What markets are included in the FC St. Pauli vs Union Berlin prediction?

GoalStatsLab may analyze 1X2 outcome probabilities, Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams To Score, corners and cards where enough match data is available.

How is the FC St. Pauli vs Union Berlin prediction calculated?

The prediction is based on available football data such as recent form, goals scored and conceded, home and away performance, league trends and selected market probabilities.

Are football predictions guaranteed?

No. Football predictions are statistical estimates and should be used for analysis, not as guaranteed betting outcomes or financial advice.

Prediction Analysis: FC St. Pauli vs Union Berlin

FC St. Pauli vs Union Berlin prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Bundesliga 2025-11-23 16:30

FC St. Pauli

Home

Selected Prediction

Featured Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

Pick

Yes

Probability

68%

Confidence

Medium

Score

1-1

Union Berlin

Away

Prediction Summary

37%

22%

40%

Over 2.5

68%

BTTS Yes

69%

Confidence

Medium

Market Evidence

FC St. Pauli (Home)

Goals scored / match1

Goals conceded / match1.82

Over 2.5 rate6%

BTTS rate65%

Union Berlin (Away)

Goals scored / match1.06

Goals conceded / match1.88

Over 2.5 rate12%

BTTS rate53%

Team Form last 5 matches

FC St. Pauli

LLLLD

Union Berlin

WWDLL

Goals Comparison rate per team

65% +0.5 71%

29% +1.5 18%

6% +2.5 12%

0% +3.5 6%

0% +4.5 0%

65% BTTS 53%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 68%. Model confidence is Medium.

FC St. Pauli averages 1 goals scored at home, while Union Berlin averages 1.06 goals scored away.

Model Strength

69%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win

37%

Draw

22%

Away Win

40%

Over 2.5

68%

BTTS Yes

69%

Head-to-Head last 5

Apr 2026 FC St. Pauli(A) 1 - 1 Union Berlin Draw

Nov 2025 FC St. Pauli 0 - 1 Union Berlin Away

Jan 2025 FC St. Pauli 3 - 0 Union Berlin Home

Aug 2024 FC St. Pauli(A) 0 - 1 Union Berlin Away

Mar 2022 FC St. Pauli(A) 1 - 2 Union Berlin Away

In the last 5 meetings, FC St. Pauli won 1, drew 1 and lost 3.

Current Streaks

FC St. Pauli — unbeaten run (home)0

FC St. Pauli — scoring streak (home)3

Union Berlin — winless run (away)0

Union Berlin — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5

1X2 Probability model

FC St. Pauli Win (1)37%

Draw (X)22%

Union Berlin Win (2)40%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

65% +0.5 71%

29% +1.5 18%

6% +2.5 12%

0% +3.5 6%

0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

35% -0.5 29%

71% -1.5 82%

94% -2.5 88%

100% -3.5 94%

100% -4.5 100%

FC St. Pauli vs Union Berlin — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

FC St. Pauli — scored (home)1

FC St. Pauli — conceded (home)1.82

Union Berlin — scored (away)1.06

Union Berlin — conceded (away)1.88

Model expected combined goals3.53

Both Teams To Score

Yes69%

No31%

Rate per Team

FC St. Pauli — BTTS matches (home)65%

Union Berlin — BTTS matches (away)53%

Combined (simple average)59%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.597%

Under 4.53%

Over 5.594%

Under 5.56%

Over 6.585%

Under 6.515%

Over 7.577%

Under 7.523%

Over 8.565%

Under 8.535%

Over 9.553%

Under 9.547%

Over 10.541%

Under 10.559%

Expected total corners (blended average)10.10

Per-Team Corners own matches

FC St. Pauli (home)

Corners for5.9

Corners against4.4

Union Berlin (away)

Corners for4.8

Corners against5.2

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

FC St. Pauli

13 12 14 8 17

Union Berlin

15 14 7 15 13

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.597%

Under 0.53%

Over 1.591%

Under 1.59%

Over 2.565%

Under 2.535%

Expected total yellow cards (blended average)3.7

Yellow Cards per Team

FC St. Pauli (home)

For1.8

Union Berlin (away)

For1.8

Shots per Game

FC St. Pauli — total shots (home)10.6

Union Berlin — total shots (away)11.7

Shots on Target

FC St. Pauli — on target (home)4.2

Union Berlin — on target (away)3.5

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

FC St. Pauli

Inside the box6.09

Outside the box4.18

Union Berlin

Inside the box9.06

Outside the box3.41

Player Shots FC St. Pauli

R. Jones

Shots on Target/Game0.7

+0.5 On Target44%

+1.5 On Target11%

A. Hountondji

Shots on Target/Game0.6

+0.5 On Target33%

+1.5 On Target19%

D. Sinani

Shots on Target/Game0.6

+0.5 On Target33%

+1.5 On Target23%

Mathias Pereira Lage

Shots on Target/Game0.5

+0.5 On Target46%

+1.5 On Target7%

M. Kaars

Shots on Target/Game0.3

+0.5 On Target24%

+1.5 On Target10%

Player Shots Union Berlin

A. Ilić

Shots on Target/Game0.8

+0.5 On Target50%

+1.5 On Target22%

O. Burke

Shots on Target/Game0.5

+0.5 On Target31%

+1.5 On Target14%

Ilyas Ansah

Shots on Target/Game0.4

+0.5 On Target27%

+1.5 On Target9%

A. Schäfer

Shots on Target/Game0.4

+0.5 On Target32%

+1.5 On Target4%

D. Doekhi

Shots on Target/Game0.3

+0.5 On Target21%

+1.5 On Target9%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

FC St. Pauli xG (home)0.92

Union Berlin xG (away)1.35

Average Possession

44.35% Possession 40.24%

Team Comparison FC St. Pauli vs Union Berlin

77.06% Pass accuracy 71.44%

427.68 Passes per match 334.44

0.25 Goals prevented -0.02

9.62 Fouls committed 12.26

3.68 Goalkeeper saves 2.71

1.94 Offsides 1.67

16.91 Tackles per match 14.76

League average xG this season is 1.57 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.

PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

FC St. Pauli vs Union Berlin prediction analysis

Review FC St. Pauli vs Union Berlin with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Bundesliga.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Bundesliga

DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics

Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators

AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights