Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: FC Schalke 04 vs Bayern München

FC Schalke 04 vs Bayern München prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Bundesliga 2026-09-05 16:30
FC Schalke 04
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
70%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-2
Bayern München
Away

Prediction Summary

1
14%
X
17%
2
69%
Over 2.5
70%
BTTS Yes
60%
Confidence
Medium

Market Evidence

FC Schalke 04 (Home)

Goals scored / match0
Goals conceded / match0
Over 2.5 rate0%
BTTS rate0%

Bayern München (Away)

Goals scored / match3.18
Goals conceded / match1
Over 2.5 rate76%
BTTS rate59%

Team Form last 5 matches

Bayern München
WWDWW

Goals Comparison rate per team

0% +0.5 100%
0% +1.5 88%
0% +2.5 76%
0% +3.5 35%
0% +4.5 18%
0% BTTS 59%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 70%. Model confidence is Medium.

FC Schalke 04 averages 0 goals scored at home, while Bayern München averages 3.18 goals scored away.

Model Strength
70%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
14%
Draw
17%
Away Win
69%
Over 2.5
70%
BTTS Yes
60%

Head-to-Head last 5

May 2023 FC Schalke 04(A) 0 - 6 Bayern München Away
Nov 2022 FC Schalke 04 0 - 2 Bayern München Away
Jan 2021 FC Schalke 04 0 - 4 Bayern München Away
Sep 2020 FC Schalke 04(A) 0 - 8 Bayern München Away
Mar 2020 FC Schalke 04 0 - 1 Bayern München Away

In the last 5 meetings, FC Schalke 04 won 0, drew 0 and lost 5.

Current Streaks

Bayern München — winless run (away)0
Bayern München — clean sheets (away, last 5)2 of 5

1X2 Probability model

FC Schalke 04 Win (1)14%
Draw (X)17%
Bayern München Win (2)69%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

0% +0.5 100%
0% +1.5 88%
0% +2.5 76%
0% +3.5 35%
0% +4.5 18%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

100% -0.5 0%
100% -1.5 12%
100% -2.5 24%
100% -3.5 65%
100% -4.5 82%

FC Schalke 04 vs Bayern München — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

FC Schalke 04 — scored (home)0
FC Schalke 04 — conceded (home)0
Bayern München — scored (away)3.18
Bayern München — conceded (away)1
Model expected combined goals3.6

Both Teams To Score

Yes60%
No40%

Rate per Team

FC Schalke 04 — BTTS matches (home)0%
Bayern München — BTTS matches (away)59%
Combined (simple average)29.5%

Corners Line model prediction

Over 8.559%
Under 8.541%
Over 9.549%
Under 9.551%
Over 10.539%
Under 10.561%
Expected total corners (model prediction)9.80

Per-Team Corners own matches

FC Schalke 04 (home)

Corners for—
Corners against—

Bayern München (away)

Corners for5.1
Corners against3.9

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Bayern München
14 8 18 9 10

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.544%
Under 0.556%
Over 1.536%
Under 1.564%
Over 2.536%
Under 2.564%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)3.8

Yellow Cards per Team

FC Schalke 04 (home)

For—

Bayern München (away)

For2.3

Shots Forecast model prediction

Match Total

Over 19.579%
Under 19.521%
Over 22.566%
Under 22.534%
Over 25.553%
Under 25.547%
Expected total shots26.94

FC Schalke 04

Shots Over 9.574%
Shots Over 11.558%
Shots Over 13.542%
Expected shots13.01
On Target Over 3.562%
On Target Over 4.545%
On Target Over 5.530%
Expected on target4.46

Bayern München

Shots Over 9.579%
Shots Over 11.565%
Shots Over 13.549%
Expected shots13.93
On Target Over 3.575%
On Target Over 4.560%
On Target Over 5.545%
Expected on target5.48

Shots per Game

FC Schalke 04 — total shots (home)—
Bayern München — total shots (away)16.8

Shots on Target

FC Schalke 04 — on target (home)—
Bayern München — on target (away)8.1

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

FC Schalke 04

Inside the box-
Outside the box-

Bayern München

Inside the box12.97
Outside the box6.21

Player Shots FC Schalke 04

Not enough dataNot enough player match statistics for this squad.

Player Shots Bayern München

H. Kane
Shots on Target/Game2.2
+0.5 On Target87%
+1.5 On Target55%
M. Olise
Shots on Target/Game1.6
+0.5 On Target81%
+1.5 On Target47%
L. Díaz
Shots on Target/Game1.2
+0.5 On Target69%
+1.5 On Target31%
N. Jackson
Shots on Target/Game0.9
+0.5 On Target70%
+1.5 On Target13%
S. Gnabry
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target52%
+1.5 On Target19%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

FC Schalke 04 xG (home)-
Bayern München xG (away)2.96

Average Possession

-% Possession 67.44%

Team Comparison FC Schalke 04 vs Bayern München

0% Pass accuracy 89.88%
- Passes per match 700.91
- Goals prevented -0.3
- Fouls committed 8.79
- Goalkeeper saves 2.03
- Offsides 2.44
- Tackles per match 12.79

League average xG this season is 1.57 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

FC Schalke 04 vs Bayern München prediction and preview

Preview FC Schalke 04 vs Bayern München with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, recent form and key team performance data.

1X2 Over/Under 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Bundesliga
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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