Prediction Analysis: FC Schalke 04 vs 1. FC Nürnberg
FC Schalke 04 vs 1. FC Nürnberg prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.
2. Bundesliga
2025-12-14
12:30
FC Schalke 04
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
42%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-0
1. FC Nürnberg
Away
Prediction Summary
1
52%
X
26%
2
21%
Under 2.5
58%
BTTS No
55%
Confidence
Medium
Market Evidence
FC Schalke 04 (Home)
Goals scored / match1.71
Goals conceded / match0.82
Over 2.5 rate12%
BTTS rate47%
1. FC Nürnberg (Away)
Goals scored / match1.18
Goals conceded / match1.65
Over 2.5 rate18%
BTTS rate76%
Team Form last 5 matches
FC Schalke 04
WLWWW
1. FC Nürnberg
DWDWD
Goals Comparison rate per team
94%
+0.5
76%
47%
+1.5
24%
12%
+2.5
18%
12%
+3.5
0%
6%
+4.5
0%
47%
BTTS
76%
Model Insight
The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 42%. Model confidence is Medium.
FC Schalke 04 averages 1.71 goals scored at home, while 1. FC Nürnberg averages 1.18 goals scored away.
Model Strength
58%
Other Top Markets for This Match
Home Win
52%
Draw
26%
Away Win
21%
Over 2.5
42%
BTTS Yes
45%
Head-to-Head last 5
May 2026
FC Schalke 04(A)
0 - 3
1. FC Nürnberg
Away
Dec 2025
FC Schalke 04
1 - 0
1. FC Nürnberg
Home
Jan 2025
FC Schalke 04
3 - 1
1. FC Nürnberg
Home
Aug 2024
FC Schalke 04(A)
1 - 3
1. FC Nürnberg
Away
Apr 2024
FC Schalke 04
2 - 0
1. FC Nürnberg
Home
In the last 5 meetings, FC Schalke 04 won 3, drew 0 and lost 2.
Current Streaks
FC Schalke 04 — unbeaten run (home)14
FC Schalke 04 — scoring streak (home)14
1. FC Nürnberg — winless run (away)4
1. FC Nürnberg — clean sheets (away, last 5)0 of 5
1X2 Probability model
FC Schalke 04 Win (1)52%
Draw (X)26%
1. FC Nürnberg Win (2)21%
Goals Over rate per team, own matches
94%
+0.5
76%
47%
+1.5
24%
12%
+2.5
18%
12%
+3.5
0%
6%
+4.5
0%
Goals Under rate per team, own matches
6%
-0.5
24%
53%
-1.5
76%
88%
-2.5
82%
88%
-3.5
100%
94%
-4.5
100%
FC Schalke 04 vs 1. FC Nürnberg — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.
Goal Averages per Team
FC Schalke 04 — scored (home)1.71
FC Schalke 04 — conceded (home)0.82
1. FC Nürnberg — scored (away)1.18
1. FC Nürnberg — conceded (away)1.65
Model expected combined goals2.36
Both Teams To Score
Yes45%
No55%
Rate per Team
FC Schalke 04 — BTTS matches (home)47%
1. FC Nürnberg — BTTS matches (away)76%
Combined (simple average)61.5%
Corners Line match total, blended estimate
Over 4.594%
Under 4.56%
Over 5.588%
Under 5.512%
Over 6.571%
Under 6.529%
Over 7.562%
Under 7.538%
Over 8.553%
Under 8.547%
Over 9.541%
Under 9.559%
Over 10.535%
Under 10.565%
Expected total corners (blended average)9.20
Per-Team Corners own matches
FC Schalke 04 (home)
Corners for5.4
Corners against3.9
1. FC Nürnberg (away)
Corners for5.1
Corners against4.1
Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners
FC Schalke 04
9
9
5
10
7
1. FC Nürnberg
4
8
9
10
15
Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate
Over 0.5100%
Under 0.50%
Over 1.597%
Under 1.53%
Over 2.582%
Under 2.518%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4.5
Yellow Cards per Team
FC Schalke 04 (home)
For2.1
1. FC Nürnberg (away)
For2.8
Shots per Game
FC Schalke 04 — total shots (home)15.6
1. FC Nürnberg — total shots (away)11.5
Shots on Target
FC Schalke 04 — on target (home)5.6
1. FC Nürnberg — on target (away)4.1
Shot Location Split avg per match, season
FC Schalke 04
Inside the box10.06
Outside the box4.12
1. FC Nürnberg
Inside the box8.79
Outside the box4.09
Player Shots FC Schalke 04
M. Sylla
Shots on Target/Game2.1
+0.5 On Target67%
+1.5 On Target40%
E. Džeko
Shots on Target/Game2
+0.5 On Target73%
+1.5 On Target45%
D. Ljubičić
Shots on Target/Game1.7
+0.5 On Target47%
+1.5 On Target33%
K. Karaman
Shots on Target/Game1.7
+0.5 On Target56%
+1.5 On Target28%
C. Gomis
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target26%
+1.5 On Target5%
Player Shots 1. FC Nürnberg
P. Scobel
Shots on Target/Game3.5
+0.5 On Target10%
+1.5 On Target5%
P. Diop
Shots on Target/Game2
+0.5 On Target10%
+1.5 On Target10%
M. Zoma
Shots on Target/Game1.7
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target21%
H. Koudossou
Shots on Target/Game1.7
+0.5 On Target21%
+1.5 On Target14%
L. Lochoshvili
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target34%
+1.5 On Target13%
Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.
Expected Goals (xG)
FC Schalke 04 xG (home)1.68
1. FC Nürnberg xG (away)1.4
Average Possession
45.91%
Possession
49.35%
Team Comparison FC Schalke 04 vs 1. FC Nürnberg
70.5%
Pass accuracy
80.79%
358.41
Passes per match
403.09
-0.23
Goals prevented
-0.2
12.59
Fouls committed
11.88
2.03
Goalkeeper saves
3
1.69
Offsides
1.34
19.29
Tackles per match
15.61
League average xG this season is 1.49 per team per match, for context.
Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS
FC Schalke 04 vs 1. FC Nürnberg prediction analysis
Review FC Schalke 04 vs 1. FC Nürnberg with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from 2. Bundesliga.
1X2
Over 2.5
BTTS
Recent form
Team performance
2. Bundesliga
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights