Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: FC Lugano vs Beşiktaş

FC Lugano vs Beşiktaş prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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UEFA Europa League 2024-08-22 18:30
FC Lugano
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
76%
Confidence
High
Score
2-1
Beşiktaş
Away

Prediction Summary

1
49%
X
20%
2
30%
Over 2.5
76%
BTTS Yes
74%
Confidence
High

Market Evidence

FC Lugano (Home)

Goals scored / match1.67
Goals conceded / match2
Over 2.5 rate33%
BTTS rate67%

Beşiktaş (Away)

Goals scored / match1
Goals conceded / match2
Over 2.5 rate20%
BTTS rate40%

Team Form last 5 matches

FC Lugano
LDDWL
Beşiktaş
LWLLW

Goals Comparison rate per team

67% +0.5 60%
67% +1.5 20%
33% +2.5 20%
0% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%
67% BTTS 40%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 76%. Model confidence is High.

FC Lugano averages 1.67 goals scored at home, while Beşiktaş averages 1 goals scored away.

Model Strength
76%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
49%
Draw
20%
Away Win
30%
Over 2.5
76%
BTTS Yes
74%

Head-to-Head last 4

Aug 2024 FC Lugano(A) 1 - 5 Beşiktaş Away
Aug 2024 FC Lugano 3 - 3 Beşiktaş Draw
Dec 2023 FC Lugano 0 - 2 Beşiktaş Away
Oct 2023 FC Lugano(A) 3 - 2 Beşiktaş Home

In the last 4 meetings, FC Lugano won 1, drew 1 and lost 2.

Current Streaks

FC Lugano — unbeaten run (home)2
FC Lugano — scoring streak (home)2
Beşiktaş — winless run (away)2
Beşiktaş — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5

1X2 Probability model

FC Lugano Win (1)49%
Draw (X)20%
Beşiktaş Win (2)30%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

67% +0.5 60%
67% +1.5 20%
33% +2.5 20%
0% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

33% -0.5 40%
33% -1.5 80%
67% -2.5 80%
100% -3.5 100%
100% -4.5 100%

FC Lugano vs Beşiktaş — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

FC Lugano — scored (home)1.67
FC Lugano — conceded (home)2
Beşiktaş — scored (away)1
Beşiktaş — conceded (away)2
Model expected combined goals4

Both Teams To Score

Yes74%
No26%

Rate per Team

FC Lugano — BTTS matches (home)67%
Beşiktaş — BTTS matches (away)40%
Combined (simple average)53.5%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.557%
Under 4.543%
Over 5.557%
Under 5.543%
Over 6.557%
Under 6.543%
Over 7.557%
Under 7.543%
Over 8.547%
Under 8.553%
Over 9.530%
Under 9.570%
Over 10.520%
Under 10.580%
Expected total corners (blended average)6.60

Per-Team Corners own matches

FC Lugano (home)

Corners for4.0
Corners against5.0

Beşiktaş (away)

Corners for4.3
Corners against8.5

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

FC Lugano
9 0 0 0 9
Beşiktaş
5 9 17 5 16

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%
Under 0.50%
Over 1.5100%
Under 1.50%
Over 2.5100%
Under 2.50%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)5.1

Yellow Cards per Team

FC Lugano (home)

For2.0

Beşiktaş (away)

For3.2

Shots per Game

FC Lugano — total shots (home)11.0
Beşiktaş — total shots (away)10.0

Shots on Target

FC Lugano — on target (home)2.0
Beşiktaş — on target (away)3.0

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

FC Lugano

Inside the box0
Outside the box0

Beşiktaş

Inside the box8.13
Outside the box4.75

Player Shots FC Lugano

Not enough dataNot enough player match statistics for this squad.

Player Shots Beşiktaş

M. Rashica
Shots on Target/Game3
+0.5 On Target17%
+1.5 On Target17%
S. Kılıçsoy
Shots on Target/Game2
+0.5 On Target13%
+1.5 On Target13%
A. Masuaku
Shots on Target/Game2
+0.5 On Target29%
+1.5 On Target29%
Rafa
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target75%
+1.5 On Target25%
S. Uçan
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target43%
+1.5 On Target14%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

FC Lugano xG (home)0
Beşiktaş xG (away)1.62

Average Possession

56% Possession 51.56%

Team Comparison FC Lugano vs Beşiktaş

0% Pass accuracy 82.75%
0 Passes per match 481.38
- Goals prevented 0.33
10 Fouls committed 11.11
4 Goalkeeper saves 4.11
2 Offsides 1.25
- Tackles per match 19.63

League average xG this season is 1.47 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

FC Lugano vs Beşiktaş prediction analysis

Review FC Lugano vs Beşiktaş with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from UEFA Europa League.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance UEFA Europa League
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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