Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: FC St. Pauli vs Eintracht Frankfurt

FC St. Pauli vs Eintracht Frankfurt prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

Back to Predictions
Bundesliga 2025-01-11 14:30
FC St. Pauli
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
48%
Confidence
Low
Score
0-1
Eintracht Frankfurt
Away

Prediction Summary

1
22%
X
25%
2
53%
Under 2.5
52%
BTTS · No edge
50%
Confidence
Low

Market Evidence

FC St. Pauli (Home)

Goals scored / match0.59
Goals conceded / match1.12
Over 2.5 rate12%
BTTS rate24%

Eintracht Frankfurt (Away)

Goals scored / match1.59
Goals conceded / match1.41
Over 2.5 rate29%
BTTS rate65%

Team Form last 5 matches

FC St. Pauli
LDLDD
Eintracht Frankfurt
WDDWD

Goals Comparison rate per team

35% +0.5 76%
12% +1.5 41%
12% +2.5 29%
0% +3.5 12%
0% +4.5 0%
24% BTTS 65%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 48%. Model confidence is Low.

FC St. Pauli averages 0.59 goals scored at home, while Eintracht Frankfurt averages 1.59 goals scored away.

Model Strength
53%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
22%
Draw
25%
Away Win
53%
Over 2.5
48%
BTTS Yes
50%

Head-to-Head last 5

Mar 2026 FC St. Pauli 0 - 0 Eintracht Frankfurt Draw
Oct 2025 FC St. Pauli(A) 0 - 2 Eintracht Frankfurt Away
May 2025 FC St. Pauli(A) 2 - 2 Eintracht Frankfurt Draw
Jan 2025 FC St. Pauli 0 - 1 Eintracht Frankfurt Away
Oct 2019 FC St. Pauli 1 - 2 Eintracht Frankfurt Away

In the last 5 meetings, FC St. Pauli won 0, drew 2 and lost 3.

Current Streaks

FC St. Pauli — unbeaten run (home)0
FC St. Pauli — scoring streak (home)0
Eintracht Frankfurt — winless run (away)0
Eintracht Frankfurt — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5

1X2 Probability model

FC St. Pauli Win (1)22%
Draw (X)25%
Eintracht Frankfurt Win (2)53%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

35% +0.5 76%
12% +1.5 41%
12% +2.5 29%
0% +3.5 12%
0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

65% -0.5 24%
88% -1.5 59%
88% -2.5 71%
100% -3.5 88%
100% -4.5 100%

FC St. Pauli vs Eintracht Frankfurt — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

FC St. Pauli — scored (home)0.59
FC St. Pauli — conceded (home)1.12
Eintracht Frankfurt — scored (away)1.59
Eintracht Frankfurt — conceded (away)1.41
Model expected combined goals2.61

Both Teams To Score

Yes50%
No50%

Rate per Team

FC St. Pauli — BTTS matches (home)24%
Eintracht Frankfurt — BTTS matches (away)65%
Combined (simple average)44.5%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.591%
Under 4.59%
Over 5.588%
Under 5.512%
Over 6.580%
Under 6.520%
Over 7.577%
Under 7.523%
Over 8.562%
Under 8.538%
Over 9.550%
Under 9.550%
Over 10.550%
Under 10.550%
Expected total corners (blended average)9.60

Per-Team Corners own matches

FC St. Pauli (home)

Corners for5.1
Corners against3.8

Eintracht Frankfurt (away)

Corners for4.5
Corners against5.8

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

FC St. Pauli
8 4 8 4 11
Eintracht Frankfurt
12 12 9 4 11

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.597%
Under 0.53%
Over 1.585%
Under 1.515%
Over 2.576%
Under 2.524%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)3.7

Yellow Cards per Team

FC St. Pauli (home)

For1.3

Eintracht Frankfurt (away)

For2.0

Shots per Game

FC St. Pauli — total shots (home)12.0
Eintracht Frankfurt — total shots (away)12.2

Shots on Target

FC St. Pauli — on target (home)3.4
Eintracht Frankfurt — on target (away)4.9

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

FC St. Pauli

Inside the box7.06
Outside the box4.09

Eintracht Frankfurt

Inside the box10.09
Outside the box4.21

Player Shots FC St. Pauli

J. Eggestein
Shots on Target/Game1.6
+0.5 On Target30%
+1.5 On Target19%
C. Metcalfe
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target20%
+1.5 On Target10%
E. Saad
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target33%
+1.5 On Target11%
C. Boukhalfa
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target12%
+1.5 On Target4%
J. Irvine
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target34%
+1.5 On Target10%

Player Shots Eintracht Frankfurt

Omar Marmoush
Shots on Target/Game2.4
+0.5 On Target88%
+1.5 On Target53%
M. Dahoud
Shots on Target/Game2
+0.5 On Target11%
+1.5 On Target11%
H. Ekitike
Shots on Target/Game1.7
+0.5 On Target85%
+1.5 On Target33%
C. Uzun
Shots on Target/Game1.6
+0.5 On Target35%
+1.5 On Target15%
R. Koch
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target13%
+1.5 On Target7%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

FC St. Pauli xG (home)1.03
Eintracht Frankfurt xG (away)1.92

Average Possession

43.97% Possession 49.85%

Team Comparison FC St. Pauli vs Eintracht Frankfurt

78.09% Pass accuracy 82.5%
406.94 Passes per match 464.5
0.21 Goals prevented 0.13
10.38 Fouls committed 10.03
2.97 Goalkeeper saves 3.56
1.97 Offsides 1.68
15.91 Tackles per match 16.59

League average xG this season is 1.46 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

FC St. Pauli vs Eintracht Frankfurt prediction analysis

Review FC St. Pauli vs Eintracht Frankfurt with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Bundesliga.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Bundesliga
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
Scroll to Top