Form last 5 matches

FC Juarez
LLWLL
Club America
DWDDL

Goals Comparison rate per team

85% +0.5 71%
55% +1.5 38%
20% +2.5 24%
5% +3.5 10%
0% +4.5 0%
75% BTTS 57%

Model Insight

The selected market is BTTS Yes with a probability of 59%. Model confidence is Medium.

FC Juarez averages 1.65 goals scored at home, while Club America averages 1.43 goals scored away.

Model Strength
59%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
36%
Draw
25%
Away Win
39%
Over 2.5
56%
BTTS Yes
59%

Head-to-Head last 5

Mar 2026 FC Juarez(A) 2 - 1 Club America Home
Jul 2025 FC Juarez 1 - 1 Club America Draw
Feb 2025 FC Juarez(A) 0 - 4 Club America Away
Jul 2024 FC Juarez 1 - 2 Club America Away
Jan 2024 FC Juarez 0 - 2 Club America Away

In the last 5 meetings, FC Juarez won 1, drew 1 and lost 3.

Current Streaks

FC Juarez — unbeaten run (home)0
FC Juarez — scoring streak (home)0
Club America — winless run (away)1
Club America — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5

1X2 Probability model

FC Juarez Win (1)36%
Draw (X)25%
Club America Win (2)39%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

85% +0.5 71%
55% +1.5 38%
20% +2.5 24%
5% +3.5 10%
0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

15% -0.5 29%
45% -1.5 62%
80% -2.5 76%
95% -3.5 90%
100% -4.5 100%

FC Juarez vs Club America — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

FC Juarez — scored (home)1.65
FC Juarez — conceded (home)1.55
Club America — scored (away)1.43
Club America — conceded (away)1.19
Model expected combined goals2.91

Both Teams To Score

Yes59%
No41%

Rate per Team

FC Juarez — BTTS matches (home)75%
Club America — BTTS matches (away)57%
Combined (simple average)66%

Corners Line model prediction

Over 8.559%
Under 8.541%
Over 9.548%
Under 9.552%
Over 10.539%
Under 10.561%
Expected total corners (model prediction)9.70

Per-Team Corners own matches

FC Juarez (home)

Corners for4.5
Corners against4.6

Club America (away)

Corners for5.6
Corners against3.7

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

FC Juarez
11 6 8 9 21
Club America
7 8 19 14 10

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.598%
Under 0.52%
Over 1.593%
Under 1.57%
Over 2.583%
Under 2.517%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4.4

Yellow Cards per Team

FC Juarez (home)

For2.3

Club America (away)

For1.8

Shots Forecast model prediction

Match Total

Over 19.572%
Under 19.528%
Over 22.558%
Under 22.542%
Over 25.544%
Under 25.556%
Expected total shots25.03

FC Juarez

Shots Over 9.572%
Shots Over 11.556%
Shots Over 13.540%
Expected shots12.75
On Target Over 3.556%
On Target Over 4.539%
On Target Over 5.525%
Expected on target4.13

Club America

Shots Over 9.569%
Shots Over 11.552%
Shots Over 13.537%
Expected shots12.28
On Target Over 3.559%
On Target Over 4.542%
On Target Over 5.528%
Expected on target4.30

Shots per Game

FC Juarez — total shots (home)13.4
Club America — total shots (away)12.6

Shots on Target

FC Juarez — on target (home)4.4
Club America — on target (away)3.9

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

FC Juarez

Inside the box7.32
Outside the box5.03

Club America

Inside the box8.24
Outside the box6.5

Player Shots FC Juarez

Madson
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target40%
+1.5 On Target12%
D. Valoyes
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target33%
+1.5 On Target17%
D. Villalpando
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target17%
+1.5 On Target8%
Ó. Estupiñán
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target52%
+1.5 On Target18%
R. Pizarro
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target20%
+1.5 On Target6%

Player Shots Club America

A. Cervantes
Shots on Target/Game2
+0.5 On Target5%
+1.5 On Target5%
B. Rodríguez
Shots on Target/Game1.9
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target22%
Raphael Veiga
Shots on Target/Game1.8
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target25%
R. Aguirre
Shots on Target/Game1.6
+0.5 On Target40%
+1.5 On Target15%
P. Salas
Shots on Target/Game1.6
+0.5 On Target24%
+1.5 On Target14%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

FC Juarez xG (home)1.29
Club America xG (away)1.39

Average Possession

48.21% Possession 56.76%

Team Comparison FC Juarez vs Club America

81.48% Pass accuracy 86.64%
367.05 Passes per match 470.21
-0.25 Goals prevented -0.04
12.76 Fouls committed 10.18
2.74 Goalkeeper saves 2.11
1.24 Offsides 1.39
13.79 Tackles per match 13.9

League average xG this season is 1.32 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

FC Juarez vs Club America prediction and preview

Preview FC Juarez vs Club America with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, recent form and key team performance data.

1X2 Over/Under 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Liga MX
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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