Prediction Analysis: FC Juarez vs U.N.A.M. - Pumas
FC Juarez vs U.N.A.M. - Pumas prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.
Liga MX
2026-08-01
03:00
FC Juarez
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
59%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-1
U.N.A.M. - Pumas
Away
Prediction Summary
1
38%
X
24%
2
38%
Over 2.5
59%
BTTS Yes
62%
Confidence
Medium
Market Evidence
FC Juarez (Home)
Goals scored / match1.65
Goals conceded / match1.55
Over 2.5 rate20%
BTTS rate75%
U.N.A.M. - Pumas (Away)
Goals scored / match1.55
Goals conceded / match1.41
Over 2.5 rate18%
BTTS rate64%
Team Form last 5 matches
FC Juarez
LLWLL
U.N.A.M. - Pumas
WLLDW
Goals Comparison rate per team
85%
+0.5
86%
55%
+1.5
45%
20%
+2.5
18%
5%
+3.5
5%
0%
+4.5
0%
75%
BTTS
64%
Model Insight
The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 59%. Model confidence is Medium.
FC Juarez averages 1.65 goals scored at home, while U.N.A.M. - Pumas averages 1.55 goals scored away.
Model Strength
62%
Other Top Markets for This Match
Home Win
38%
Draw
24%
Away Win
38%
Over 2.5
59%
BTTS Yes
62%
Head-to-Head last 5
Apr 2026
FC Juarez(A)
2 - 4
U.N.A.M. - Pumas
Away
Sep 2025
FC Juarez
3 - 1
U.N.A.M. - Pumas
Home
Apr 2025
FC Juarez
1 - 1
U.N.A.M. - Pumas
Draw
Apr 2025
FC Juarez(A)
0 - 0
U.N.A.M. - Pumas
Draw
Jul 2024
FC Juarez
1 - 2
U.N.A.M. - Pumas
Away
In the last 5 meetings, FC Juarez won 1, drew 2 and lost 2.
Current Streaks
FC Juarez — unbeaten run (home)0
FC Juarez — scoring streak (home)0
U.N.A.M. - Pumas — winless run (away)0
U.N.A.M. - Pumas — clean sheets (away, last 5)2 of 5
1X2 Probability model
FC Juarez Win (1)38%
Draw (X)24%
U.N.A.M. - Pumas Win (2)38%
Goals Over rate per team, own matches
85%
+0.5
86%
55%
+1.5
45%
20%
+2.5
18%
5%
+3.5
5%
0%
+4.5
0%
Goals Under rate per team, own matches
15%
-0.5
14%
45%
-1.5
55%
80%
-2.5
82%
95%
-3.5
95%
100%
-4.5
100%
FC Juarez vs U.N.A.M. - Pumas — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.
Goal Averages per Team
FC Juarez — scored (home)1.65
FC Juarez — conceded (home)1.55
U.N.A.M. - Pumas — scored (away)1.55
U.N.A.M. - Pumas — conceded (away)1.41
Model expected combined goals3.08
Both Teams To Score
Yes62%
No38%
Rate per Team
FC Juarez — BTTS matches (home)75%
U.N.A.M. - Pumas — BTTS matches (away)64%
Combined (simple average)69.5%
Corners Line model prediction
Over 8.559%
Under 8.541%
Over 9.548%
Under 9.552%
Over 10.539%
Under 10.561%
Expected total corners (model prediction)9.70
Per-Team Corners own matches
FC Juarez (home)
Corners for4.5
Corners against4.6
U.N.A.M. - Pumas (away)
Corners for3.2
Corners against5.9
Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners
FC Juarez
11
6
8
9
21
U.N.A.M. - Pumas
6
8
14
13
10
Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate
Over 0.598%
Under 0.52%
Over 1.593%
Under 1.57%
Over 2.581%
Under 2.519%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4.6
Yellow Cards per Team
FC Juarez (home)
For2.3
U.N.A.M. - Pumas (away)
For3.1
Shots Forecast model prediction
Match Total
Over 19.574%
Under 19.526%
Over 22.561%
Under 22.539%
Over 25.547%
Under 25.553%
Expected total shots25.69
FC Juarez
Shots Over 9.580%
Shots Over 11.566%
Shots Over 13.552%
Expected shots14.31
On Target Over 3.563%
On Target Over 4.546%
On Target Over 5.531%
Expected on target4.52
U.N.A.M. - Pumas
Shots Over 9.562%
Shots Over 11.545%
Shots Over 13.530%
Expected shots11.38
On Target Over 3.552%
On Target Over 4.535%
On Target Over 5.522%
Expected on target3.90
Shots per Game
FC Juarez — total shots (home)13.4
U.N.A.M. - Pumas — total shots (away)10.3
Shots on Target
FC Juarez — on target (home)4.4
U.N.A.M. - Pumas — on target (away)3.4
Shot Location Split avg per match, season
FC Juarez
Inside the box7.32
Outside the box5.03
U.N.A.M. - Pumas
Inside the box7.32
Outside the box4.39
Player Shots FC Juarez
Madson
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target40%
+1.5 On Target12%
D. Valoyes
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target33%
+1.5 On Target17%
D. Villalpando
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target17%
+1.5 On Target8%
Ó. Estupiñán
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target52%
+1.5 On Target18%
R. Pizarro
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target20%
+1.5 On Target6%
Player Shots U.N.A.M. - Pumas
R. Morales
Shots on Target/Game2
+0.5 On Target48%
+1.5 On Target28%
G. Martínez
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target39%
+1.5 On Target14%
J. Ruvalcaba
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target53%
+1.5 On Target26%
Á. Angulo
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target23%
+1.5 On Target8%
Rubén Duarte
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target11%
+1.5 On Target3%
Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.
Expected Goals (xG)
FC Juarez xG (home)1.29
U.N.A.M. - Pumas xG (away)1.46
Average Possession
48.21%
Possession
50.41%
Team Comparison FC Juarez vs U.N.A.M. - Pumas
81.48%
Pass accuracy
82.77%
367.05
Passes per match
416.46
-0.25
Goals prevented
-0.21
12.76
Fouls committed
12.39
2.74
Goalkeeper saves
3.51
1.24
Offsides
1.65
13.79
Tackles per match
13.19
League average xG this season is 1.32 per team per match, for context.
Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS
FC Juarez vs U.N.A.M. - Pumas prediction analysis
Review FC Juarez vs U.N.A.M. - Pumas with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Liga MX.
1X2
Over 2.5
BTTS
Recent form
Team performance
Liga MX
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights