Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: FC ST. Gallen vs FC Zurich

FC ST. Gallen vs FC Zurich prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Super League 2026-07-26 14:30
FC ST. Gallen
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
BTTS Yes
Pick
Yes
Probability
57%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-1
FC Zurich
Away

Prediction Summary

1
53%
X
23%
2
24%
Over 2.5
56%
BTTS Yes
57%
Confidence
Medium

Market Evidence

FC ST. Gallen (Home)

Goals scored / match1.74
Goals conceded / match1.21
Over 2.5 rate21%
BTTS rate58%

FC Zurich (Away)

Goals scored / match1.05
Goals conceded / match1.89
Over 2.5 rate5%
BTTS rate63%

Team Form last 5 matches

FC ST. Gallen
DWWLW
FC Zurich
LLWDL

Goals Comparison rate per team

84% +0.5 63%
47% +1.5 37%
21% +2.5 5%
11% +3.5 0%
11% +4.5 0%
58% BTTS 63%

Model Insight

The selected market is BTTS Yes with a probability of 57%. Model confidence is Medium.

FC ST. Gallen averages 1.74 goals scored at home, while FC Zurich averages 1.05 goals scored away.

Model Strength
57%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
53%
Draw
23%
Away Win
24%
Over 2.5
56%
BTTS Yes
57%

Head-to-Head last 5

Apr 2026 FC ST. Gallen 2 - 1 FC Zurich Home
Dec 2025 FC ST. Gallen 1 - 2 FC Zurich Away
Sep 2025 FC ST. Gallen(A) 1 - 3 FC Zurich Away
May 2025 FC ST. Gallen 3 - 2 FC Zurich Home
Feb 2025 FC ST. Gallen(A) 2 - 1 FC Zurich Home

In the last 5 meetings, FC ST. Gallen won 3, drew 0 and lost 2.

Current Streaks

FC ST. Gallen — unbeaten run (home)1
FC ST. Gallen — scoring streak (home)1
FC Zurich — winless run (away)6
FC Zurich — clean sheets (away, last 5)0 of 5

1X2 Probability model

FC ST. Gallen Win (1)53%
Draw (X)23%
FC Zurich Win (2)24%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

84% +0.5 63%
47% +1.5 37%
21% +2.5 5%
11% +3.5 0%
11% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

16% -0.5 37%
53% -1.5 63%
79% -2.5 95%
89% -3.5 100%
89% -4.5 100%

FC ST. Gallen vs FC Zurich — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

FC ST. Gallen — scored (home)1.74
FC ST. Gallen — conceded (home)1.21
FC Zurich — scored (away)1.05
FC Zurich — conceded (away)1.89
Model expected combined goals2.95

Both Teams To Score

Yes57%
No43%

Rate per Team

FC ST. Gallen — BTTS matches (home)58%
FC Zurich — BTTS matches (away)63%
Combined (simple average)60.5%

Corners Line model prediction

Over 8.566%
Under 8.534%
Over 9.555%
Under 9.545%
Over 10.544%
Under 10.556%
Expected total corners (model prediction)10.20

Per-Team Corners own matches

FC ST. Gallen (home)

Corners for5.6
Corners against4.9

FC Zurich (away)

Corners for4.6
Corners against6.9

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

FC ST. Gallen
12 12 8 18 12
FC Zurich
9 9 10 15 14

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%
Under 0.50%
Over 1.592%
Under 1.58%
Over 2.579%
Under 2.521%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)5

Yellow Cards per Team

FC ST. Gallen (home)

For2.3

FC Zurich (away)

For2.5

Shots Forecast model prediction

Match Total

Over 19.586%
Under 19.514%
Over 22.574%
Under 22.526%
Over 25.560%
Under 25.540%
Expected total shots28.26

FC ST. Gallen

Shots Over 9.589%
Shots Over 11.578%
Shots Over 13.564%
Expected shots15.74
On Target Over 3.575%
On Target Over 4.560%
On Target Over 5.545%
Expected on target5.45

FC Zurich

Shots Over 9.573%
Shots Over 11.556%
Shots Over 13.538%
Expected shots12.52
On Target Over 3.559%
On Target Over 4.541%
On Target Over 5.526%
Expected on target4.23

Shots per Game

FC ST. Gallen — total shots (home)16.8
FC Zurich — total shots (away)11.3

Shots on Target

FC ST. Gallen — on target (home)5.9
FC Zurich — on target (away)3.9

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

FC ST. Gallen

Inside the box11.5
Outside the box4.45

FC Zurich

Inside the box8.58
Outside the box4.39

Player Shots FC ST. Gallen

W. Geubbels
Shots on Target/Game3
+0.5 On Target100%
+1.5 On Target100%
A. Vogt
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target57%
+1.5 On Target31%
C. Boukhalfa
Shots on Target/Game0.9
+0.5 On Target61%
+1.5 On Target31%
A. Balde
Shots on Target/Game0.9
+0.5 On Target61%
+1.5 On Target19%
C. Witzig
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target53%
+1.5 On Target10%

Player Shots FC Zurich

S. Zuber
Shots on Target/Game1.2
+0.5 On Target72%
+1.5 On Target39%
P. Keny
Shots on Target/Game1.2
+0.5 On Target59%
+1.5 On Target34%
J. Markelo
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target57%
+1.5 On Target29%
M. Phaëton
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target60%
+1.5 On Target12%
D. Reverson
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target48%
+1.5 On Target7%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

FC ST. Gallen xG (home)1.98
FC Zurich xG (away)1.51

Average Possession

44.76% Possession 50.53%

Team Comparison FC ST. Gallen vs FC Zurich

68.97% Pass accuracy 74.97%
308.05 Passes per match 365.39
0.31 Goals prevented -0.01
15.92 Fouls committed 14.26
3.39 Goalkeeper saves 3.5
1.95 Offsides 1.46
16.5 Tackles per match 16.66

League average xG this season is 1.65 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

FC ST. Gallen vs FC Zurich prediction analysis

Review FC ST. Gallen vs FC Zurich with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Super League.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Super League
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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