Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: FC Porto B vs Farense

FC Porto B vs Farense prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Segunda Liga 2026-08-16 15:00
FC Porto B
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Home Win
Pick
FC Porto B
Probability
38%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-0
Farense
Away

Prediction Summary

1
38%
X
32%
2
30%
Under 2.5
70%
BTTS No
62%
Confidence
Medium

Market Evidence

FC Porto B (Home)

Goals scored / match1.18
Goals conceded / match0.82
Over 2.5 rate12%
BTTS rate29%

Farense (Away)

Goals scored / match0.94
Goals conceded / match0.89
Over 2.5 rate6%
BTTS rate33%

Team Form last 5 matches

FC Porto B
WWWLL
Farense
DWLDW

Goals Comparison rate per team

76% +0.5 61%
29% +1.5 28%
12% +2.5 6%
0% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%
29% BTTS 33%

Model Insight

The selected market is Home Win with a probability of 38%. Model confidence is Medium.

FC Porto B averages 1.18 goals scored at home, while Farense averages 0.94 goals scored away.

Model Strength
70%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
38%
Draw
32%
Away Win
30%
Over 2.5
30%
BTTS Yes
38%

Head-to-Head last 5

Jan 2026 FC Porto B(A) 3 - 2 Farense Home
Aug 2025 FC Porto B 0 - 2 Farense Away
May 2023 FC Porto B(A) 0 - 2 Farense Away
Dec 2022 FC Porto B 4 - 0 Farense Home
Mar 2022 FC Porto B(A) 0 - 2 Farense Away

In the last 5 meetings, FC Porto B won 2, drew 0 and lost 3.

Current Streaks

FC Porto B — unbeaten run (home)2
FC Porto B — scoring streak (home)2
Farense — winless run (away)2
Farense — clean sheets (away, last 5)3 of 5

1X2 Probability model

FC Porto B Win (1)38%
Draw (X)32%
Farense Win (2)30%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

76% +0.5 61%
29% +1.5 28%
12% +2.5 6%
0% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

24% -0.5 39%
71% -1.5 72%
88% -2.5 94%
100% -3.5 100%
100% -4.5 100%

FC Porto B vs Farense — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

FC Porto B — scored (home)1.18
FC Porto B — conceded (home)0.82
Farense — scored (away)0.94
Farense — conceded (away)0.89
Model expected combined goals1.92

Both Teams To Score

Yes38%
No62%

Rate per Team

FC Porto B — BTTS matches (home)29%
Farense — BTTS matches (away)33%
Combined (simple average)31%

Corners Line model prediction

Over 8.562%
Under 8.538%
Over 9.551%
Under 9.549%
Over 10.541%
Under 10.559%
Expected total corners (model prediction)9.90

Per-Team Corners own matches

FC Porto B (home)

Corners for4.5
Corners against5.8

Farense (away)

Corners for4.8
Corners against3.8

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

FC Porto B
0 5 0 0 12
Farense
0 0 0 0 0

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.597%
Under 0.53%
Over 1.597%
Under 1.53%
Over 2.594%
Under 2.56%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)5.6

Yellow Cards per Team

FC Porto B (home)

For2.8

Farense (away)

For2.9

Shots Forecast model prediction

Match Total

Over 19.539%
Under 19.561%
Over 22.529%
Under 22.571%
Over 25.522%
Under 25.578%
Expected total shots18.36

FC Porto B

Shots Over 9.542%
Shots Over 11.531%
Shots Over 13.521%
Expected shots9.45
On Target Over 3.550%
On Target Over 4.534%
On Target Over 5.521%
Expected on target3.79

Farense

Shots Over 9.539%
Shots Over 11.527%
Shots Over 13.518%
Expected shots8.91
On Target Over 3.538%
On Target Over 4.523%
On Target Over 5.513%
Expected on target3.15

Shots per Game

FC Porto B — total shots (home)9.0
Farense — total shots (away)10.5

Shots on Target

FC Porto B — on target (home)4.0
Farense — on target (away)3.8

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

FC Porto B

Inside the box5.45
Outside the box4

Farense

Inside the box5.78
Outside the box4.11

Player Shots FC Porto B

L. Vonić
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target25%
Tiago Andrade
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target33%
+1.5 On Target17%
Duarte Cunha
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target40%
+1.5 On Target20%
Mateus Mide
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target40%
+1.5 On Target0%
Dinis Rodrigues
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target25%
+1.5 On Target0%

Player Shots Farense

Rui Costa
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target25%
Cláudio Falcão
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target75%
+1.5 On Target0%
Bruno Almeida
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target0%
Rúben Fernandes
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target20%
+1.5 On Target0%
André Candeias
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target40%
+1.5 On Target0%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

FC Porto B xG (home)0
Farense xG (away)0

Average Possession

46.82% Possession 48.89%

Team Comparison FC Porto B vs Farense

80.2% Pass accuracy 78.07%
352 Passes per match 323.44
0 Goals prevented 0
14.27 Fouls committed 16
2.91 Goalkeeper saves 3
0.91 Offsides 2
13.83 Tackles per match 15.4
Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

FC Porto B vs Farense prediction analysis

Review FC Porto B vs Farense with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Segunda Liga.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Segunda Liga
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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