Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: FC Porto vs AVS

FC Porto vs AVS prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

Back to Predictions
Primeira Liga 2025-03-15 18:00
FC Porto
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
46%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-0
AVS
Away

Prediction Summary

1
69%
X
20%
2
10%
Under 2.5
54%
BTTS No
62%
Confidence
Medium

Market Evidence

FC Porto (Home)

Goals scored / match2.29
Goals conceded / match0.65
Over 2.5 rate35%
BTTS rate47%

AVS (Away)

Goals scored / match0.78
Goals conceded / match2
Over 2.5 rate0%
BTTS rate56%

Team Form last 5 matches

FC Porto
WWWLW
AVS
DWLWL

Goals Comparison rate per team

100% +0.5 67%
76% +1.5 11%
35% +2.5 0%
18% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%
47% BTTS 56%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 46%. Model confidence is Medium.

FC Porto averages 2.29 goals scored at home, while AVS averages 0.78 goals scored away.

Model Strength
69%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
69%
Draw
20%
Away Win
10%
Over 2.5
46%
BTTS Yes
38%

Head-to-Head last 4

May 2026 FC Porto(A) 1 - 3 AVS Away
Dec 2025 FC Porto 2 - 0 AVS Home
Mar 2025 FC Porto 2 - 0 AVS Home
Oct 2024 FC Porto(A) 5 - 0 AVS Home

In the last 4 meetings, FC Porto won 3, drew 0 and lost 1.

Current Streaks

FC Porto — unbeaten run (home)3
FC Porto — scoring streak (home)17
AVS — winless run (away)1
AVS — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5

1X2 Probability model

FC Porto Win (1)69%
Draw (X)20%
AVS Win (2)10%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

100% +0.5 67%
76% +1.5 11%
35% +2.5 0%
18% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

0% -0.5 33%
24% -1.5 89%
65% -2.5 100%
82% -3.5 100%
100% -4.5 100%

FC Porto vs AVS — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

FC Porto — scored (home)2.29
FC Porto — conceded (home)0.65
AVS — scored (away)0.78
AVS — conceded (away)2
Model expected combined goals2.5

Both Teams To Score

Yes38%
No62%

Rate per Team

FC Porto — BTTS matches (home)47%
AVS — BTTS matches (away)56%
Combined (simple average)51.5%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.5100%
Under 4.50%
Over 5.592%
Under 5.58%
Over 6.580%
Under 6.520%
Over 7.569%
Under 7.531%
Over 8.566%
Under 8.534%
Over 9.552%
Under 9.548%
Over 10.535%
Under 10.565%
Expected total corners (blended average)9.70

Per-Team Corners own matches

FC Porto (home)

Corners for6.4
Corners against3.8

AVS (away)

Corners for3.7
Corners against5.6

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

FC Porto
9 16 11 4 10
AVS
9 7 6 10 14

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%
Under 0.50%
Over 1.5100%
Under 1.50%
Over 2.591%
Under 2.59%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4.8

Yellow Cards per Team

FC Porto (home)

For2.0

AVS (away)

For2.9

Shots per Game

FC Porto — total shots (home)16.2
AVS — total shots (away)9.6

Shots on Target

FC Porto — on target (home)6.2
AVS — on target (away)2.4

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

FC Porto

Inside the box9.71
Outside the box4.56

AVS

Inside the box6.03
Outside the box4.17

Player Shots FC Porto

Galeno
Shots on Target/Game2.1
+0.5 On Target67%
+1.5 On Target44%
D. Namaso
Shots on Target/Game1.9
+0.5 On Target24%
+1.5 On Target14%
Samu
Shots on Target/Game1.7
+0.5 On Target67%
+1.5 On Target30%
Iván Jaime
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target44%
+1.5 On Target22%
Pepê Aquino
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target32%
+1.5 On Target10%

Player Shots AVS

Samuel Granada
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target25%
Zé Luís
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target35%
+1.5 On Target12%
B. Akinsola
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target22%
+1.5 On Target9%
Vasco Lopes
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target31%
+1.5 On Target8%
Nenê
Shots on Target/Game1.1
+0.5 On Target35%
+1.5 On Target5%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

FC Porto xG (home)1.6
AVS xG (away)0.89

Average Possession

62.03% Possession 42.81%

Team Comparison FC Porto vs AVS

85.85% Pass accuracy 76.78%
514.44 Passes per match 347.36
-0.06 Goals prevented -0.09
14.24 Fouls committed 14.08
1.91 Goalkeeper saves 3.65
1.45 Offsides 1.5
13.82 Tackles per match 16.25

League average xG this season is 1.21 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

FC Porto vs AVS prediction analysis

Review FC Porto vs AVS with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Primeira Liga.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Primeira Liga
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
Scroll to Top