What markets are included in the FC Thun vs FC Luzern prediction?

GoalStatsLab may analyze 1X2 outcome probabilities, Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams To Score, corners and cards where enough match data is available.

How is the FC Thun vs FC Luzern prediction calculated?

The prediction is based on available football data such as recent form, goals scored and conceded, home and away performance, league trends and selected market probabilities.

Are football predictions guaranteed?

No. Football predictions are statistical estimates and should be used for analysis, not as guaranteed betting outcomes or financial advice.

Prediction Analysis: FC Thun vs FC Luzern

FC Thun vs FC Luzern prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Super League 2025-12-06 17:00

FC Thun

Home

Selected Prediction

Featured Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

Pick

Yes

Probability

61%

Confidence

Medium

Score

1-1

FC Luzern

Away

Prediction Summary

44%

23%

32%

Over 2.5

61%

BTTS Yes

62%

Confidence

Medium

Market Evidence

FC Thun (Home)

Goals scored / match2.37

Goals conceded / match1.53

Over 2.5 rate47%

BTTS rate74%

FC Luzern (Away)

Goals scored / match1.79

Goals conceded / match1.47

Over 2.5 rate32%

BTTS rate63%

Team Form last 5 matches

FC Thun

DLLLL

FC Luzern

WWDWW

Goals Comparison rate per team

84% +0.5 79%

68% +1.5 58%

47% +2.5 32%

26% +3.5 11%

11% +4.5 0%

74% BTTS 63%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 61%. Model confidence is Medium.

FC Thun averages 2.37 goals scored at home, while FC Luzern averages 1.79 goals scored away.

Model Strength

62%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win

44%

Draw

23%

Away Win

32%

Over 2.5

61%

BTTS Yes

62%

Head-to-Head last 5

Jul 2026 FC Thun(A) 3 - 1 FC Luzern Home

Feb 2026 FC Thun 2 - 1 FC Luzern Home

Dec 2025 FC Thun 4 - 1 FC Luzern Home

Aug 2025 FC Thun(A) 2 - 1 FC Luzern Home

Sep 2023 FC Thun 1 - 3 FC Luzern Away

In the last 5 meetings, FC Thun won 4, drew 0 and lost 1.

Current Streaks

FC Thun — unbeaten run (home)0

FC Thun — scoring streak (home)1

FC Luzern — winless run (away)0

FC Luzern — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5

1X2 Probability model

FC Thun Win (1)44%

Draw (X)23%

FC Luzern Win (2)32%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

84% +0.5 79%

68% +1.5 58%

47% +2.5 32%

26% +3.5 11%

11% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

16% -0.5 21%

32% -1.5 42%

53% -2.5 68%

74% -3.5 89%

89% -4.5 100%

FC Thun vs FC Luzern — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

FC Thun — scored (home)2.37

FC Thun — conceded (home)1.53

FC Luzern — scored (away)1.79

FC Luzern — conceded (away)1.47

Model expected combined goals3.14

Both Teams To Score

Yes62%

No38%

Rate per Team

FC Thun — BTTS matches (home)74%

FC Luzern — BTTS matches (away)63%

Combined (simple average)68.5%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.5100%

Under 4.50%

Over 5.598%

Under 5.52%

Over 6.592%

Under 6.58%

Over 7.582%

Under 7.518%

Over 8.571%

Under 8.529%

Over 9.558%

Under 9.542%

Over 10.542%

Under 10.558%

Expected total corners (blended average)10.30

Per-Team Corners own matches

FC Thun (home)

Corners for6.5

Corners against4.3

FC Luzern (away)

Corners for4.7

Corners against5.0

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

FC Thun

12 7 12 5 12

FC Luzern

11 11 8 15 7

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%

Under 0.50%

Over 1.592%

Under 1.58%

Over 2.590%

Under 2.510%

Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4.3

Yellow Cards per Team

FC Thun (home)

For2.3

FC Luzern (away)

For2.3

Shots per Game

FC Thun — total shots (home)17.2

FC Luzern — total shots (away)14.4

Shots on Target

FC Thun — on target (home)6.4

FC Luzern — on target (away)4.5

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

FC Thun

Inside the box10.82

Outside the box6.21

FC Luzern

Inside the box9.89

Outside the box4.79

Player Shots FC Thun

E. Rastoder

Shots on Target/Game0.8

+0.5 On Target56%

+1.5 On Target22%

L. Bertone

Shots on Target/Game0.8

+0.5 On Target55%

+1.5 On Target18%

C. Ibayi

Shots on Target/Game0.7

+0.5 On Target60%

+1.5 On Target7%

K. Imeri

Shots on Target/Game0.6

+0.5 On Target43%

+1.5 On Target17%

E. Meichtry

Shots on Target/Game0.6

+0.5 On Target37%

+1.5 On Target23%

Player Shots FC Luzern

O. Kabwit

Shots on Target/Game1.2

+0.5 On Target71%

+1.5 On Target35%

M. Di Giusto

Shots on Target/Game0.9

+0.5 On Target58%

+1.5 On Target29%

O. tshikomb

Shots on Target/Game0.7

+0.5 On Target60%

+1.5 On Target10%

J. von Moos

Shots on Target/Game0.6

+0.5 On Target43%

+1.5 On Target13%

K. Spadanuda

Shots on Target/Game0.6

+0.5 On Target36%

+1.5 On Target12%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

FC Thun xG (home)1.83

FC Luzern xG (away)1.73

Average Possession

46.13% Possession 50.29%

Team Comparison FC Thun vs FC Luzern

70.97% Pass accuracy 78.55%

318.97 Passes per match 392.26

-0.05 Goals prevented -0.09

15.66 Fouls committed 12.42

3.21 Goalkeeper saves 2.68

2.34 Offsides 1.81

17.08 Tackles per match 18.08

League average xG this season is 1.65 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.

PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

FC Thun vs FC Luzern prediction analysis

Review FC Thun vs FC Luzern with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Super League.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Super League

DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics

Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators

AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights