Prediction Analysis: FC Porto B vs Farense
FC Porto B vs Farense prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

FC Porto B
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
30%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-0

Farense
Away
Prediction Summary
1
38%
X
32%
2
30%
Under 2.5
70%
BTTS No
62%
Confidence
Medium
Market Evidence
FC Porto B (Home)
Goals scored / match1.18
Goals conceded / match0.82
Over 2.5 rate12%
BTTS rate29%
Farense (Away)
Goals scored / match0.94
Goals conceded / match0.89
Over 2.5 rate6%
BTTS rate33%
Team Form last 5 matches
FC Porto B
WWWLL
Farense
DWLDW
Goals Comparison rate per team
76%
+0.5
61%
29%
+1.5
28%
12%
+2.5
6%
0%
+3.5
0%
0%
+4.5
0%
29%
BTTS
33%
Model Insight
The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 30%. Model confidence is Medium.
FC Porto B averages 1.18 goals scored at home, while Farense averages 0.94 goals scored away.
Model Strength
70%
Other Top Markets for This Match
Home Win
38%
Draw
32%
Away Win
30%
Over 2.5
30%
BTTS Yes
38%
Head-to-Head last 5
Jan 2026
FC Porto B(A)
3 - 2
Farense
Home
Aug 2025
FC Porto B
0 - 2
Farense
Away
May 2023
FC Porto B(A)
0 - 2
Farense
Away
Dec 2022
FC Porto B
4 - 0
Farense
Home
Mar 2022
FC Porto B(A)
0 - 2
Farense
Away
In the last 5 meetings, FC Porto B won 2, drew 0 and lost 3.
Current Streaks
FC Porto B — unbeaten run (home)2
FC Porto B — scoring streak (home)2
Farense — winless run (away)2
Farense — clean sheets (away, last 5)3 of 5
1X2 Probability model
FC Porto B Win (1)38%
Draw (X)32%
Farense Win (2)30%
Goals Over rate per team, own matches
76%
+0.5
61%
29%
+1.5
28%
12%
+2.5
6%
0%
+3.5
0%
0%
+4.5
0%
Goals Under rate per team, own matches
24%
-0.5
39%
71%
-1.5
72%
88%
-2.5
94%
100%
-3.5
100%
100%
-4.5
100%
FC Porto B vs Farense — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.
Goal Averages per Team
FC Porto B — scored (home)1.18
FC Porto B — conceded (home)0.82
Farense — scored (away)0.94
Farense — conceded (away)0.89
Model expected combined goals1.92
Both Teams To Score
Yes38%
No62%
Rate per Team
FC Porto B — BTTS matches (home)29%
Farense — BTTS matches (away)33%
Combined (simple average)31%
Corners Line model prediction
Over 8.562%
Under 8.538%
Over 9.551%
Under 9.549%
Over 10.541%
Under 10.559%
Expected total corners (model prediction)9.90
Per-Team Corners own matches
FC Porto B (home)
Corners for4.5
Corners against5.8
Farense (away)
Corners for4.8
Corners against3.8
Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners
FC Porto B
0
5
0
0
12
Farense
0
0
0
0
0
Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate
Over 0.597%
Under 0.53%
Over 1.597%
Under 1.53%
Over 2.594%
Under 2.56%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)5.6
Yellow Cards per Team
FC Porto B (home)
For2.8
Farense (away)
For2.9
Shots Forecast model prediction
Match Total
Over 19.539%
Under 19.561%
Over 22.529%
Under 22.571%
Over 25.522%
Under 25.578%
Expected total shots18.36
FC Porto B
Shots Over 9.542%
Shots Over 11.531%
Shots Over 13.521%
Expected shots9.45
On Target Over 3.550%
On Target Over 4.534%
On Target Over 5.521%
Expected on target3.79
Farense
Shots Over 9.539%
Shots Over 11.527%
Shots Over 13.518%
Expected shots8.91
On Target Over 3.538%
On Target Over 4.523%
On Target Over 5.513%
Expected on target3.15
Shots per Game
FC Porto B — total shots (home)9.0
Farense — total shots (away)10.5
Shots on Target
FC Porto B — on target (home)4.0
Farense — on target (away)3.8
Shot Location Split avg per match, season
FC Porto B
Inside the box5.45
Outside the box4
Farense
Inside the box5.78
Outside the box4.11
Player Shots FC Porto B
L. Vonić
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target25%
Tiago Andrade
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target33%
+1.5 On Target17%
Duarte Cunha
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target40%
+1.5 On Target20%
Mateus Mide
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target40%
+1.5 On Target0%
Dinis Rodrigues
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target25%
+1.5 On Target0%
Player Shots Farense
Rui Costa
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target25%
Cláudio Falcão
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target75%
+1.5 On Target0%
Bruno Almeida
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target0%
André Candeias
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target40%
+1.5 On Target0%
Darío Poveda
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target25%
+1.5 On Target0%
Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.
Expected Goals (xG)
FC Porto B xG (home)0
Farense xG (away)0
Average Possession
46.82%
Possession
48.89%
Team Comparison FC Porto B vs Farense
80.2%
Pass accuracy
78.07%
352
Passes per match
323.44
0
Goals prevented
0
14.27
Fouls committed
16
2.91
Goalkeeper saves
3
0.91
Offsides
2
13.83
Tackles per match
15.4
Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS
FC Porto B vs Farense prediction and preview
Preview FC Porto B vs Farense with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, recent form and key team performance data.
1X2
Over/Under 2.5
BTTS
Recent form
Team performance
Segunda Liga
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights