What markets are included in the FC Porto vs Manchester United prediction?

GoalStatsLab may analyze 1X2 outcome probabilities, Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams To Score, corners and cards where enough match data is available.

How is the FC Porto vs Manchester United prediction calculated?

The prediction is based on available football data such as recent form, goals scored and conceded, home and away performance, league trends and selected market probabilities.

Are football predictions guaranteed?

No. Football predictions are statistical estimates and should be used for analysis, not as guaranteed betting outcomes or financial advice.

Prediction Analysis: FC Porto vs Manchester United

FC Porto vs Manchester United prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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UEFA Europa League 2024-10-03 19:00

FC Porto

Home

Selected Prediction

Featured Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

Pick

Yes

Probability

52%

Confidence

Medium

Score

1-1

Manchester United

Away

Prediction Summary

37%

26%

37%

Over 2.5

52%

BTTS Yes

56%

Confidence

Medium

Market Evidence

FC Porto (Home)

Goals scored / match1.6

Goals conceded / match1

Over 2.5 rate20%

BTTS rate40%

Manchester United (Away)

Goals scored / match1.75

Goals conceded / match1.13

Over 2.5 rate25%

BTTS rate63%

Team Form last 5 matches

FC Porto

LDWLW

Manchester United

LWWWD

Goals Comparison rate per team

80% +0.5 88%

60% +1.5 63%

20% +2.5 25%

0% +3.5 0%

0% +4.5 0%

40% BTTS 63%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 52%. Model confidence is Medium.

FC Porto averages 1.6 goals scored at home, while Manchester United averages 1.75 goals scored away.

Model Strength

56%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win

37%

Draw

26%

Away Win

37%

Over 2.5

52%

BTTS Yes

56%

Head-to-Head last 1

Oct 2024 FC Porto 3 - 3 Manchester United Draw

In the last 1 meetings, FC Porto won 0, drew 1 and lost 0.

Current Streaks

FC Porto — unbeaten run (home)1

FC Porto — scoring streak (home)1

Manchester United — winless run (away)1

Manchester United — clean sheets (away, last 5)2 of 5

1X2 Probability model

FC Porto Win (1)37%

Draw (X)26%

Manchester United Win (2)37%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

80% +0.5 88%

60% +1.5 63%

20% +2.5 25%

0% +3.5 0%

0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

20% -0.5 12%

40% -1.5 37%

80% -2.5 75%

100% -3.5 100%

100% -4.5 100%

FC Porto vs Manchester United — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

FC Porto — scored (home)1.6

FC Porto — conceded (home)1

Manchester United — scored (away)1.75

Manchester United — conceded (away)1.13

Model expected combined goals2.74

Both Teams To Score

Yes56%

No44%

Rate per Team

FC Porto — BTTS matches (home)40%

Manchester United — BTTS matches (away)63%

Combined (simple average)51.5%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.590%

Under 4.510%

Over 5.590%

Under 5.510%

Over 6.584%

Under 6.516%

Over 7.584%

Under 7.516%

Over 8.572%

Under 8.528%

Over 9.553%

Under 9.547%

Over 10.533%

Under 10.567%

Expected total corners (blended average)10.20

Per-Team Corners own matches

FC Porto (home)

Corners for4.0

Corners against6.8

Manchester United (away)

Corners for5.5

Corners against4.1

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

FC Porto

10 4 14 10 7

Manchester United

13 10 9 2 9

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%

Under 0.50%

Over 1.5100%

Under 1.50%

Over 2.584%

Under 2.516%

Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4.5

Yellow Cards per Team

FC Porto (home)

For2.2

Manchester United (away)

For2.4

Shots per Game

FC Porto — total shots (home)14.0

Manchester United — total shots (away)16.9

Shots on Target

FC Porto — on target (home)4.4

Manchester United — on target (away)6.4

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

FC Porto

Inside the box9.1

Outside the box4

Manchester United

Inside the box12.47

Outside the box5.07

Player Shots FC Porto

Samu

Shots on Target/Game2

+0.5 On Target56%

+1.5 On Target44%

Francisco Moura

Shots on Target/Game1.5

+0.5 On Target22%

+1.5 On Target11%

D. Namaso

Shots on Target/Game1.5

+0.5 On Target25%

+1.5 On Target13%

D. Gül

Shots on Target/Game1.5

+0.5 On Target33%

+1.5 On Target17%

Pepê Aquino

Shots on Target/Game1.2

+0.5 On Target50%

+1.5 On Target10%

Player Shots Manchester United

M. Mount

Shots on Target/Game2

+0.5 On Target22%

+1.5 On Target22%

Bruno Fernandes

Shots on Target/Game1.7

+0.5 On Target64%

+1.5 On Target21%

K. Mainoo

Shots on Target/Game1.5

+0.5 On Target25%

+1.5 On Target13%

R. Højlund

Shots on Target/Game1.4

+0.5 On Target60%

+1.5 On Target20%

A. Garnacho

Shots on Target/Game1.4

+0.5 On Target67%

+1.5 On Target27%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

FC Porto xG (home)1.27

Manchester United xG (away)2.15

Average Possession

52.2% Possession 58.33%

Team Comparison FC Porto vs Manchester United

84.4% Pass accuracy 85.27%

463.5 Passes per match 539.2

-0.19 Goals prevented -0.18

11.9 Fouls committed 10.07

2.3 Goalkeeper saves 2.67

1.7 Offsides 1.57

16.9 Tackles per match 18

League average xG this season is 1.47 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.

PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

FC Porto vs Manchester United prediction analysis

Review FC Porto vs Manchester United with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from UEFA Europa League.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance UEFA Europa League

DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics

Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators

AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights