Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: FC Lugano vs Servette FC

FC Lugano vs Servette FC prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Super League 2025-12-14 15:30
FC Lugano
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
59%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-1
Servette FC
Away

Prediction Summary

1
45%
X
24%
2
31%
Over 2.5
59%
BTTS Yes
61%
Confidence
Medium

Market Evidence

FC Lugano (Home)

Goals scored / match1.89
Goals conceded / match1.05
Over 2.5 rate26%
BTTS rate68%

Servette FC (Away)

Goals scored / match1.79
Goals conceded / match1.79
Over 2.5 rate21%
BTTS rate79%

Team Form last 5 matches

FC Lugano
WDLWW
Servette FC
WWDWW

Goals Comparison rate per team

100% +0.5 100%
47% +1.5 53%
26% +2.5 21%
16% +3.5 5%
0% +4.5 0%
68% BTTS 79%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 59%. Model confidence is Medium.

FC Lugano averages 1.89 goals scored at home, while Servette FC averages 1.79 goals scored away.

Model Strength
61%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
45%
Draw
24%
Away Win
31%
Over 2.5
59%
BTTS Yes
61%

Head-to-Head last 5

Feb 2026 FC Lugano 1 - 1 Servette FC Draw
Dec 2025 FC Lugano 4 - 2 Servette FC Home
Oct 2025 FC Lugano(A) 1 - 2 Servette FC Away
May 2025 FC Lugano(A) 1 - 4 Servette FC Away
Mar 2025 FC Lugano 0 - 2 Servette FC Away

In the last 5 meetings, FC Lugano won 1, drew 1 and lost 3.

Current Streaks

FC Lugano — unbeaten run (home)1
FC Lugano — scoring streak (home)19
Servette FC — winless run (away)0
Servette FC — clean sheets (away, last 5)2 of 5

1X2 Probability model

FC Lugano Win (1)45%
Draw (X)24%
Servette FC Win (2)31%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

100% +0.5 100%
47% +1.5 53%
26% +2.5 21%
16% +3.5 5%
0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

0% -0.5 0%
53% -1.5 47%
74% -2.5 79%
84% -3.5 95%
100% -4.5 100%

FC Lugano vs Servette FC — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

FC Lugano — scored (home)1.89
FC Lugano — conceded (home)1.05
Servette FC — scored (away)1.79
Servette FC — conceded (away)1.79
Model expected combined goals3.06

Both Teams To Score

Yes61%
No39%

Rate per Team

FC Lugano — BTTS matches (home)68%
Servette FC — BTTS matches (away)79%
Combined (simple average)73.5%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.5100%
Under 4.50%
Over 5.598%
Under 5.52%
Over 6.592%
Under 6.58%
Over 7.574%
Under 7.526%
Over 8.558%
Under 8.542%
Over 9.545%
Under 9.555%
Over 10.529%
Under 10.571%
Expected total corners (blended average)9.60

Per-Team Corners own matches

FC Lugano (home)

Corners for3.3
Corners against5.6

Servette FC (away)

Corners for5.6
Corners against4.7

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

FC Lugano
12 9 8 8 10
Servette FC
8 5 8 11 14

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%
Under 0.50%
Over 1.5100%
Under 1.50%
Over 2.595%
Under 2.55%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4.5

Yellow Cards per Team

FC Lugano (home)

For2.1

Servette FC (away)

For2.3

Shots per Game

FC Lugano — total shots (home)11.8
Servette FC — total shots (away)13.5

Shots on Target

FC Lugano — on target (home)4.9
Servette FC — on target (away)4.5

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

FC Lugano

Inside the box8.74
Outside the box4.47

Servette FC

Inside the box10.05
Outside the box3.71

Player Shots FC Lugano

K. Behrens
Shots on Target/Game0.9
+0.5 On Target62%
+1.5 On Target21%
Y. Cimignani
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target46%
+1.5 On Target11%
H. Delcroix
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target43%
+1.5 On Target7%
R. Steffen
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target48%
+1.5 On Target7%
Daniel Dos Santos
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target42%
+1.5 On Target6%

Player Shots Servette FC

J. Kadile
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target69%
+1.5 On Target46%
A. Antunes
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target33%
M. Stevanović
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target49%
+1.5 On Target24%
F. Ayé
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target54%
+1.5 On Target19%
Keyan Varela
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target43%
+1.5 On Target29%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

FC Lugano xG (home)1.53
Servette FC xG (away)1.69

Average Possession

56.39% Possession 51.79%

Team Comparison FC Lugano vs Servette FC

84.71% Pass accuracy 79.76%
476.45 Passes per match 431.37
0.14 Goals prevented -0.31
12.13 Fouls committed 12.68
3.61 Goalkeeper saves 2.61
2.17 Offsides 1.29
14.39 Tackles per match 17.84

League average xG this season is 1.65 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

FC Lugano vs Servette FC prediction analysis

Review FC Lugano vs Servette FC with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Super League.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Super League
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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