Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: FC Midtjylland vs Randers FC

FC Midtjylland vs Randers FC prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Superliga 2026-08-23 12:00
FC Midtjylland
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
65%
Confidence
Medium
Score
2-1
Randers FC
Away

Prediction Summary

1
57%
X
21%
2
22%
Over 2.5
65%
BTTS Yes
63%
Confidence
Medium

Market Evidence

FC Midtjylland (Home)

Goals scored / match2.69
Goals conceded / match1.5
Over 2.5 rate44%
BTTS rate75%

Randers FC (Away)

Goals scored / match1
Goals conceded / match1.5
Over 2.5 rate6%
BTTS rate50%

Team Form last 5 matches

FC Midtjylland
WLDDD
Randers FC
LDWLD

Goals Comparison rate per team

88% +0.5 63%
81% +1.5 31%
44% +2.5 6%
25% +3.5 0%
19% +4.5 0%
75% BTTS 50%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 65%. Model confidence is Medium.

FC Midtjylland averages 2.69 goals scored at home, while Randers FC averages 1 goals scored away.

Model Strength
65%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
57%
Draw
21%
Away Win
22%
Over 2.5
65%
BTTS Yes
63%

Head-to-Head last 5

Nov 2025 FC Midtjylland(A) 2 - 0 Randers FC Home
Sep 2025 FC Midtjylland 2 - 1 Randers FC Home
May 2025 FC Midtjylland 3 - 2 Randers FC Home
Apr 2025 FC Midtjylland(A) 1 - 2 Randers FC Away
Mar 2025 FC Midtjylland 4 - 2 Randers FC Home

In the last 5 meetings, FC Midtjylland won 4, drew 0 and lost 1.

Current Streaks

FC Midtjylland — unbeaten run (home)0
FC Midtjylland — scoring streak (home)4
Randers FC — winless run (away)4
Randers FC — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5

1X2 Probability model

FC Midtjylland Win (1)57%
Draw (X)21%
Randers FC Win (2)22%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

88% +0.5 63%
81% +1.5 31%
44% +2.5 6%
25% +3.5 0%
19% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

12% -0.5 37%
19% -1.5 69%
56% -2.5 94%
75% -3.5 100%
81% -4.5 100%

FC Midtjylland vs Randers FC — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

FC Midtjylland — scored (home)2.69
FC Midtjylland — conceded (home)1.5
Randers FC — scored (away)1
Randers FC — conceded (away)1.5
Model expected combined goals3.34

Both Teams To Score

Yes63%
No37%

Rate per Team

FC Midtjylland — BTTS matches (home)75%
Randers FC — BTTS matches (away)50%
Combined (simple average)62.5%

Corners Line model prediction

Over 8.562%
Under 8.538%
Over 9.551%
Under 9.549%
Over 10.540%
Under 10.560%
Expected total corners (model prediction)9.90

Per-Team Corners own matches

FC Midtjylland (home)

Corners for6.2
Corners against3.3

Randers FC (away)

Corners for5.3
Corners against4.8

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

FC Midtjylland
9 8 12 6 9
Randers FC
14 8 9 11 11

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.597%
Under 0.53%
Over 1.591%
Under 1.59%
Over 2.578%
Under 2.522%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)3.9

Yellow Cards per Team

FC Midtjylland (home)

For1.9

Randers FC (away)

For2.1

Shots Forecast model prediction

Match Total

Over 19.577%
Under 19.523%
Over 22.563%
Under 22.537%
Over 25.548%
Under 25.552%
Expected total shots25.78

FC Midtjylland

Shots Over 9.580%
Shots Over 11.566%
Shots Over 13.550%
Expected shots13.90
On Target Over 3.575%
On Target Over 4.560%
On Target Over 5.544%
Expected on target5.34

Randers FC

Shots Over 9.568%
Shots Over 11.550%
Shots Over 13.533%
Expected shots11.88
On Target Over 3.559%
On Target Over 4.541%
On Target Over 5.526%
Expected on target4.23

Shots per Game

FC Midtjylland — total shots (home)15.2
Randers FC — total shots (away)12.2

Shots on Target

FC Midtjylland — on target (home)6.4
Randers FC — on target (away)4.2

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

FC Midtjylland

Inside the box9.59
Outside the box4.69

Randers FC

Inside the box8.97
Outside the box3.53

Player Shots FC Midtjylland

Franculino Djú
Shots on Target/Game1.2
+0.5 On Target67%
+1.5 On Target38%
A. Buksa
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target67%
+1.5 On Target33%
D. Osorio
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target57%
+1.5 On Target25%
Júnior Brumado
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target57%
+1.5 On Target10%
A. Şimşir
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target52%
+1.5 On Target16%

Player Shots Randers FC

M. Touré
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target71%
+1.5 On Target12%
F. Danho
Shots on Target/Game0.9
+0.5 On Target63%
+1.5 On Target13%
C. Edudzi
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target13%
E. Mahmoud
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target44%
+1.5 On Target16%
W. Caddy
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target8%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

FC Midtjylland xG (home)1.6
Randers FC xG (away)1.49

Average Possession

53.84% Possession 48.44%

Team Comparison FC Midtjylland vs Randers FC

80.09% Pass accuracy 81.63%
427.5 Passes per match 471.88
0.4 Goals prevented -0.18
12.91 Fouls committed 11.09
3.13 Goalkeeper saves 3.26
2.03 Offsides 2.1
17.03 Tackles per match 18.38

League average xG this season is 1.57 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

FC Midtjylland vs Randers FC prediction and preview

Preview FC Midtjylland vs Randers FC with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, recent form and key team performance data.

1X2 Over/Under 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Superliga
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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