Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: FC Porto vs AVS

FC Porto vs AVS prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Primeira Liga 2025-12-29 20:15
FC Porto
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
59%
Confidence
High
Score
2-0
AVS
Away

Prediction Summary

1
84%
X
12%
2
4%
Over 2.5
59%
BTTS No
68%
Confidence
High

Market Evidence

FC Porto (Home)

Goals scored / match1.94
Goals conceded / match0.35
Over 2.5 rate35%
BTTS rate29%

AVS (Away)

Goals scored / match0.71
Goals conceded / match2.35
Over 2.5 rate6%
BTTS rate41%

Team Form last 5 matches

FC Porto
WLWWW
AVS
DWWDD

Goals Comparison rate per team

94% +0.5 41%
59% +1.5 24%
35% +2.5 6%
6% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%
29% BTTS 41%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 59%. Model confidence is High.

FC Porto averages 1.94 goals scored at home, while AVS averages 0.71 goals scored away.

Model Strength
84%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
84%
Draw
12%
Away Win
4%
Over 2.5
59%
BTTS Yes
32%

Head-to-Head last 4

May 2026 FC Porto(A) 1 - 3 AVS Away
Dec 2025 FC Porto 2 - 0 AVS Home
Mar 2025 FC Porto 2 - 0 AVS Home
Oct 2024 FC Porto(A) 5 - 0 AVS Home

In the last 4 meetings, FC Porto won 3, drew 0 and lost 1.

Current Streaks

FC Porto — unbeaten run (home)17
FC Porto — scoring streak (home)13
AVS — winless run (away)1
AVS — clean sheets (away, last 5)2 of 5

1X2 Probability model

FC Porto Win (1)84%
Draw (X)12%
AVS Win (2)4%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

94% +0.5 41%
59% +1.5 24%
35% +2.5 6%
6% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

6% -0.5 59%
41% -1.5 76%
65% -2.5 94%
94% -3.5 100%
100% -4.5 100%

FC Porto vs AVS — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

FC Porto — scored (home)1.94
FC Porto — conceded (home)0.35
AVS — scored (away)0.71
AVS — conceded (away)2.35
Model expected combined goals3.07

Both Teams To Score

Yes32%
No68%

Rate per Team

FC Porto — BTTS matches (home)29%
AVS — BTTS matches (away)41%
Combined (simple average)35%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.594%
Under 4.56%
Over 5.588%
Under 5.512%
Over 6.580%
Under 6.520%
Over 7.571%
Under 7.529%
Over 8.565%
Under 8.535%
Over 9.544%
Under 9.556%
Over 10.538%
Under 10.562%
Expected total corners (blended average)9.40

Per-Team Corners own matches

FC Porto (home)

Corners for5.6
Corners against2.9

AVS (away)

Corners for3.9
Corners against6.2

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

FC Porto
11 6 9 10 13
AVS
13 9 14 10 8

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.594%
Under 0.56%
Over 1.591%
Under 1.59%
Over 2.571%
Under 2.529%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4.4

Yellow Cards per Team

FC Porto (home)

For2.3

AVS (away)

For2.0

Shots per Game

FC Porto — total shots (home)14.5
AVS — total shots (away)10.6

Shots on Target

FC Porto — on target (home)5.2
AVS — on target (away)2.5

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

FC Porto

Inside the box9.5
Outside the box4.91

AVS

Inside the box6
Outside the box5.03

Player Shots FC Porto

Samu
Shots on Target/Game1.6
+0.5 On Target70%
+1.5 On Target50%
William
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target39%
+1.5 On Target21%
Borja Sainz
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target40%
+1.5 On Target17%
O. Pietuszewski
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target44%
+1.5 On Target13%
L. de Jong
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target40%
+1.5 On Target20%

Player Shots AVS

Nenê
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target29%
+1.5 On Target10%
Pedro Lima
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target35%
+1.5 On Target8%
Ó. Perea
Shots on Target/Game0.4
+0.5 On Target28%
+1.5 On Target8%
D. Duarte
Shots on Target/Game0.4
+0.5 On Target41%
+1.5 On Target0%
B. Akinsola
Shots on Target/Game0.4
+0.5 On Target29%
+1.5 On Target6%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

FC Porto xG (home)1.83
AVS xG (away)0.94

Average Possession

55.12% Possession 39.21%

Team Comparison FC Porto vs AVS

84.06% Pass accuracy 72.74%
449.71 Passes per match 298.79
-0.09 Goals prevented -0.11
13.88 Fouls committed 13.76
1.85 Goalkeeper saves 3.44
2.18 Offsides 1.52
15.03 Tackles per match 17.09

League average xG this season is 1.3 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

FC Porto vs AVS prediction analysis

Review FC Porto vs AVS with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Primeira Liga.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Primeira Liga
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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