What markets are included in the FC ST. Gallen vs FC Luzern prediction?

GoalStatsLab may analyze 1X2 outcome probabilities, Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams To Score, corners and cards where enough match data is available.

How is the FC ST. Gallen vs FC Luzern prediction calculated?

The prediction is based on available football data such as recent form, goals scored and conceded, home and away performance, league trends and selected market probabilities.

Are football predictions guaranteed?

No. Football predictions are statistical estimates and should be used for analysis, not as guaranteed betting outcomes or financial advice.

Prediction Analysis: FC ST. Gallen vs FC Luzern

FC ST. Gallen vs FC Luzern prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Super League 2026-08-09 14:30

FC ST. Gallen

Home

Selected Prediction

Featured Pick

BTTS Yes

Pick

Yes

Probability

62%

Confidence

Medium

Score

1-1

FC Luzern

Away

Prediction Summary

40%

24%

36%

Over 2.5

60%

BTTS Yes

62%

Confidence

Medium

Market Evidence

FC ST. Gallen (Home)

Goals scored / match1.74

Goals conceded / match1.21

Over 2.5 rate21%

BTTS rate58%

FC Luzern (Away)

Goals scored / match1.79

Goals conceded / match1.47

Over 2.5 rate32%

BTTS rate63%

Team Form last 5 matches

FC ST. Gallen

DWWLW

FC Luzern

LWWDW

Goals Comparison rate per team

84% +0.5 79%

47% +1.5 58%

21% +2.5 32%

11% +3.5 11%

11% +4.5 0%

58% BTTS 63%

Model Insight

The selected market is BTTS Yes with a probability of 62%. Model confidence is Medium.

FC ST. Gallen averages 1.74 goals scored at home, while FC Luzern averages 1.79 goals scored away.

Model Strength

62%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win

40%

Draw

24%

Away Win

36%

Over 2.5

60%

BTTS Yes

62%

Head-to-Head last 5

Apr 2026 FC ST. Gallen(A) 2 - 2 FC Luzern Draw

Feb 2026 FC ST. Gallen(A) 2 - 2 FC Luzern Draw

Aug 2025 FC ST. Gallen 0 - 1 FC Luzern Away

Apr 2025 FC ST. Gallen(A) 1 - 1 FC Luzern Draw

Feb 2025 FC ST. Gallen(A) 0 - 2 FC Luzern Away

In the last 5 meetings, FC ST. Gallen won 0, drew 3 and lost 2.

Current Streaks

FC ST. Gallen — unbeaten run (home)1

FC ST. Gallen — scoring streak (home)1

FC Luzern — winless run (away)0

FC Luzern — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5

1X2 Probability model

FC ST. Gallen Win (1)40%

Draw (X)24%

FC Luzern Win (2)36%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

84% +0.5 79%

47% +1.5 58%

21% +2.5 32%

11% +3.5 11%

11% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

16% -0.5 21%

53% -1.5 42%

79% -2.5 68%

89% -3.5 89%

89% -4.5 100%

FC ST. Gallen vs FC Luzern — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

FC ST. Gallen — scored (home)1.74

FC ST. Gallen — conceded (home)1.21

FC Luzern — scored (away)1.79

FC Luzern — conceded (away)1.47

Model expected combined goals3.11

Both Teams To Score

Yes62%

No38%

Rate per Team

FC ST. Gallen — BTTS matches (home)58%

FC Luzern — BTTS matches (away)63%

Combined (simple average)60.5%

Corners Line model prediction

Over 8.566%

Under 8.534%

Over 9.555%

Under 9.545%

Over 10.544%

Under 10.556%

Expected total corners (model prediction)10.20

Per-Team Corners own matches

FC ST. Gallen (home)

Corners for5.6

Corners against4.9

FC Luzern (away)

Corners for4.7

Corners against5.0

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

FC ST. Gallen

12 12 8 18 12

FC Luzern

11 8 15 7 13

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%

Under 0.50%

Over 1.587%

Under 1.513%

Over 2.579%

Under 2.521%

Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4.8

Yellow Cards per Team

FC ST. Gallen (home)

For2.3

FC Luzern (away)

For2.3

Shots Forecast model prediction

Match Total

Over 19.588%

Under 19.512%

Over 22.577%

Under 22.523%

Over 25.563%

Under 25.537%

Expected total shots28.95

FC ST. Gallen

Shots Over 9.588%

Shots Over 11.576%

Shots Over 13.561%

Expected shots15.38

On Target Over 3.574%

On Target Over 4.558%

On Target Over 5.543%

Expected on target5.29

FC Luzern

Shots Over 9.580%

Shots Over 11.564%

Shots Over 13.547%

Expected shots13.57

On Target Over 3.563%

On Target Over 4.545%

On Target Over 5.530%

Expected on target4.48

Shots per Game

FC ST. Gallen — total shots (home)16.8

FC Luzern — total shots (away)14.4

Shots on Target

FC ST. Gallen — on target (home)5.9

FC Luzern — on target (away)4.5

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

FC ST. Gallen

Inside the box11.5

Outside the box4.45

FC Luzern

Inside the box9.89

Outside the box4.79

Player Shots FC ST. Gallen

W. Geubbels

Shots on Target/Game3

+0.5 On Target100%

+1.5 On Target100%

A. Vogt

Shots on Target/Game1

+0.5 On Target57%

+1.5 On Target31%

C. Boukhalfa

Shots on Target/Game0.9

+0.5 On Target61%

+1.5 On Target31%

A. Balde

Shots on Target/Game0.9

+0.5 On Target61%

+1.5 On Target19%

C. Witzig

Shots on Target/Game0.7

+0.5 On Target53%

+1.5 On Target10%

Player Shots FC Luzern

O. Kabwit

Shots on Target/Game1.2

+0.5 On Target71%

+1.5 On Target35%

M. Di Giusto

Shots on Target/Game0.9

+0.5 On Target58%

+1.5 On Target29%

O. tshikomb

Shots on Target/Game0.7

+0.5 On Target60%

+1.5 On Target10%

J. von Moos

Shots on Target/Game0.6

+0.5 On Target43%

+1.5 On Target13%

K. Spadanuda

Shots on Target/Game0.6

+0.5 On Target36%

+1.5 On Target12%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

FC ST. Gallen xG (home)1.98

FC Luzern xG (away)1.73

Average Possession

44.76% Possession 50.29%

Team Comparison FC ST. Gallen vs FC Luzern

68.97% Pass accuracy 78.55%

308.05 Passes per match 392.26

0.31 Goals prevented -0.09

15.92 Fouls committed 12.42

3.39 Goalkeeper saves 2.68

1.95 Offsides 1.81

16.5 Tackles per match 18.08

League average xG this season is 1.65 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.

PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

FC ST. Gallen vs FC Luzern prediction analysis

Review FC ST. Gallen vs FC Luzern with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Super League.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Super League

DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics

Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators

AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights