Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: FC Thun vs BSC Young Boys

FC Thun vs BSC Young Boys prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Super League 2026-08-01 18:30
FC Thun
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
77%
Confidence
High
Score
2-1
BSC Young Boys
Away

Prediction Summary

1
52%
X
20%
2
29%
Over 2.5
77%
BTTS Yes
74%
Confidence
High

Market Evidence

FC Thun (Home)

Goals scored / match2.37
Goals conceded / match1.53
Over 2.5 rate47%
BTTS rate74%

BSC Young Boys (Away)

Goals scored / match1.95
Goals conceded / match2.32
Over 2.5 rate32%
BTTS rate74%

Team Form last 5 matches

FC Thun
WDLLL
BSC Young Boys
DWWLL

Goals Comparison rate per team

84% +0.5 79%
68% +1.5 47%
47% +2.5 32%
26% +3.5 16%
11% +4.5 5%
74% BTTS 74%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 77%. Model confidence is High.

FC Thun averages 2.37 goals scored at home, while BSC Young Boys averages 1.95 goals scored away.

Model Strength
77%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
52%
Draw
20%
Away Win
29%
Over 2.5
77%
BTTS Yes
74%

Head-to-Head last 5

May 2026 FC Thun 3 - 8 BSC Young Boys Away
Mar 2026 FC Thun(A) 2 - 1 BSC Young Boys Home
Jan 2026 FC Thun 4 - 1 BSC Young Boys Home
Sep 2025 FC Thun(A) 2 - 4 BSC Young Boys Away
Feb 2023 FC Thun 0 - 5 BSC Young Boys Away

In the last 5 meetings, FC Thun won 2, drew 0 and lost 3.

Current Streaks

FC Thun — unbeaten run (home)0
FC Thun — scoring streak (home)1
BSC Young Boys — winless run (away)0
BSC Young Boys — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5

1X2 Probability model

FC Thun Win (1)52%
Draw (X)20%
BSC Young Boys Win (2)29%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

84% +0.5 79%
68% +1.5 47%
47% +2.5 32%
26% +3.5 16%
11% +4.5 5%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

16% -0.5 21%
32% -1.5 53%
53% -2.5 68%
74% -3.5 84%
89% -4.5 95%

FC Thun vs BSC Young Boys — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

FC Thun — scored (home)2.37
FC Thun — conceded (home)1.53
BSC Young Boys — scored (away)1.95
BSC Young Boys — conceded (away)2.32
Model expected combined goals4.08

Both Teams To Score

Yes74%
No26%

Rate per Team

FC Thun — BTTS matches (home)74%
BSC Young Boys — BTTS matches (away)74%
Combined (simple average)74%

Corners Line model prediction

Over 8.566%
Under 8.534%
Over 9.555%
Under 9.545%
Over 10.544%
Under 10.556%
Expected total corners (model prediction)10.20

Per-Team Corners own matches

FC Thun (home)

Corners for6.5
Corners against4.3

BSC Young Boys (away)

Corners for4.4
Corners against5.1

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

FC Thun
7 12 5 12 13
BSC Young Boys
12 9 11 5 10

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%
Under 0.50%
Over 1.5100%
Under 1.50%
Over 2.587%
Under 2.513%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4.3

Yellow Cards per Team

FC Thun (home)

For2.3

BSC Young Boys (away)

For2.3

Shots Forecast model prediction

Match Total

Over 19.590%
Under 19.510%
Over 22.580%
Under 22.520%
Over 25.568%
Under 25.532%
Expected total shots29.99

FC Thun

Shots Over 9.588%
Shots Over 11.576%
Shots Over 13.561%
Expected shots15.38
On Target Over 3.579%
On Target Over 4.566%
On Target Over 5.551%
Expected on target5.83

BSC Young Boys

Shots Over 9.585%
Shots Over 11.572%
Shots Over 13.556%
Expected shots14.61
On Target Over 3.566%
On Target Over 4.549%
On Target Over 5.533%
Expected on target4.67

Shots per Game

FC Thun — total shots (home)17.2
BSC Young Boys — total shots (away)13.7

Shots on Target

FC Thun — on target (home)6.4
BSC Young Boys — on target (away)4.5

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

FC Thun

Inside the box10.82
Outside the box6.21

BSC Young Boys

Inside the box10
Outside the box5.34

Player Shots FC Thun

E. Rastoder
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target56%
+1.5 On Target22%
L. Bertone
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target55%
+1.5 On Target18%
C. Ibayi
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target60%
+1.5 On Target7%
K. Imeri
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target43%
+1.5 On Target17%
E. Meichtry
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target37%
+1.5 On Target23%

Player Shots BSC Young Boys

S. Essende
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target54%
+1.5 On Target23%
C. Bedia
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target61%
+1.5 On Target31%
C. Fassnacht
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target67%
+1.5 On Target21%
A. Sanches
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target54%
+1.5 On Target25%
A. Virginius
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target9%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

FC Thun xG (home)1.83
BSC Young Boys xG (away)1.72

Average Possession

46.13% Possession 55.13%

Team Comparison FC Thun vs BSC Young Boys

70.97% Pass accuracy 81.84%
318.97 Passes per match 439.63
-0.05 Goals prevented 0.13
15.66 Fouls committed 12.11
3.21 Goalkeeper saves 3.13
2.34 Offsides 1.32
17.08 Tackles per match 15.95

League average xG this season is 1.65 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

FC Thun vs BSC Young Boys prediction analysis

Review FC Thun vs BSC Young Boys with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Super League.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Super League
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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