Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: FC Schalke 04 vs SpVgg Greuther Fürth

FC Schalke 04 vs SpVgg Greuther Fürth prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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2. Bundesliga 2025-09-26 16:30
FC Schalke 04
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
79%
Confidence
High
Score
1-2
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
Away

Prediction Summary

1
37%
X
20%
2
43%
Over 2.5
79%
BTTS Yes
77%
Confidence
High

Market Evidence

FC Schalke 04 (Home)

Goals scored / match1.71
Goals conceded / match0.82
Over 2.5 rate12%
BTTS rate47%

SpVgg Greuther Fürth (Away)

Goals scored / match1.28
Goals conceded / match2.11
Over 2.5 rate11%
BTTS rate67%

Team Form last 5 matches

FC Schalke 04
WLWWW
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
WLWLD

Goals Comparison rate per team

94% +0.5 67%
47% +1.5 39%
12% +2.5 11%
12% +3.5 6%
6% +4.5 6%
47% BTTS 67%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 79%. Model confidence is High.

FC Schalke 04 averages 1.71 goals scored at home, while SpVgg Greuther Fürth averages 1.28 goals scored away.

Model Strength
79%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
37%
Draw
20%
Away Win
43%
Over 2.5
79%
BTTS Yes
77%

Head-to-Head last 5

Feb 2026 FC Schalke 04(A) 1 - 1 SpVgg Greuther Fürth Draw
Sep 2025 FC Schalke 04 1 - 0 SpVgg Greuther Fürth Home
Mar 2025 FC Schalke 04(A) 3 - 3 SpVgg Greuther Fürth Draw
Oct 2024 FC Schalke 04 3 - 4 SpVgg Greuther Fürth Away
May 2024 FC Schalke 04(A) 0 - 2 SpVgg Greuther Fürth Away

In the last 5 meetings, FC Schalke 04 won 1, drew 2 and lost 2.

Current Streaks

FC Schalke 04 — unbeaten run (home)14
FC Schalke 04 — scoring streak (home)14
SpVgg Greuther Fürth — winless run (away)5
SpVgg Greuther Fürth — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5

1X2 Probability model

FC Schalke 04 Win (1)37%
Draw (X)20%
SpVgg Greuther Fürth Win (2)43%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

94% +0.5 67%
47% +1.5 39%
12% +2.5 11%
12% +3.5 6%
6% +4.5 6%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

6% -0.5 33%
53% -1.5 61%
88% -2.5 89%
88% -3.5 94%
94% -4.5 94%

FC Schalke 04 vs SpVgg Greuther Fürth — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

FC Schalke 04 — scored (home)1.71
FC Schalke 04 — conceded (home)0.82
SpVgg Greuther Fürth — scored (away)1.28
SpVgg Greuther Fürth — conceded (away)2.11
Model expected combined goals4.17

Both Teams To Score

Yes77%
No23%

Rate per Team

FC Schalke 04 — BTTS matches (home)47%
SpVgg Greuther Fürth — BTTS matches (away)67%
Combined (simple average)57%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.5100%
Under 4.50%
Over 5.591%
Under 5.59%
Over 6.580%
Under 6.520%
Over 7.566%
Under 7.534%
Over 8.557%
Under 8.543%
Over 9.546%
Under 9.554%
Over 10.529%
Under 10.571%
Expected total corners (blended average)9.90

Per-Team Corners own matches

FC Schalke 04 (home)

Corners for5.4
Corners against3.9

SpVgg Greuther Fürth (away)

Corners for5.2
Corners against5.3

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

FC Schalke 04
9 9 5 10 7
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
9 20 5 9 14

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.595%
Under 0.55%
Over 1.595%
Under 1.55%
Over 2.583%
Under 2.517%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4.1

Yellow Cards per Team

FC Schalke 04 (home)

For2.1

SpVgg Greuther Fürth (away)

For2.3

Shots per Game

FC Schalke 04 — total shots (home)15.6
SpVgg Greuther Fürth — total shots (away)12.4

Shots on Target

FC Schalke 04 — on target (home)5.6
SpVgg Greuther Fürth — on target (away)4.1

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

FC Schalke 04

Inside the box10.06
Outside the box4.12

SpVgg Greuther Fürth

Inside the box7.14
Outside the box4.83

Player Shots FC Schalke 04

M. Sylla
Shots on Target/Game2.1
+0.5 On Target67%
+1.5 On Target40%
E. Džeko
Shots on Target/Game2
+0.5 On Target73%
+1.5 On Target45%
D. Ljubičić
Shots on Target/Game1.7
+0.5 On Target47%
+1.5 On Target33%
K. Karaman
Shots on Target/Game1.7
+0.5 On Target56%
+1.5 On Target28%
C. Gomis
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target26%
+1.5 On Target5%

Player Shots SpVgg Greuther Fürth

F. Higl
Shots on Target/Game2
+0.5 On Target5%
+1.5 On Target5%
N. Futkeu
Shots on Target/Game1.7
+0.5 On Target47%
+1.5 On Target28%
F. Klaus
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target66%
+1.5 On Target31%
S. Ltaief
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target40%
+1.5 On Target20%
J. Green
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target26%
+1.5 On Target4%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

FC Schalke 04 xG (home)1.68
SpVgg Greuther Fürth xG (away)1.29

Average Possession

45.91% Possession 48.22%

Team Comparison FC Schalke 04 vs SpVgg Greuther Fürth

70.5% Pass accuracy 78.69%
358.41 Passes per match 397.89
-0.23 Goals prevented 0.08
12.59 Fouls committed 11.33
2.03 Goalkeeper saves 2.89
1.69 Offsides 1.74
19.29 Tackles per match 15.75

League average xG this season is 1.49 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

FC Schalke 04 vs SpVgg Greuther Fürth prediction analysis

Review FC Schalke 04 vs SpVgg Greuther Fürth with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from 2. Bundesliga.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance 2. Bundesliga
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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