Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: FC Porto B vs Farense

FC Porto B vs Farense prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

Back to Predictions
Segunda Liga 2026-08-16 17:00
FC Porto B
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
30%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-0
Farense
Away

Prediction Summary

1
38%
X
32%
2
30%
Under 2.5
70%
BTTS No
62%
Confidence
Medium

Market Evidence

FC Porto B (Home)

Goals scored / match1.18
Goals conceded / match0.82
Over 2.5 rate12%
BTTS rate29%

Farense (Away)

Goals scored / match0.94
Goals conceded / match0.89
Over 2.5 rate6%
BTTS rate33%

Team Form last 5 matches

FC Porto B
WWWLL
Farense
DWLDW

Goals Comparison rate per team

76% +0.5 61%
29% +1.5 28%
12% +2.5 6%
0% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%
29% BTTS 33%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 30%. Model confidence is Medium.

FC Porto B averages 1.18 goals scored at home, while Farense averages 0.94 goals scored away.

Model Strength
70%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
38%
Draw
32%
Away Win
30%
Over 2.5
30%
BTTS Yes
38%

Head-to-Head last 5

Jan 2026 FC Porto B(A) 3 - 2 Farense Home
Aug 2025 FC Porto B 0 - 2 Farense Away
May 2023 FC Porto B(A) 0 - 2 Farense Away
Dec 2022 FC Porto B 4 - 0 Farense Home
Mar 2022 FC Porto B(A) 0 - 2 Farense Away

In the last 5 meetings, FC Porto B won 2, drew 0 and lost 3.

Current Streaks

FC Porto B — unbeaten run (home)2
FC Porto B — scoring streak (home)2
Farense — winless run (away)2
Farense — clean sheets (away, last 5)3 of 5

1X2 Probability model

FC Porto B Win (1)38%
Draw (X)32%
Farense Win (2)30%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

76% +0.5 61%
29% +1.5 28%
12% +2.5 6%
0% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

24% -0.5 39%
71% -1.5 72%
88% -2.5 94%
100% -3.5 100%
100% -4.5 100%

FC Porto B vs Farense — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

FC Porto B — scored (home)1.18
FC Porto B — conceded (home)0.82
Farense — scored (away)0.94
Farense — conceded (away)0.89
Model expected combined goals1.92

Both Teams To Score

Yes38%
No62%

Rate per Team

FC Porto B — BTTS matches (home)29%
Farense — BTTS matches (away)33%
Combined (simple average)31%

Corners Line model prediction

Over 8.562%
Under 8.538%
Over 9.551%
Under 9.549%
Over 10.541%
Under 10.559%
Expected total corners (model prediction)9.90

Per-Team Corners own matches

FC Porto B (home)

Corners for4.5
Corners against5.8

Farense (away)

Corners for4.8
Corners against3.8

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

FC Porto B
0 5 0 0 12
Farense
0 0 0 0 0

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.597%
Under 0.53%
Over 1.597%
Under 1.53%
Over 2.594%
Under 2.56%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)5.6

Yellow Cards per Team

FC Porto B (home)

For2.8

Farense (away)

For2.9

Shots Forecast model prediction

Match Total

Over 19.539%
Under 19.561%
Over 22.529%
Under 22.571%
Over 25.522%
Under 25.578%
Expected total shots18.36

FC Porto B

Shots Over 9.542%
Shots Over 11.531%
Shots Over 13.521%
Expected shots9.45
On Target Over 3.550%
On Target Over 4.534%
On Target Over 5.521%
Expected on target3.79

Farense

Shots Over 9.539%
Shots Over 11.527%
Shots Over 13.518%
Expected shots8.91
On Target Over 3.538%
On Target Over 4.523%
On Target Over 5.513%
Expected on target3.15

Shots per Game

FC Porto B — total shots (home)9.0
Farense — total shots (away)10.5

Shots on Target

FC Porto B — on target (home)4.0
Farense — on target (away)3.8

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

FC Porto B

Inside the box5.45
Outside the box4

Farense

Inside the box5.78
Outside the box4.11

Player Shots FC Porto B

L. Vonić
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target25%
Tiago Andrade
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target33%
+1.5 On Target17%
Duarte Cunha
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target40%
+1.5 On Target20%
Mateus Mide
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target40%
+1.5 On Target0%
Dinis Rodrigues
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target25%
+1.5 On Target0%

Player Shots Farense

Rui Costa
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target25%
Cláudio Falcão
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target75%
+1.5 On Target0%
Bruno Almeida
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target0%
André Candeias
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target40%
+1.5 On Target0%
Darío Poveda
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target25%
+1.5 On Target0%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

FC Porto B xG (home)0
Farense xG (away)0

Average Possession

46.82% Possession 48.89%

Team Comparison FC Porto B vs Farense

80.2% Pass accuracy 78.07%
352 Passes per match 323.44
0 Goals prevented 0
14.27 Fouls committed 16
2.91 Goalkeeper saves 3
0.91 Offsides 2
13.83 Tackles per match 15.4
Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

FC Porto B vs Farense prediction and preview

Preview FC Porto B vs Farense with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, recent form and key team performance data.

1X2 Over/Under 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Segunda Liga
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
Scroll to Top