Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: FC Lugano vs FC Vaduz

FC Lugano vs FC Vaduz prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Super League 2026-07-26 14:30
FC Lugano
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
BTTS Yes
Pick
Yes
Probability
55%
Confidence
Low
Score
1-1
FC Vaduz
Away

Prediction Summary

1
53%
X
23%
2
23%
Over 2.5
54%
BTTS Yes
55%
Confidence
Low

Market Evidence

FC Lugano (Home)

Goals scored / match1.89
Goals conceded / match1.05
Over 2.5 rate26%
BTTS rate68%

FC Vaduz (Away)

Goals scored / match0
Goals conceded / match0
Over 2.5 rate0%
BTTS rate0%

Team Form last 5 matches

FC Lugano
WDLWW

Goals Comparison rate per team

100% +0.5 0%
47% +1.5 0%
26% +2.5 0%
16% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%
68% BTTS 0%

Model Insight

The selected market is BTTS Yes with a probability of 55%. Model confidence is Low.

FC Lugano averages 1.89 goals scored at home, while FC Vaduz averages 0 goals scored away.

Model Strength
55%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
53%
Draw
23%
Away Win
23%
Over 2.5
54%
BTTS Yes
55%

Head-to-Head last 5

Jul 2026 FC Lugano 1 - 2 FC Vaduz Away
May 2021 FC Lugano 0 - 2 FC Vaduz Away
Mar 2021 FC Lugano(A) 3 - 0 FC Vaduz Home
Feb 2021 FC Lugano 1 - 1 FC Vaduz Draw
Oct 2020 FC Lugano(A) 1 - 1 FC Vaduz Draw

In the last 5 meetings, FC Lugano won 1, drew 2 and lost 2.

Current Streaks

FC Lugano — unbeaten run (home)1
FC Lugano — scoring streak (home)19

1X2 Probability model

FC Lugano Win (1)53%
Draw (X)23%
FC Vaduz Win (2)23%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

100% +0.5 0%
47% +1.5 0%
26% +2.5 0%
16% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

0% -0.5 100%
53% -1.5 100%
74% -2.5 100%
84% -3.5 100%
100% -4.5 100%

FC Lugano vs FC Vaduz — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

FC Lugano — scored (home)1.89
FC Lugano — conceded (home)1.05
FC Vaduz — scored (away)0
FC Vaduz — conceded (away)0
Model expected combined goals2.84

Both Teams To Score

Yes55%
No45%

Rate per Team

FC Lugano — BTTS matches (home)68%
FC Vaduz — BTTS matches (away)0%
Combined (simple average)34%

Corners Line model prediction

Over 8.567%
Under 8.533%
Over 9.555%
Under 9.545%
Over 10.544%
Under 10.556%
Expected total corners (model prediction)10.20

Per-Team Corners own matches

FC Lugano (home)

Corners for3.3
Corners against5.6

FC Vaduz (away)

Corners for—
Corners against—

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

FC Lugano
12 9 8 8 10

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.550%
Under 0.550%
Over 1.550%
Under 1.550%
Over 2.548%
Under 2.552%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4.8

Yellow Cards per Team

FC Lugano (home)

For2.1

FC Vaduz (away)

For—

Shots Forecast model prediction

Match Total

Over 19.584%
Under 19.516%
Over 22.572%
Under 22.528%
Over 25.557%
Under 25.543%
Expected total shots27.49

FC Lugano

Shots Over 9.582%
Shots Over 11.567%
Shots Over 13.550%
Expected shots13.91
On Target Over 3.572%
On Target Over 4.557%
On Target Over 5.541%
Expected on target5.19

FC Vaduz

Shots Over 9.580%
Shots Over 11.564%
Shots Over 13.547%
Expected shots13.58
On Target Over 3.565%
On Target Over 4.548%
On Target Over 5.532%
Expected on target4.62

Shots per Game

FC Lugano — total shots (home)11.8
FC Vaduz — total shots (away)—

Shots on Target

FC Lugano — on target (home)4.9
FC Vaduz — on target (away)—

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

FC Lugano

Inside the box8.74
Outside the box4.47

FC Vaduz

Inside the box-
Outside the box-

Player Shots FC Lugano

K. Behrens
Shots on Target/Game0.9
+0.5 On Target62%
+1.5 On Target21%
Y. Cimignani
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target46%
+1.5 On Target11%
H. Delcroix
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target43%
+1.5 On Target7%
R. Steffen
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target48%
+1.5 On Target7%
Daniel Dos Santos
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target42%
+1.5 On Target6%

Player Shots FC Vaduz

Not enough dataNot enough player match statistics for this squad.

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

FC Lugano xG (home)1.53
FC Vaduz xG (away)-

Average Possession

56.39% Possession -%

Team Comparison FC Lugano vs FC Vaduz

84.71% Pass accuracy 0%
476.45 Passes per match -
0.14 Goals prevented -
12.13 Fouls committed -
3.61 Goalkeeper saves -
2.17 Offsides -
14.39 Tackles per match -

League average xG this season is 1.65 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

FC Lugano vs FC Vaduz prediction analysis

Review FC Lugano vs FC Vaduz with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Super League.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Super League
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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