Prediction Analysis: FC Porto B vs Farense
FC Porto B vs Farense prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

FC Porto B
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Home Win
Pick
FC Porto B
Probability
38%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-0

Farense
Away
Prediction Summary
1
38%
X
32%
2
30%
Under 2.5
70%
BTTS No
62%
Confidence
Medium
Market Evidence
FC Porto B (Home)
Goals scored / match1.18
Goals conceded / match0.82
Over 2.5 rate12%
BTTS rate29%
Farense (Away)
Goals scored / match0.94
Goals conceded / match0.89
Over 2.5 rate6%
BTTS rate33%
Team Form last 5 matches
FC Porto B
WWWLL
Farense
DWLDW
Goals Comparison rate per team
76%
+0.5
61%
29%
+1.5
28%
12%
+2.5
6%
0%
+3.5
0%
0%
+4.5
0%
29%
BTTS
33%
Model Insight
The selected market is Home Win with a probability of 38%. Model confidence is Medium.
FC Porto B averages 1.18 goals scored at home, while Farense averages 0.94 goals scored away.
Model Strength
70%
Other Top Markets for This Match
Home Win
38%
Draw
32%
Away Win
30%
Over 2.5
30%
BTTS Yes
38%
Head-to-Head last 5
Jan 2026
FC Porto B(A)
3 - 2
Farense
Home
Aug 2025
FC Porto B
0 - 2
Farense
Away
May 2023
FC Porto B(A)
0 - 2
Farense
Away
Dec 2022
FC Porto B
4 - 0
Farense
Home
Mar 2022
FC Porto B(A)
0 - 2
Farense
Away
In the last 5 meetings, FC Porto B won 2, drew 0 and lost 3.
Current Streaks
FC Porto B — unbeaten run (home)2
FC Porto B — scoring streak (home)2
Farense — winless run (away)2
Farense — clean sheets (away, last 5)3 of 5
1X2 Probability model
FC Porto B Win (1)38%
Draw (X)32%
Farense Win (2)30%
Goals Over rate per team, own matches
76%
+0.5
61%
29%
+1.5
28%
12%
+2.5
6%
0%
+3.5
0%
0%
+4.5
0%
Goals Under rate per team, own matches
24%
-0.5
39%
71%
-1.5
72%
88%
-2.5
94%
100%
-3.5
100%
100%
-4.5
100%
FC Porto B vs Farense — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.
Goal Averages per Team
FC Porto B — scored (home)1.18
FC Porto B — conceded (home)0.82
Farense — scored (away)0.94
Farense — conceded (away)0.89
Model expected combined goals1.92
Both Teams To Score
Yes38%
No62%
Rate per Team
FC Porto B — BTTS matches (home)29%
Farense — BTTS matches (away)33%
Combined (simple average)31%
Corners Line model prediction
Over 8.562%
Under 8.538%
Over 9.551%
Under 9.549%
Over 10.541%
Under 10.559%
Expected total corners (model prediction)9.90
Per-Team Corners own matches
FC Porto B (home)
Corners for4.5
Corners against5.8
Farense (away)
Corners for4.8
Corners against3.8
Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners
FC Porto B
0
5
0
0
12
Farense
0
0
0
0
0
Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate
Over 0.597%
Under 0.53%
Over 1.597%
Under 1.53%
Over 2.594%
Under 2.56%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)5.6
Yellow Cards per Team
FC Porto B (home)
For2.8
Farense (away)
For2.9
Shots Forecast model prediction
Match Total
Over 19.539%
Under 19.561%
Over 22.529%
Under 22.571%
Over 25.522%
Under 25.578%
Expected total shots18.36
FC Porto B
Shots Over 9.542%
Shots Over 11.531%
Shots Over 13.521%
Expected shots9.45
On Target Over 3.550%
On Target Over 4.534%
On Target Over 5.521%
Expected on target3.79
Farense
Shots Over 9.539%
Shots Over 11.527%
Shots Over 13.518%
Expected shots8.91
On Target Over 3.538%
On Target Over 4.523%
On Target Over 5.513%
Expected on target3.15
Shots per Game
FC Porto B — total shots (home)9.0
Farense — total shots (away)10.5
Shots on Target
FC Porto B — on target (home)4.0
Farense — on target (away)3.8
Shot Location Split avg per match, season
FC Porto B
Inside the box5.45
Outside the box4
Farense
Inside the box5.78
Outside the box4.11
Player Shots FC Porto B
L. Vonić
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target25%
Tiago Andrade
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target33%
+1.5 On Target17%
Duarte Cunha
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target40%
+1.5 On Target20%
Mateus Mide
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target40%
+1.5 On Target0%
Dinis Rodrigues
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target25%
+1.5 On Target0%
Player Shots Farense
Rui Costa
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target25%
Cláudio Falcão
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target75%
+1.5 On Target0%
Bruno Almeida
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target0%
Rúben Fernandes
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target20%
+1.5 On Target0%
André Candeias
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target40%
+1.5 On Target0%
Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.
Expected Goals (xG)
FC Porto B xG (home)0
Farense xG (away)0
Average Possession
46.82%
Possession
48.89%
Team Comparison FC Porto B vs Farense
80.2%
Pass accuracy
78.07%
352
Passes per match
323.44
0
Goals prevented
0
14.27
Fouls committed
16
2.91
Goalkeeper saves
3
0.91
Offsides
2
13.83
Tackles per match
15.4
Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS
FC Porto B vs Farense prediction analysis
Review FC Porto B vs Farense with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Segunda Liga.
1X2
Over 2.5
BTTS
Recent form
Team performance
Segunda Liga
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights