Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: FC Midtjylland vs Union St. Gilloise

FC Midtjylland vs Union St. Gilloise prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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UEFA Europa League 2024-10-24 16:45
FC Midtjylland
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
43%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-1
Union St. Gilloise
Away

Prediction Summary

1
36%
X
28%
2
36%
Under 2.5
57%
BTTS No
51%
Confidence
Medium

Market Evidence

FC Midtjylland (Home)

Goals scored / match1.2
Goals conceded / match1.4
Over 2.5 rate0%
BTTS rate80%

Union St. Gilloise (Away)

Goals scored / match1
Goals conceded / match1.2
Over 2.5 rate0%
BTTS rate60%

Team Form last 5 matches

FC Midtjylland
LLDWL
Union St. Gilloise
WLLWW

Goals Comparison rate per team

100% +0.5 80%
20% +1.5 20%
0% +2.5 0%
0% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%
80% BTTS 60%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 43%. Model confidence is Medium.

FC Midtjylland averages 1.2 goals scored at home, while Union St. Gilloise averages 1 goals scored away.

Model Strength
57%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
36%
Draw
28%
Away Win
36%
Over 2.5
43%
BTTS Yes
49%

Head-to-Head last 1

Oct 2024 FC Midtjylland 1 - 0 Union St. Gilloise Home

In the last 1 meetings, FC Midtjylland won 1, drew 0 and lost 0.

Current Streaks

FC Midtjylland — unbeaten run (home)0
FC Midtjylland — scoring streak (home)5
Union St. Gilloise — winless run (away)0
Union St. Gilloise — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5

1X2 Probability model

FC Midtjylland Win (1)36%
Draw (X)28%
Union St. Gilloise Win (2)36%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

100% +0.5 80%
20% +1.5 20%
0% +2.5 0%
0% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

0% -0.5 20%
80% -1.5 80%
100% -2.5 100%
100% -3.5 100%
100% -4.5 100%

FC Midtjylland vs Union St. Gilloise — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

FC Midtjylland — scored (home)1.2
FC Midtjylland — conceded (home)1.4
Union St. Gilloise — scored (away)1
Union St. Gilloise — conceded (away)1.2
Model expected combined goals2.4

Both Teams To Score

Yes49%
No51%

Rate per Team

FC Midtjylland — BTTS matches (home)80%
Union St. Gilloise — BTTS matches (away)60%
Combined (simple average)70%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.5100%
Under 4.50%
Over 5.590%
Under 5.510%
Over 6.590%
Under 6.510%
Over 7.580%
Under 7.520%
Over 8.570%
Under 8.530%
Over 9.570%
Under 9.530%
Over 10.560%
Under 10.540%
Expected total corners (blended average)10.60

Per-Team Corners own matches

FC Midtjylland (home)

Corners for6.6
Corners against4.0

Union St. Gilloise (away)

Corners for6.2
Corners against4.4

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

FC Midtjylland
10 11 5 11 13
Union St. Gilloise
11 3 7 10 13

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%
Under 0.50%
Over 1.580%
Under 1.520%
Over 2.580%
Under 2.520%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)5.5

Yellow Cards per Team

FC Midtjylland (home)

For1.2

Union St. Gilloise (away)

For3.8

Shots per Game

FC Midtjylland — total shots (home)13.0
Union St. Gilloise — total shots (away)18.8

Shots on Target

FC Midtjylland — on target (home)4.6
Union St. Gilloise — on target (away)7.2

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

FC Midtjylland

Inside the box8.5
Outside the box2.5

Union St. Gilloise

Inside the box12.3
Outside the box4.9

Player Shots FC Midtjylland

A. Buksa
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target75%
+1.5 On Target25%
E. Chilufya
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target60%
+1.5 On Target20%
Franculino Djú
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target17%
D. Osorio
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target75%
+1.5 On Target25%
V. Byskov
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target33%
+1.5 On Target11%

Player Shots Union St. Gilloise

F. Ivanović
Shots on Target/Game1.8
+0.5 On Target60%
+1.5 On Target30%
S. Boufal
Shots on Target/Game1.7
+0.5 On Target60%
+1.5 On Target40%
K. Machida
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target25%
+1.5 On Target13%
N. Sadiki
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target20%
+1.5 On Target10%
R. Sykes
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target38%
+1.5 On Target13%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

FC Midtjylland xG (home)1.43
Union St. Gilloise xG (away)1.93

Average Possession

46.6% Possession 50.4%

Team Comparison FC Midtjylland vs Union St. Gilloise

76.6% Pass accuracy 77.4%
384 Passes per match 443.5
0.43 Goals prevented 0.38
11.8 Fouls committed 15.3
4 Goalkeeper saves 2.7
1.11 Offsides 2.3
17 Tackles per match 24

League average xG this season is 1.47 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

FC Midtjylland vs Union St. Gilloise prediction analysis

Review FC Midtjylland vs Union St. Gilloise with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from UEFA Europa League.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance UEFA Europa League
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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