Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: FC Saarbrücken vs Verl

FC Saarbrücken vs Verl prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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3. Liga 2025-10-18 12:00
FC Saarbrücken
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
62%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-1
Verl
Away

Prediction Summary

1
51%
X
22%
2
26%
Over 2.5
62%
BTTS Yes
62%
Confidence
Medium

Market Evidence

FC Saarbrücken (Home)

Goals scored / match1.63
Goals conceded / match1.16
Over 2.5 rate16%
BTTS rate63%

Verl (Away)

Goals scored / match1.68
Goals conceded / match1.58
Over 2.5 rate16%
BTTS rate74%

Team Form last 5 matches

FC Saarbrücken
LLWWD
Verl
WLWLW

Goals Comparison rate per team

84% +0.5 79%
58% +1.5 53%
16% +2.5 16%
5% +3.5 16%
0% +4.5 5%
63% BTTS 74%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 62%. Model confidence is Medium.

FC Saarbrücken averages 1.63 goals scored at home, while Verl averages 1.68 goals scored away.

Model Strength
62%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
51%
Draw
22%
Away Win
26%
Over 2.5
62%
BTTS Yes
62%

Head-to-Head last 2

Mar 2026 FC Saarbrücken(A) 0 - 3 Verl Away
Oct 2025 FC Saarbrücken 2 - 4 Verl Away

In the last 2 meetings, FC Saarbrücken won 0, drew 0 and lost 2.

Current Streaks

FC Saarbrücken — unbeaten run (home)0
FC Saarbrücken — scoring streak (home)2
Verl — winless run (away)4
Verl — clean sheets (away, last 5)0 of 5

1X2 Probability model

FC Saarbrücken Win (1)51%
Draw (X)22%
Verl Win (2)26%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

84% +0.5 79%
58% +1.5 53%
16% +2.5 16%
5% +3.5 16%
0% +4.5 5%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

16% -0.5 21%
42% -1.5 47%
84% -2.5 84%
95% -3.5 84%
100% -4.5 95%

FC Saarbrücken vs Verl — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

FC Saarbrücken — scored (home)1.63
FC Saarbrücken — conceded (home)1.16
Verl — scored (away)1.68
Verl — conceded (away)1.58
Model expected combined goals3.2

Both Teams To Score

Yes62%
No38%

Rate per Team

FC Saarbrücken — BTTS matches (home)63%
Verl — BTTS matches (away)74%
Combined (simple average)68.5%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.584%
Under 4.516%
Over 5.581%
Under 5.519%
Over 6.574%
Under 6.526%
Over 7.568%
Under 7.532%
Over 8.562%
Under 8.538%
Over 9.552%
Under 9.548%
Over 10.542%
Under 10.558%
Expected total corners (blended average)9.60

Per-Team Corners own matches

FC Saarbrücken (home)

Corners for8.1
Corners against3.8

Verl (away)

Corners for6.2
Corners against3.9

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

FC Saarbrücken
13 17 0 0 0
Verl
4 10 0 0 0

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%
Under 0.50%
Over 1.594%
Under 1.56%
Over 2.581%
Under 2.519%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4.3

Yellow Cards per Team

FC Saarbrücken (home)

For2.3

Verl (away)

For2.1

Shots per Game

FC Saarbrücken — total shots (home)16.2
Verl — total shots (away)12.9

Shots on Target

FC Saarbrücken — on target (home)5.4
Verl — on target (away)4.9

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

FC Saarbrücken

Inside the box8.8
Outside the box5.4

Verl

Inside the box9.11
Outside the box5.89

Player Shots FC Saarbrücken

F. Pick
Shots on Target/Game0.9
+0.5 On Target48%
+1.5 On Target26%
M. Multhaup
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target40%
+1.5 On Target20%
P. Schmidt
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target38%
+1.5 On Target23%
K. Rabihić
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target29%
+1.5 On Target21%
C. Rizzuto
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target42%
+1.5 On Target5%

Player Shots Verl

A. Besio
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target73%
+1.5 On Target41%
B. Taz
Shots on Target/Game1.2
+0.5 On Target68%
+1.5 On Target40%
J. Arweiler
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target17%
O. Mhamdi
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target48%
+1.5 On Target4%
T. Gayret
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target55%
+1.5 On Target5%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

FC Saarbrücken xG (home)1.65
Verl xG (away)1.63

Average Possession

47.72% Possession 65.93%

Team Comparison FC Saarbrücken vs Verl

78.96% Pass accuracy 86.85%
391.56 Passes per match 594
0 Goals prevented 0
12.56 Fouls committed 9.63
3.48 Goalkeeper saves 2.67
2.04 Offsides 2.33
3.61 Tackles per match 2.4

League average xG this season is 1.6 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

FC Saarbrücken vs Verl prediction analysis

Review FC Saarbrücken vs Verl with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from 3. Liga.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance 3. Liga
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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