Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: FC Schalke 04 vs VfL Bochum

FC Schalke 04 vs VfL Bochum prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

Back to Predictions
2. Bundesliga 2025-08-23 18:30
FC Schalke 04
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
48%
Confidence
Low
Score
1-0
VfL Bochum
Away

Prediction Summary

1
53%
X
25%
2
23%
Under 2.5
52%
BTTS · No edge
50%
Confidence
Low

Market Evidence

FC Schalke 04 (Home)

Goals scored / match1.71
Goals conceded / match0.82
Over 2.5 rate12%
BTTS rate47%

VfL Bochum (Away)

Goals scored / match1.12
Goals conceded / match1.53
Over 2.5 rate6%
BTTS rate71%

Team Form last 5 matches

FC Schalke 04
WLWWW
VfL Bochum
WDDWL

Goals Comparison rate per team

94% +0.5 82%
47% +1.5 24%
12% +2.5 6%
12% +3.5 0%
6% +4.5 0%
47% BTTS 71%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 48%. Model confidence is Low.

FC Schalke 04 averages 1.71 goals scored at home, while VfL Bochum averages 1.12 goals scored away.

Model Strength
53%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
53%
Draw
25%
Away Win
23%
Over 2.5
48%
BTTS Yes
50%

Head-to-Head last 4

Jan 2026 FC Schalke 04(A) 0 - 2 VfL Bochum Away
Aug 2025 FC Schalke 04 2 - 1 VfL Bochum Home
Mar 2023 FC Schalke 04(A) 2 - 0 VfL Bochum Home
Sep 2022 FC Schalke 04 3 - 1 VfL Bochum Home

In the last 4 meetings, FC Schalke 04 won 3, drew 0 and lost 1.

Current Streaks

FC Schalke 04 — unbeaten run (home)14
FC Schalke 04 — scoring streak (home)14
VfL Bochum — winless run (away)0
VfL Bochum — clean sheets (away, last 5)0 of 5

1X2 Probability model

FC Schalke 04 Win (1)53%
Draw (X)25%
VfL Bochum Win (2)23%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

94% +0.5 82%
47% +1.5 24%
12% +2.5 6%
12% +3.5 0%
6% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

6% -0.5 18%
53% -1.5 76%
88% -2.5 94%
88% -3.5 100%
94% -4.5 100%

FC Schalke 04 vs VfL Bochum — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

FC Schalke 04 — scored (home)1.71
FC Schalke 04 — conceded (home)0.82
VfL Bochum — scored (away)1.12
VfL Bochum — conceded (away)1.53
Model expected combined goals2.59

Both Teams To Score

Yes50%
No50%

Rate per Team

FC Schalke 04 — BTTS matches (home)47%
VfL Bochum — BTTS matches (away)71%
Combined (simple average)59%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.5100%
Under 4.50%
Over 5.594%
Under 5.56%
Over 6.583%
Under 6.517%
Over 7.571%
Under 7.529%
Over 8.568%
Under 8.532%
Over 9.559%
Under 9.541%
Over 10.550%
Under 10.550%
Expected total corners (blended average)10.70

Per-Team Corners own matches

FC Schalke 04 (home)

Corners for5.4
Corners against3.9

VfL Bochum (away)

Corners for5.0
Corners against7.1

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

FC Schalke 04
9 9 5 10 7
VfL Bochum
9 10 10 8 13

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.597%
Under 0.53%
Over 1.597%
Under 1.53%
Over 2.574%
Under 2.526%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4.1

Yellow Cards per Team

FC Schalke 04 (home)

For2.1

VfL Bochum (away)

For3.1

Shots per Game

FC Schalke 04 — total shots (home)15.6
VfL Bochum — total shots (away)11.6

Shots on Target

FC Schalke 04 — on target (home)5.6
VfL Bochum — on target (away)3.6

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

FC Schalke 04

Inside the box10.06
Outside the box4.12

VfL Bochum

Inside the box10.59
Outside the box3.29

Player Shots FC Schalke 04

M. Sylla
Shots on Target/Game2.1
+0.5 On Target67%
+1.5 On Target40%
E. Džeko
Shots on Target/Game2
+0.5 On Target73%
+1.5 On Target45%
D. Ljubičić
Shots on Target/Game1.7
+0.5 On Target47%
+1.5 On Target33%
K. Karaman
Shots on Target/Game1.7
+0.5 On Target56%
+1.5 On Target28%
C. Gomis
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target26%
+1.5 On Target5%

Player Shots VfL Bochum

K. Miyoshi
Shots on Target/Game1.7
+0.5 On Target32%
+1.5 On Target14%
P. Hofmann
Shots on Target/Game1.6
+0.5 On Target44%
+1.5 On Target13%
G. Holtmann
Shots on Target/Game1.6
+0.5 On Target48%
+1.5 On Target20%
K. Wätjen
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target23%
+1.5 On Target8%
I. Sissoko
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target33%
+1.5 On Target17%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

FC Schalke 04 xG (home)1.68
VfL Bochum xG (away)1.65

Average Possession

45.91% Possession 45.76%

Team Comparison FC Schalke 04 vs VfL Bochum

70.5% Pass accuracy 77.15%
358.41 Passes per match 375.24
-0.23 Goals prevented 0.06
12.59 Fouls committed 13.38
2.03 Goalkeeper saves 3.26
1.69 Offsides 1.61
19.29 Tackles per match 16.03

League average xG this season is 1.49 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

FC Schalke 04 vs VfL Bochum prediction analysis

Review FC Schalke 04 vs VfL Bochum with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from 2. Bundesliga.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance 2. Bundesliga
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
Scroll to Top