Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: FC ST. Gallen vs BSC Young Boys

FC ST. Gallen vs BSC Young Boys prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Super League 2025-11-09 15:30
FC ST. Gallen
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
71%
Confidence
High
Score
2-1
BSC Young Boys
Away

Prediction Summary

1
66%
X
18%
2
16%
Over 2.5
71%
BTTS Yes
63%
Confidence
High

Market Evidence

FC ST. Gallen (Home)

Goals scored / match1.74
Goals conceded / match1.21
Over 2.5 rate21%
BTTS rate58%

BSC Young Boys (Away)

Goals scored / match1.95
Goals conceded / match2.32
Over 2.5 rate32%
BTTS rate74%

Team Form last 5 matches

FC ST. Gallen
DWWLW
BSC Young Boys
DWWLL

Goals Comparison rate per team

84% +0.5 79%
47% +1.5 47%
21% +2.5 32%
11% +3.5 16%
11% +4.5 5%
58% BTTS 74%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 71%. Model confidence is High.

FC ST. Gallen averages 1.74 goals scored at home, while BSC Young Boys averages 1.95 goals scored away.

Model Strength
71%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
66%
Draw
18%
Away Win
16%
Over 2.5
71%
BTTS Yes
63%

Head-to-Head last 5

Apr 2026 FC ST. Gallen(A) 2 - 1 BSC Young Boys Home
Feb 2026 FC ST. Gallen 2 - 1 BSC Young Boys Home
Nov 2025 FC ST. Gallen 1 - 4 BSC Young Boys Away
Oct 2025 FC ST. Gallen(A) 2 - 1 BSC Young Boys Home
Mar 2025 FC ST. Gallen(A) 0 - 1 BSC Young Boys Away

In the last 5 meetings, FC ST. Gallen won 3, drew 0 and lost 2.

Current Streaks

FC ST. Gallen — unbeaten run (home)1
FC ST. Gallen — scoring streak (home)1
BSC Young Boys — winless run (away)0
BSC Young Boys — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5

1X2 Probability model

FC ST. Gallen Win (1)66%
Draw (X)18%
BSC Young Boys Win (2)16%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

84% +0.5 79%
47% +1.5 47%
21% +2.5 32%
11% +3.5 16%
11% +4.5 5%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

16% -0.5 21%
53% -1.5 53%
79% -2.5 68%
89% -3.5 84%
89% -4.5 95%

FC ST. Gallen vs BSC Young Boys — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

FC ST. Gallen — scored (home)1.74
FC ST. Gallen — conceded (home)1.21
BSC Young Boys — scored (away)1.95
BSC Young Boys — conceded (away)2.32
Model expected combined goals3.67

Both Teams To Score

Yes63%
No37%

Rate per Team

FC ST. Gallen — BTTS matches (home)58%
BSC Young Boys — BTTS matches (away)74%
Combined (simple average)66%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.598%
Under 4.52%
Over 5.589%
Under 5.511%
Over 6.589%
Under 6.511%
Over 7.571%
Under 7.529%
Over 8.569%
Under 8.531%
Over 9.555%
Under 9.545%
Over 10.540%
Under 10.560%
Expected total corners (blended average)10.00

Per-Team Corners own matches

FC ST. Gallen (home)

Corners for5.6
Corners against4.9

BSC Young Boys (away)

Corners for4.4
Corners against5.1

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

FC ST. Gallen
12 12 8 18 12
BSC Young Boys
12 9 11 5 10

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%
Under 0.50%
Over 1.595%
Under 1.55%
Over 2.577%
Under 2.523%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4.8

Yellow Cards per Team

FC ST. Gallen (home)

For2.3

BSC Young Boys (away)

For2.3

Shots per Game

FC ST. Gallen — total shots (home)16.8
BSC Young Boys — total shots (away)13.7

Shots on Target

FC ST. Gallen — on target (home)5.9
BSC Young Boys — on target (away)4.5

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

FC ST. Gallen

Inside the box11.5
Outside the box4.45

BSC Young Boys

Inside the box10
Outside the box5.34

Player Shots FC ST. Gallen

W. Geubbels
Shots on Target/Game3
+0.5 On Target100%
+1.5 On Target100%
A. Vogt
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target57%
+1.5 On Target31%
C. Boukhalfa
Shots on Target/Game0.9
+0.5 On Target61%
+1.5 On Target31%
A. Balde
Shots on Target/Game0.9
+0.5 On Target61%
+1.5 On Target19%
C. Witzig
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target53%
+1.5 On Target10%

Player Shots BSC Young Boys

S. Essende
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target54%
+1.5 On Target23%
C. Bedia
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target61%
+1.5 On Target31%
C. Fassnacht
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target67%
+1.5 On Target21%
A. Sanches
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target54%
+1.5 On Target25%
A. Virginius
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target9%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

FC ST. Gallen xG (home)1.98
BSC Young Boys xG (away)1.72

Average Possession

44.76% Possession 55.13%

Team Comparison FC ST. Gallen vs BSC Young Boys

68.97% Pass accuracy 81.84%
308.05 Passes per match 439.63
0.31 Goals prevented 0.13
15.92 Fouls committed 12.11
3.39 Goalkeeper saves 3.13
1.95 Offsides 1.32
16.5 Tackles per match 15.95

League average xG this season is 1.65 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

FC ST. Gallen vs BSC Young Boys prediction analysis

Review FC ST. Gallen vs BSC Young Boys with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Super League.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Super League
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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