What markets are included in the FC St. Pauli vs Holstein Kiel prediction?

GoalStatsLab may analyze 1X2 outcome probabilities, Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams To Score, corners and cards where enough match data is available.

How is the FC St. Pauli vs Holstein Kiel prediction calculated?

The prediction is based on available football data such as recent form, goals scored and conceded, home and away performance, league trends and selected market probabilities.

Are football predictions guaranteed?

No. Football predictions are statistical estimates and should be used for analysis, not as guaranteed betting outcomes or financial advice.

Prediction Analysis: FC St. Pauli vs Holstein Kiel

FC St. Pauli vs Holstein Kiel prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Bundesliga 2024-11-29 19:30

FC St. Pauli

Home

Selected Prediction

Featured Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

Pick

Yes

Probability

46%

Confidence

Low

Score

1-1

Holstein Kiel

Away

Prediction Summary

30%

27%

44%

Under 2.5

54%

BTTS · No edge

50%

Confidence

Low

Market Evidence

FC St. Pauli (Home)

Goals scored / match0.59

Goals conceded / match1.12

Over 2.5 rate12%

BTTS rate24%

Holstein Kiel (Away)

Goals scored / match1.47

Goals conceded / match2.29

Over 2.5 rate12%

BTTS rate88%

Team Form last 5 matches

FC St. Pauli

LDLDD

Holstein Kiel

LLWWD

Goals Comparison rate per team

35% +0.5 94%

12% +1.5 41%

12% +2.5 12%

0% +3.5 0%

0% +4.5 0%

24% BTTS 88%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 46%. Model confidence is Low.

FC St. Pauli averages 0.59 goals scored at home, while Holstein Kiel averages 1.47 goals scored away.

Model Strength

54%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win

30%

Draw

27%

Away Win

44%

Over 2.5

46%

BTTS Yes

50%

Head-to-Head last 5

Apr 2025 FC St. Pauli(A) 2 - 1 Holstein Kiel Home

Nov 2024 FC St. Pauli 3 - 1 Holstein Kiel Home

Feb 2024 FC St. Pauli(A) 4 - 3 Holstein Kiel Home

Sep 2023 FC St. Pauli 5 - 1 Holstein Kiel Home

May 2023 FC St. Pauli(A) 4 - 3 Holstein Kiel Home

In the last 5 meetings, FC St. Pauli won 5, drew 0 and lost 0.

Current Streaks

FC St. Pauli — unbeaten run (home)0

FC St. Pauli — scoring streak (home)0

Holstein Kiel — winless run (away)1

Holstein Kiel — clean sheets (away, last 5)0 of 5

1X2 Probability model

FC St. Pauli Win (1)30%

Draw (X)27%

Holstein Kiel Win (2)44%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

35% +0.5 94%

12% +1.5 41%

12% +2.5 12%

0% +3.5 0%

0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

65% -0.5 6%

88% -1.5 59%

88% -2.5 88%

100% -3.5 100%

100% -4.5 100%

FC St. Pauli vs Holstein Kiel — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

FC St. Pauli — scored (home)0.59

FC St. Pauli — conceded (home)1.12

Holstein Kiel — scored (away)1.47

Holstein Kiel — conceded (away)2.29

Model expected combined goals2.5

Both Teams To Score

Yes50%

No50%

Rate per Team

FC St. Pauli — BTTS matches (home)24%

Holstein Kiel — BTTS matches (away)88%

Combined (simple average)56%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.591%

Under 4.59%

Over 5.591%

Under 5.59%

Over 6.586%

Under 6.514%

Over 7.580%

Under 7.520%

Over 8.550%

Under 8.550%

Over 9.544%

Under 9.556%

Over 10.541%

Under 10.559%

Expected total corners (blended average)9.80

Per-Team Corners own matches

FC St. Pauli (home)

Corners for5.1

Corners against3.8

Holstein Kiel (away)

Corners for3.5

Corners against7.4

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

FC St. Pauli

8 4 8 4 11

Holstein Kiel

16 15 12 7 8

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.597%

Under 0.53%

Over 1.591%

Under 1.59%

Over 2.576%

Under 2.524%

Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4.1

Yellow Cards per Team

FC St. Pauli (home)

For1.3

Holstein Kiel (away)

For2.4

Shots per Game

FC St. Pauli — total shots (home)12.0

Holstein Kiel — total shots (away)10.7

Shots on Target

FC St. Pauli — on target (home)3.4

Holstein Kiel — on target (away)4.1

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

FC St. Pauli

Inside the box7.06

Outside the box4.09

Holstein Kiel

Inside the box7.21

Outside the box3.76

Player Shots FC St. Pauli

J. Eggestein

Shots on Target/Game1.6

+0.5 On Target30%

+1.5 On Target19%

C. Metcalfe

Shots on Target/Game1.5

+0.5 On Target20%

+1.5 On Target10%

E. Saad

Shots on Target/Game1.3

+0.5 On Target33%

+1.5 On Target11%

C. Boukhalfa

Shots on Target/Game1.3

+0.5 On Target12%

+1.5 On Target4%

J. Irvine

Shots on Target/Game1.3

+0.5 On Target34%

+1.5 On Target10%

Player Shots Holstein Kiel

A. Kelati

Shots on Target/Game3

+0.5 On Target13%

+1.5 On Target13%

P. Harres

Shots on Target/Game1.7

+0.5 On Target38%

+1.5 On Target19%

S. Machino

Shots on Target/Game1.6

+0.5 On Target44%

+1.5 On Target16%

N. Remberg

Shots on Target/Game1.5

+0.5 On Target6%

+1.5 On Target3%

A. Bernhardsson

Shots on Target/Game1.4

+0.5 On Target53%

+1.5 On Target16%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

FC St. Pauli xG (home)1.03

Holstein Kiel xG (away)1.18

Average Possession

43.97% Possession 43.65%

Team Comparison FC St. Pauli vs Holstein Kiel

78.09% Pass accuracy 76.41%

406.94 Passes per match 370.29

0.21 Goals prevented -0.15

10.38 Fouls committed 11.97

2.97 Goalkeeper saves 3.59

1.97 Offsides 1.38

15.91 Tackles per match 15.97

League average xG this season is 1.46 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.

PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

FC St. Pauli vs Holstein Kiel prediction analysis

Review FC St. Pauli vs Holstein Kiel with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Bundesliga.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Bundesliga

DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics

Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators

AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights