Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: FC Lugano vs FC Sion

FC Lugano vs FC Sion prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Super League 2025-11-29 17:00
FC Lugano
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
59%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-1
FC Sion
Away

Prediction Summary

1
40%
X
24%
2
36%
Over 2.5
59%
BTTS Yes
62%
Confidence
Medium

Market Evidence

FC Lugano (Home)

Goals scored / match1.89
Goals conceded / match1.05
Over 2.5 rate26%
BTTS rate68%

FC Sion (Away)

Goals scored / match1.79
Goals conceded / match1.37
Over 2.5 rate37%
BTTS rate63%

Team Form last 5 matches

FC Lugano
WDLWW
FC Sion
DDWWW

Goals Comparison rate per team

100% +0.5 84%
47% +1.5 53%
26% +2.5 37%
16% +3.5 5%
0% +4.5 0%
68% BTTS 63%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 59%. Model confidence is Medium.

FC Lugano averages 1.89 goals scored at home, while FC Sion averages 1.79 goals scored away.

Model Strength
62%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
40%
Draw
24%
Away Win
36%
Over 2.5
59%
BTTS Yes
62%

Head-to-Head last 5

May 2026 FC Lugano(A) 2 - 2 FC Sion Draw
Mar 2026 FC Lugano 2 - 1 FC Sion Home
Nov 2025 FC Lugano 1 - 1 FC Sion Draw
Aug 2025 FC Lugano(A) 0 - 4 FC Sion Away
Mar 2025 FC Lugano(A) 1 - 2 FC Sion Away

In the last 5 meetings, FC Lugano won 1, drew 2 and lost 2.

Current Streaks

FC Lugano — unbeaten run (home)1
FC Lugano — scoring streak (home)19
FC Sion — winless run (away)1
FC Sion — clean sheets (away, last 5)3 of 5

1X2 Probability model

FC Lugano Win (1)40%
Draw (X)24%
FC Sion Win (2)36%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

100% +0.5 84%
47% +1.5 53%
26% +2.5 37%
16% +3.5 5%
0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

0% -0.5 16%
53% -1.5 47%
74% -2.5 63%
84% -3.5 95%
100% -4.5 100%

FC Lugano vs FC Sion — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

FC Lugano — scored (home)1.89
FC Lugano — conceded (home)1.05
FC Sion — scored (away)1.79
FC Sion — conceded (away)1.37
Model expected combined goals3.07

Both Teams To Score

Yes62%
No38%

Rate per Team

FC Lugano — BTTS matches (home)68%
FC Sion — BTTS matches (away)63%
Combined (simple average)65.5%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.595%
Under 4.55%
Over 5.592%
Under 5.58%
Over 6.590%
Under 6.510%
Over 7.571%
Under 7.529%
Over 8.561%
Under 8.539%
Over 9.540%
Under 9.560%
Over 10.527%
Under 10.573%
Expected total corners (blended average)9.20

Per-Team Corners own matches

FC Lugano (home)

Corners for3.3
Corners against5.6

FC Sion (away)

Corners for5.2
Corners against4.5

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

FC Lugano
12 9 8 8 10
FC Sion
9 12 12 8 10

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%
Under 0.50%
Over 1.598%
Under 1.52%
Over 2.590%
Under 2.510%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4.6

Yellow Cards per Team

FC Lugano (home)

For2.1

FC Sion (away)

For2.2

Shots per Game

FC Lugano — total shots (home)11.8
FC Sion — total shots (away)13.0

Shots on Target

FC Lugano — on target (home)4.9
FC Sion — on target (away)4.2

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

FC Lugano

Inside the box8.74
Outside the box4.47

FC Sion

Inside the box9.58
Outside the box4.45

Player Shots FC Lugano

K. Behrens
Shots on Target/Game0.9
+0.5 On Target62%
+1.5 On Target21%
Y. Cimignani
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target46%
+1.5 On Target11%
H. Delcroix
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target43%
+1.5 On Target7%
R. Steffen
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target48%
+1.5 On Target7%
Daniel Dos Santos
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target42%
+1.5 On Target6%

Player Shots FC Sion

R. Nivokazi
Shots on Target/Game0.9
+0.5 On Target65%
+1.5 On Target22%
I. Chouaref
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target53%
+1.5 On Target13%
B. Kololli
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target43%
+1.5 On Target7%
T. Berdayes
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target37%
+1.5 On Target6%
F. Surdez
Shots on Target/Game0.4
+0.5 On Target38%
+1.5 On Target6%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

FC Lugano xG (home)1.53
FC Sion xG (away)1.67

Average Possession

56.39% Possession 51.03%

Team Comparison FC Lugano vs FC Sion

84.71% Pass accuracy 80.24%
476.45 Passes per match 410.55
0.14 Goals prevented 0.16
12.13 Fouls committed 12.55
3.61 Goalkeeper saves 3.24
2.17 Offsides 1.26
14.39 Tackles per match 17.66

League average xG this season is 1.65 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

FC Lugano vs FC Sion prediction analysis

Review FC Lugano vs FC Sion with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Super League.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Super League
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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