What markets are included in the FC Porto vs Benfica prediction?

GoalStatsLab may analyze 1X2 outcome probabilities, Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams To Score, corners and cards where enough match data is available.

How is the FC Porto vs Benfica prediction calculated?

The prediction is based on available football data such as recent form, goals scored and conceded, home and away performance, league trends and selected market probabilities.

Are football predictions guaranteed?

No. Football predictions are statistical estimates and should be used for analysis, not as guaranteed betting outcomes or financial advice.

Prediction Analysis: FC Porto vs Benfica

FC Porto vs Benfica prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Primeira Liga 2025-04-06 19:30

FC Porto

Home

Selected Prediction

Featured Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

Pick

Yes

Probability

50%

Confidence

Low

Score

1-1

Benfica

Away

Prediction Summary

52%

24%

O/U 2.5 · No edge

50%

BTTS Yes

52%

Confidence

Low

Market Evidence

FC Porto (Home)

Goals scored / match2.29

Goals conceded / match0.65

Over 2.5 rate35%

BTTS rate47%

Benfica (Away)

Goals scored / match1.88

Goals conceded / match0.94

Over 2.5 rate35%

BTTS rate53%

Team Form last 5 matches

FC Porto

WWWLW

Benfica

DDWWW

Goals Comparison rate per team

100% +0.5 88%

76% +1.5 59%

35% +2.5 35%

18% +3.5 6%

0% +4.5 0%

47% BTTS 53%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 50%. Model confidence is Low.

FC Porto averages 2.29 goals scored at home, while Benfica averages 1.88 goals scored away.

Model Strength

52%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win

52%

Draw

24%

Away Win

24%

Over 2.5

50%

BTTS Yes

52%

Head-to-Head last 5

Mar 2026 FC Porto(A) 2 - 2 Benfica Draw

Jan 2026 FC Porto 1 - 0 Benfica Home

Oct 2025 FC Porto 0 - 0 Benfica Draw

Apr 2025 FC Porto 1 - 4 Benfica Away

Nov 2024 FC Porto(A) 1 - 4 Benfica Away

In the last 5 meetings, FC Porto won 1, drew 2 and lost 2.

Current Streaks

FC Porto — unbeaten run (home)3

FC Porto — scoring streak (home)17

Benfica — winless run (away)1

Benfica — clean sheets (away, last 5)2 of 5

1X2 Probability model

FC Porto Win (1)52%

Draw (X)24%

Benfica Win (2)24%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

100% +0.5 88%

76% +1.5 59%

35% +2.5 35%

18% +3.5 6%

0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

0% -0.5 12%

24% -1.5 41%

65% -2.5 65%

82% -3.5 94%

100% -4.5 100%

FC Porto vs Benfica — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

FC Porto — scored (home)2.29

FC Porto — conceded (home)0.65

Benfica — scored (away)1.88

Benfica — conceded (away)0.94

Model expected combined goals2.69

Both Teams To Score

Yes52%

No48%

Rate per Team

FC Porto — BTTS matches (home)47%

Benfica — BTTS matches (away)53%

Combined (simple average)50%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.597%

Under 4.53%

Over 5.594%

Under 5.56%

Over 6.588%

Under 6.512%

Over 7.574%

Under 7.526%

Over 8.565%

Under 8.535%

Over 9.550%

Under 9.550%

Over 10.541%

Under 10.559%

Expected total corners (blended average)9.70

Per-Team Corners own matches

FC Porto (home)

Corners for6.4

Corners against3.8

Benfica (away)

Corners for6.4

Corners against2.9

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

FC Porto

9 16 11 4 10

Benfica

10 14 6 8 12

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%

Under 0.50%

Over 1.597%

Under 1.53%

Over 2.585%

Under 2.515%

Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4.9

Yellow Cards per Team

FC Porto (home)

For2.0

Benfica (away)

For2.2

Shots per Game

FC Porto — total shots (home)16.2

Benfica — total shots (away)14.7

Shots on Target

FC Porto — on target (home)6.2

Benfica — on target (away)5.5

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

FC Porto

Inside the box9.71

Outside the box4.56

Benfica

Inside the box10.65

Outside the box6.21

Player Shots FC Porto

Galeno

Shots on Target/Game2.1

+0.5 On Target67%

+1.5 On Target44%

D. Namaso

Shots on Target/Game1.9

+0.5 On Target24%

+1.5 On Target14%

Samu

Shots on Target/Game1.7

+0.5 On Target67%

+1.5 On Target30%

Iván Jaime

Shots on Target/Game1.5

+0.5 On Target44%

+1.5 On Target22%

Pepê Aquino

Shots on Target/Game1.4

+0.5 On Target32%

+1.5 On Target10%

Player Shots Benfica

A. Belotti

Shots on Target/Game2

+0.5 On Target50%

+1.5 On Target21%

Tiago Gouveia

Shots on Target/Game2

+0.5 On Target50%

+1.5 On Target50%

Z. Amdouni

Shots on Target/Game1.8

+0.5 On Target38%

+1.5 On Target25%

Arthur Cabral

Shots on Target/Game1.7

+0.5 On Target29%

+1.5 On Target14%

Á. Di María

Shots on Target/Game1.6

+0.5 On Target44%

+1.5 On Target20%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

FC Porto xG (home)1.6

Benfica xG (away)2.23

Average Possession

62.03% Possession 58.38%

Team Comparison FC Porto vs Benfica

85.85% Pass accuracy 84.06%

514.44 Passes per match 501.68

-0.06 Goals prevented -0.07

14.24 Fouls committed 11.76

1.91 Goalkeeper saves 2.29

1.45 Offsides 3.11

13.82 Tackles per match 18.65

League average xG this season is 1.21 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.

PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

FC Porto vs Benfica prediction analysis

Review FC Porto vs Benfica with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Primeira Liga.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Primeira Liga

DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics

Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators

AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights