Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: FC Lugano vs BSC Young Boys

FC Lugano vs BSC Young Boys prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Super League 2025-12-21 15:30
FC Lugano
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
73%
Confidence
High
Score
2-1
BSC Young Boys
Away

Prediction Summary

1
51%
X
21%
2
29%
Over 2.5
73%
BTTS Yes
71%
Confidence
High

Market Evidence

FC Lugano (Home)

Goals scored / match1.89
Goals conceded / match1.05
Over 2.5 rate26%
BTTS rate68%

BSC Young Boys (Away)

Goals scored / match1.95
Goals conceded / match2.32
Over 2.5 rate32%
BTTS rate74%

Team Form last 5 matches

FC Lugano
WDLWW
BSC Young Boys
DWWLL

Goals Comparison rate per team

100% +0.5 79%
47% +1.5 47%
26% +2.5 32%
16% +3.5 16%
0% +4.5 5%
68% BTTS 74%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 73%. Model confidence is High.

FC Lugano averages 1.89 goals scored at home, while BSC Young Boys averages 1.95 goals scored away.

Model Strength
73%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
51%
Draw
21%
Away Win
29%
Over 2.5
73%
BTTS Yes
71%

Head-to-Head last 5

May 2026 FC Lugano 1 - 0 BSC Young Boys Home
Mar 2026 FC Lugano(A) 1 - 1 BSC Young Boys Draw
Dec 2025 FC Lugano 3 - 0 BSC Young Boys Home
Aug 2025 FC Lugano(A) 1 - 3 BSC Young Boys Away
May 2025 FC Lugano 1 - 1 BSC Young Boys Draw

In the last 5 meetings, FC Lugano won 2, drew 2 and lost 1.

Current Streaks

FC Lugano — unbeaten run (home)1
FC Lugano — scoring streak (home)19
BSC Young Boys — winless run (away)0
BSC Young Boys — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5

1X2 Probability model

FC Lugano Win (1)51%
Draw (X)21%
BSC Young Boys Win (2)29%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

100% +0.5 79%
47% +1.5 47%
26% +2.5 32%
16% +3.5 16%
0% +4.5 5%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

0% -0.5 21%
53% -1.5 53%
74% -2.5 68%
84% -3.5 84%
100% -4.5 95%

FC Lugano vs BSC Young Boys — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

FC Lugano — scored (home)1.89
FC Lugano — conceded (home)1.05
BSC Young Boys — scored (away)1.95
BSC Young Boys — conceded (away)2.32
Model expected combined goals3.78

Both Teams To Score

Yes71%
No29%

Rate per Team

FC Lugano — BTTS matches (home)68%
BSC Young Boys — BTTS matches (away)74%
Combined (simple average)71%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.5100%
Under 4.50%
Over 5.595%
Under 5.55%
Over 6.592%
Under 6.58%
Over 7.561%
Under 7.539%
Over 8.550%
Under 8.550%
Over 9.540%
Under 9.560%
Over 10.521%
Under 10.579%
Expected total corners (blended average)9.10

Per-Team Corners own matches

FC Lugano (home)

Corners for3.3
Corners against5.6

BSC Young Boys (away)

Corners for4.4
Corners against5.1

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

FC Lugano
12 9 8 8 10
BSC Young Boys
12 9 11 5 10

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%
Under 0.50%
Over 1.5100%
Under 1.50%
Over 2.585%
Under 2.515%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4.4

Yellow Cards per Team

FC Lugano (home)

For2.1

BSC Young Boys (away)

For2.3

Shots per Game

FC Lugano — total shots (home)11.8
BSC Young Boys — total shots (away)13.7

Shots on Target

FC Lugano — on target (home)4.9
BSC Young Boys — on target (away)4.5

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

FC Lugano

Inside the box8.74
Outside the box4.47

BSC Young Boys

Inside the box10
Outside the box5.34

Player Shots FC Lugano

K. Behrens
Shots on Target/Game0.9
+0.5 On Target62%
+1.5 On Target21%
Y. Cimignani
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target46%
+1.5 On Target11%
H. Delcroix
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target43%
+1.5 On Target7%
R. Steffen
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target48%
+1.5 On Target7%
Daniel Dos Santos
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target42%
+1.5 On Target6%

Player Shots BSC Young Boys

S. Essende
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target54%
+1.5 On Target23%
C. Bedia
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target61%
+1.5 On Target31%
C. Fassnacht
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target67%
+1.5 On Target21%
A. Sanches
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target54%
+1.5 On Target25%
A. Virginius
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target9%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

FC Lugano xG (home)1.53
BSC Young Boys xG (away)1.72

Average Possession

56.39% Possession 55.13%

Team Comparison FC Lugano vs BSC Young Boys

84.71% Pass accuracy 81.84%
476.45 Passes per match 439.63
0.14 Goals prevented 0.13
12.13 Fouls committed 12.11
3.61 Goalkeeper saves 3.13
2.17 Offsides 1.32
14.39 Tackles per match 15.95

League average xG this season is 1.65 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

FC Lugano vs BSC Young Boys prediction analysis

Review FC Lugano vs BSC Young Boys with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Super League.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Super League
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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