Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: FC Luzern vs FC Winterthur

FC Luzern vs FC Winterthur prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Super League 2025-11-29 19:30
FC Luzern
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
77%
Confidence
High
Score
2-1
FC Winterthur
Away

Prediction Summary

1
74%
X
14%
2
12%
Over 2.5
77%
BTTS Yes
64%
Confidence
High

Market Evidence

FC Luzern (Home)

Goals scored / match2.21
Goals conceded / match2
Over 2.5 rate32%
BTTS rate84%

FC Winterthur (Away)

Goals scored / match1.11
Goals conceded / match3
Over 2.5 rate11%
BTTS rate63%

Team Form last 5 matches

FC Luzern
WWDWW
FC Winterthur
LLWDL

Goals Comparison rate per team

100% +0.5 63%
58% +1.5 37%
32% +2.5 11%
21% +3.5 0%
5% +4.5 0%
84% BTTS 63%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 77%. Model confidence is High.

FC Luzern averages 2.21 goals scored at home, while FC Winterthur averages 1.11 goals scored away.

Model Strength
77%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
74%
Draw
14%
Away Win
12%
Over 2.5
77%
BTTS Yes
64%

Head-to-Head last 5

Jul 2026 FC Luzern 3 - 2 FC Winterthur Home
May 2026 FC Luzern(A) 3 - 0 FC Winterthur Home
Mar 2026 FC Luzern 1 - 2 FC Winterthur Away
Nov 2025 FC Luzern 1 - 3 FC Winterthur Away
Oct 2025 FC Luzern(A) 2 - 2 FC Winterthur Draw

In the last 5 meetings, FC Luzern won 2, drew 1 and lost 2.

Current Streaks

FC Luzern — unbeaten run (home)4
FC Luzern — scoring streak (home)19
FC Winterthur — winless run (away)3
FC Winterthur — clean sheets (away, last 5)0 of 5

1X2 Probability model

FC Luzern Win (1)74%
Draw (X)14%
FC Winterthur Win (2)12%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

100% +0.5 63%
58% +1.5 37%
32% +2.5 11%
21% +3.5 0%
5% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

0% -0.5 37%
42% -1.5 63%
68% -2.5 89%
79% -3.5 100%
95% -4.5 100%

FC Luzern vs FC Winterthur — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

FC Luzern — scored (home)2.21
FC Luzern — conceded (home)2
FC Winterthur — scored (away)1.11
FC Winterthur — conceded (away)3
Model expected combined goals4.07

Both Teams To Score

Yes64%
No36%

Rate per Team

FC Luzern — BTTS matches (home)84%
FC Winterthur — BTTS matches (away)63%
Combined (simple average)73.5%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.5100%
Under 4.50%
Over 5.598%
Under 5.52%
Over 6.589%
Under 6.511%
Over 7.582%
Under 7.518%
Over 8.566%
Under 8.534%
Over 9.558%
Under 9.542%
Over 10.550%
Under 10.550%
Expected total corners (blended average)10.60

Per-Team Corners own matches

FC Luzern (home)

Corners for6.3
Corners against4.8

FC Winterthur (away)

Corners for3.4
Corners against6.6

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

FC Luzern
11 11 8 15 7
FC Winterthur
8 9 13 16 7

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%
Under 0.50%
Over 1.587%
Under 1.513%
Over 2.571%
Under 2.529%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4.3

Yellow Cards per Team

FC Luzern (home)

For1.8

FC Winterthur (away)

For2.4

Shots per Game

FC Luzern — total shots (home)15.0
FC Winterthur — total shots (away)11.1

Shots on Target

FC Luzern — on target (home)4.7
FC Winterthur — on target (away)4.0

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

FC Luzern

Inside the box9.89
Outside the box4.79

FC Winterthur

Inside the box7.74
Outside the box4.05

Player Shots FC Luzern

O. Kabwit
Shots on Target/Game1.2
+0.5 On Target71%
+1.5 On Target35%
M. Di Giusto
Shots on Target/Game0.9
+0.5 On Target58%
+1.5 On Target29%
O. tshikomb
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target60%
+1.5 On Target10%
J. von Moos
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target43%
+1.5 On Target13%
K. Spadanuda
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target36%
+1.5 On Target12%

Player Shots FC Winterthur

C. Gomis
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target100%
+1.5 On Target0%
A. Hunziker
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target25%
N. Burkart
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target23%
P. Kasami
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target46%
+1.5 On Target8%
T. Golliard
Shots on Target/Game0.4
+0.5 On Target31%
+1.5 On Target9%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

FC Luzern xG (home)1.73
FC Winterthur xG (away)1.34

Average Possession

50.29% Possession 43.92%

Team Comparison FC Luzern vs FC Winterthur

78.55% Pass accuracy 73.42%
392.26 Passes per match 344.13
-0.09 Goals prevented 0.36
12.42 Fouls committed 12.87
2.68 Goalkeeper saves 4.34
1.81 Offsides 1.25
18.08 Tackles per match 19.05

League average xG this season is 1.65 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

FC Luzern vs FC Winterthur prediction analysis

Review FC Luzern vs FC Winterthur with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Super League.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Super League
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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