Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: FC Midtjylland vs Aarhus

FC Midtjylland vs Aarhus prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

Back to Predictions
Superliga 2025-11-03 18:00
FC Midtjylland
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
85%
Confidence
High
Score
2-2
Aarhus
Away

Prediction Summary

1
47%
X
19%
2
35%
Over 2.5
85%
BTTS Yes
82%
Confidence
High

Market Evidence

FC Midtjylland (Home)

Goals scored / match2.69
Goals conceded / match1.5
Over 2.5 rate44%
BTTS rate75%

Aarhus (Away)

Goals scored / match1.94
Goals conceded / match1.13
Over 2.5 rate19%
BTTS rate88%

Team Form last 5 matches

FC Midtjylland
LDDDW
Aarhus
WWWDD

Goals Comparison rate per team

88% +0.5 100%
81% +1.5 63%
44% +2.5 19%
25% +3.5 6%
19% +4.5 6%
75% BTTS 88%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 85%. Model confidence is High.

FC Midtjylland averages 2.69 goals scored at home, while Aarhus averages 1.94 goals scored away.

Model Strength
85%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
47%
Draw
19%
Away Win
35%
Over 2.5
85%
BTTS Yes
82%

Head-to-Head last 5

Apr 2026 FC Midtjylland(A) 0 - 0 Aarhus Draw
Apr 2026 FC Midtjylland 2 - 1 Aarhus Home
Mar 2026 FC Midtjylland 1 - 1 Aarhus Draw
Feb 2026 FC Midtjylland(A) 1 - 0 Aarhus Home
Nov 2025 FC Midtjylland 1 - 1 Aarhus Draw

In the last 5 meetings, FC Midtjylland won 2, drew 3 and lost 0.

Current Streaks

FC Midtjylland — unbeaten run (home)0
FC Midtjylland — scoring streak (home)4
Aarhus — winless run (away)0
Aarhus — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5

1X2 Probability model

FC Midtjylland Win (1)47%
Draw (X)19%
Aarhus Win (2)35%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

88% +0.5 100%
81% +1.5 63%
44% +2.5 19%
25% +3.5 6%
19% +4.5 6%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

12% -0.5 0%
19% -1.5 37%
56% -2.5 81%
75% -3.5 94%
81% -4.5 94%

FC Midtjylland vs Aarhus — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

FC Midtjylland — scored (home)2.69
FC Midtjylland — conceded (home)1.5
Aarhus — scored (away)1.94
Aarhus — conceded (away)1.13
Model expected combined goals4.73

Both Teams To Score

Yes82%
No18%

Rate per Team

FC Midtjylland — BTTS matches (home)75%
Aarhus — BTTS matches (away)88%
Combined (simple average)81.5%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.597%
Under 4.53%
Over 5.594%
Under 5.56%
Over 6.582%
Under 6.518%
Over 7.569%
Under 7.531%
Over 8.550%
Under 8.550%
Over 9.541%
Under 9.559%
Over 10.535%
Under 10.565%
Expected total corners (blended average)9.40

Per-Team Corners own matches

FC Midtjylland (home)

Corners for6.2
Corners against3.3

Aarhus (away)

Corners for4.5
Corners against4.8

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

FC Midtjylland
11 9 8 12 6
Aarhus
10 9 14 9 4

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.597%
Under 0.53%
Over 1.591%
Under 1.59%
Over 2.572%
Under 2.528%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)3.8

Yellow Cards per Team

FC Midtjylland (home)

For1.9

Aarhus (away)

For1.7

Shots per Game

FC Midtjylland — total shots (home)15.2
Aarhus — total shots (away)12.9

Shots on Target

FC Midtjylland — on target (home)6.4
Aarhus — on target (away)4.9

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

FC Midtjylland

Inside the box9.59
Outside the box4.69

Aarhus

Inside the box10.13
Outside the box5.5

Player Shots FC Midtjylland

Franculino Djú
Shots on Target/Game1.2
+0.5 On Target67%
+1.5 On Target38%
A. Buksa
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target67%
+1.5 On Target33%
D. Osorio
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target57%
+1.5 On Target25%
Júnior Brumado
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target57%
+1.5 On Target10%
A. Şimşir
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target52%
+1.5 On Target16%

Player Shots Aarhus

T. Bech
Shots on Target/Game1.1
+0.5 On Target59%
+1.5 On Target31%
Kristian Fredrik Malt Arnstad
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target65%
+1.5 On Target19%
P. Mortensen
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target53%
+1.5 On Target19%
Kevin Yakob
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target12%
G. Links
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target47%
+1.5 On Target13%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

FC Midtjylland xG (home)1.6
Aarhus xG (away)1.97

Average Possession

53.84% Possession 53.56%

Team Comparison FC Midtjylland vs Aarhus

80.09% Pass accuracy 83.03%
427.5 Passes per match 478.44
0.4 Goals prevented -0.18
12.91 Fouls committed 10.97
3.13 Goalkeeper saves 3.13
2.03 Offsides 1.72
17.03 Tackles per match 16.09

League average xG this season is 1.57 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

FC Midtjylland vs Aarhus prediction analysis

Review FC Midtjylland vs Aarhus with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Superliga.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Superliga
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
Scroll to Top