Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: FC Sion vs FC Luzern

FC Sion vs FC Luzern prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Super League 2026-08-02 14:30
FC Sion
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
BTTS Yes
Pick
Yes
Probability
56%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-1
FC Luzern
Away

Prediction Summary

1
43%
X
25%
2
32%
Over 2.5
52%
BTTS Yes
56%
Confidence
Medium

Market Evidence

FC Sion (Home)

Goals scored / match1.53
Goals conceded / match0.74
Over 2.5 rate21%
BTTS rate37%

FC Luzern (Away)

Goals scored / match1.79
Goals conceded / match1.47
Over 2.5 rate32%
BTTS rate63%

Team Form last 5 matches

FC Sion
DDWWW
FC Luzern
LWWDW

Goals Comparison rate per team

74% +0.5 79%
53% +1.5 58%
21% +2.5 32%
5% +3.5 11%
0% +4.5 0%
37% BTTS 63%

Model Insight

The selected market is BTTS Yes with a probability of 56%. Model confidence is Medium.

FC Sion averages 1.53 goals scored at home, while FC Luzern averages 1.79 goals scored away.

Model Strength
56%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
43%
Draw
25%
Away Win
32%
Over 2.5
52%
BTTS Yes
56%

Head-to-Head last 5

Feb 2026 FC Sion 0 - 0 FC Luzern Draw
Jan 2026 FC Sion 1 - 1 FC Luzern Draw
Oct 2025 FC Sion(A) 3 - 3 FC Luzern Draw
Feb 2025 FC Sion(A) 1 - 2 FC Luzern Away
Nov 2024 FC Sion 4 - 2 FC Luzern Home

In the last 5 meetings, FC Sion won 1, drew 3 and lost 1.

Current Streaks

FC Sion — unbeaten run (home)14
FC Sion — scoring streak (home)7
FC Luzern — winless run (away)0
FC Luzern — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5

1X2 Probability model

FC Sion Win (1)43%
Draw (X)25%
FC Luzern Win (2)32%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

74% +0.5 79%
53% +1.5 58%
21% +2.5 32%
5% +3.5 11%
0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

26% -0.5 21%
47% -1.5 42%
79% -2.5 68%
95% -3.5 89%
100% -4.5 100%

FC Sion vs FC Luzern — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

FC Sion — scored (home)1.53
FC Sion — conceded (home)0.74
FC Luzern — scored (away)1.79
FC Luzern — conceded (away)1.47
Model expected combined goals2.76

Both Teams To Score

Yes56%
No44%

Rate per Team

FC Sion — BTTS matches (home)37%
FC Luzern — BTTS matches (away)63%
Combined (simple average)50%

Corners Line model prediction

Over 8.567%
Under 8.533%
Over 9.555%
Under 9.545%
Over 10.544%
Under 10.556%
Expected total corners (model prediction)10.20

Per-Team Corners own matches

FC Sion (home)

Corners for5.9
Corners against3.9

FC Luzern (away)

Corners for4.7
Corners against5.0

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

FC Sion
9 12 12 8 10
FC Luzern
11 8 15 7 13

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%
Under 0.50%
Over 1.592%
Under 1.58%
Over 2.590%
Under 2.510%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4.4

Yellow Cards per Team

FC Sion (home)

For1.9

FC Luzern (away)

For2.3

Shots Forecast model prediction

Match Total

Over 19.587%
Under 19.513%
Over 22.576%
Under 22.524%
Over 25.562%
Under 25.538%
Expected total shots28.69

FC Sion

Shots Over 9.586%
Shots Over 11.573%
Shots Over 13.558%
Expected shots14.89
On Target Over 3.571%
On Target Over 4.555%
On Target Over 5.540%
Expected on target5.09

FC Luzern

Shots Over 9.581%
Shots Over 11.566%
Shots Over 13.549%
Expected shots13.80
On Target Over 3.564%
On Target Over 4.546%
On Target Over 5.531%
Expected on target4.54

Shots per Game

FC Sion — total shots (home)15.1
FC Luzern — total shots (away)14.4

Shots on Target

FC Sion — on target (home)5.2
FC Luzern — on target (away)4.5

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

FC Sion

Inside the box9.58
Outside the box4.45

FC Luzern

Inside the box9.89
Outside the box4.79

Player Shots FC Sion

R. Nivokazi
Shots on Target/Game0.9
+0.5 On Target65%
+1.5 On Target22%
I. Chouaref
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target53%
+1.5 On Target13%
B. Kololli
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target43%
+1.5 On Target7%
T. Berdayes
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target37%
+1.5 On Target6%
F. Surdez
Shots on Target/Game0.4
+0.5 On Target38%
+1.5 On Target6%

Player Shots FC Luzern

O. Kabwit
Shots on Target/Game1.2
+0.5 On Target71%
+1.5 On Target35%
M. Di Giusto
Shots on Target/Game0.9
+0.5 On Target58%
+1.5 On Target29%
O. tshikomb
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target60%
+1.5 On Target10%
J. von Moos
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target43%
+1.5 On Target13%
K. Spadanuda
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target36%
+1.5 On Target12%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

FC Sion xG (home)1.67
FC Luzern xG (away)1.73

Average Possession

51.03% Possession 50.29%

Team Comparison FC Sion vs FC Luzern

80.24% Pass accuracy 78.55%
410.55 Passes per match 392.26
0.16 Goals prevented -0.09
12.55 Fouls committed 12.42
3.24 Goalkeeper saves 2.68
1.26 Offsides 1.81
17.66 Tackles per match 18.08

League average xG this season is 1.65 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

FC Sion vs FC Luzern prediction analysis

Review FC Sion vs FC Luzern with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Super League.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Super League
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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