Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: FC Porto vs GIL Vicente

FC Porto vs GIL Vicente prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Primeira Liga 2024-08-10 19:30
FC Porto
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
52%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-0
GIL Vicente
Away

Prediction Summary

1
65%
X
21%
2
14%
Over 2.5
52%
BTTS No
53%
Confidence
Medium

Market Evidence

FC Porto (Home)

Goals scored / match2.29
Goals conceded / match0.65
Over 2.5 rate35%
BTTS rate47%

GIL Vicente (Away)

Goals scored / match0.94
Goals conceded / match1.65
Over 2.5 rate12%
BTTS rate53%

Team Form last 5 matches

FC Porto
WWWLW
GIL Vicente
DDLWW

Goals Comparison rate per team

100% +0.5 65%
76% +1.5 18%
35% +2.5 12%
18% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%
47% BTTS 53%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 52%. Model confidence is Medium.

FC Porto averages 2.29 goals scored at home, while GIL Vicente averages 0.94 goals scored away.

Model Strength
65%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
65%
Draw
21%
Away Win
14%
Over 2.5
52%
BTTS Yes
47%

Head-to-Head last 5

Jan 2026 FC Porto 3 - 0 GIL Vicente Home
Aug 2025 FC Porto(A) 2 - 0 GIL Vicente Home
Jan 2025 FC Porto(A) 1 - 3 GIL Vicente Away
Aug 2024 FC Porto 3 - 0 GIL Vicente Home
Feb 2024 FC Porto(A) 1 - 1 GIL Vicente Draw

In the last 5 meetings, FC Porto won 3, drew 1 and lost 1.

Current Streaks

FC Porto — unbeaten run (home)3
FC Porto — scoring streak (home)17
GIL Vicente — winless run (away)2
GIL Vicente — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5

1X2 Probability model

FC Porto Win (1)65%
Draw (X)21%
GIL Vicente Win (2)14%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

100% +0.5 65%
76% +1.5 18%
35% +2.5 12%
18% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

0% -0.5 35%
24% -1.5 82%
65% -2.5 88%
82% -3.5 100%
100% -4.5 100%

FC Porto vs GIL Vicente — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

FC Porto — scored (home)2.29
FC Porto — conceded (home)0.65
GIL Vicente — scored (away)0.94
GIL Vicente — conceded (away)1.65
Model expected combined goals2.77

Both Teams To Score

Yes47%
No53%

Rate per Team

FC Porto — BTTS matches (home)47%
GIL Vicente — BTTS matches (away)53%
Combined (simple average)50%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.5100%
Under 4.50%
Over 5.597%
Under 5.53%
Over 6.588%
Under 6.512%
Over 7.579%
Under 7.521%
Over 8.574%
Under 8.526%
Over 9.547%
Under 9.553%
Over 10.538%
Under 10.562%
Expected total corners (blended average)9.90

Per-Team Corners own matches

FC Porto (home)

Corners for6.4
Corners against3.8

GIL Vicente (away)

Corners for3.4
Corners against6.2

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

FC Porto
9 16 11 4 10
GIL Vicente
9 5 11 5 13

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.597%
Under 0.53%
Over 1.588%
Under 1.512%
Over 2.582%
Under 2.518%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4.4

Yellow Cards per Team

FC Porto (home)

For2.0

GIL Vicente (away)

For2.2

Shots per Game

FC Porto — total shots (home)16.2
GIL Vicente — total shots (away)7.8

Shots on Target

FC Porto — on target (home)6.2
GIL Vicente — on target (away)2.5

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

FC Porto

Inside the box9.71
Outside the box4.56

GIL Vicente

Inside the box6.09
Outside the box3.53

Player Shots FC Porto

Galeno
Shots on Target/Game2.1
+0.5 On Target67%
+1.5 On Target44%
D. Namaso
Shots on Target/Game1.9
+0.5 On Target24%
+1.5 On Target14%
Samu
Shots on Target/Game1.7
+0.5 On Target67%
+1.5 On Target30%
Iván Jaime
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target44%
+1.5 On Target22%
Pepê Aquino
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target32%
+1.5 On Target10%

Player Shots GIL Vicente

A. Bamba
Shots on Target/Game2
+0.5 On Target18%
+1.5 On Target9%
Pablo
Shots on Target/Game2
+0.5 On Target20%
+1.5 On Target5%
K. Fujimoto
Shots on Target/Game1.6
+0.5 On Target27%
+1.5 On Target13%
T. Touré
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target24%
+1.5 On Target8%
Félix Correia
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target36%
+1.5 On Target12%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

FC Porto xG (home)1.6
GIL Vicente xG (away)0.94

Average Possession

62.03% Possession 50.85%

Team Comparison FC Porto vs GIL Vicente

85.85% Pass accuracy 81.62%
514.44 Passes per match 437.18
-0.06 Goals prevented -0.1
14.24 Fouls committed 11.62
1.91 Goalkeeper saves 2.71
1.45 Offsides 1.53
13.82 Tackles per match 15.71

League average xG this season is 1.21 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

FC Porto vs GIL Vicente prediction analysis

Review FC Porto vs GIL Vicente with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Primeira Liga.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Primeira Liga
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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