Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: FC Thun vs FC Sion

FC Thun vs FC Sion prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Super League 2025-11-01 17:00
FC Thun
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
64%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-1
FC Sion
Away

Prediction Summary

1
41%
X
23%
2
36%
Over 2.5
64%
BTTS Yes
65%
Confidence
Medium

Market Evidence

FC Thun (Home)

Goals scored / match2.37
Goals conceded / match1.53
Over 2.5 rate47%
BTTS rate74%

FC Sion (Away)

Goals scored / match1.79
Goals conceded / match1.37
Over 2.5 rate37%
BTTS rate63%

Team Form last 5 matches

FC Thun
DLLLL
FC Sion
DDWWW

Goals Comparison rate per team

84% +0.5 84%
68% +1.5 53%
47% +2.5 37%
26% +3.5 5%
11% +4.5 0%
74% BTTS 63%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 64%. Model confidence is Medium.

FC Thun averages 2.37 goals scored at home, while FC Sion averages 1.79 goals scored away.

Model Strength
65%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
41%
Draw
23%
Away Win
36%
Over 2.5
64%
BTTS Yes
65%

Head-to-Head last 5

May 2026 FC Thun(A) 0 - 2 FC Sion Away
Feb 2026 FC Thun 1 - 0 FC Sion Home
Nov 2025 FC Thun 2 - 1 FC Sion Home
Oct 2025 FC Thun(A) 1 - 0 FC Sion Home
Apr 2024 FC Thun 1 - 0 FC Sion Home

In the last 5 meetings, FC Thun won 4, drew 0 and lost 1.

Current Streaks

FC Thun — unbeaten run (home)0
FC Thun — scoring streak (home)1
FC Sion — winless run (away)1
FC Sion — clean sheets (away, last 5)3 of 5

1X2 Probability model

FC Thun Win (1)41%
Draw (X)23%
FC Sion Win (2)36%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

84% +0.5 84%
68% +1.5 53%
47% +2.5 37%
26% +3.5 5%
11% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

16% -0.5 16%
32% -1.5 47%
53% -2.5 63%
74% -3.5 95%
89% -4.5 100%

FC Thun vs FC Sion — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

FC Thun — scored (home)2.37
FC Thun — conceded (home)1.53
FC Sion — scored (away)1.79
FC Sion — conceded (away)1.37
Model expected combined goals3.3

Both Teams To Score

Yes65%
No35%

Rate per Team

FC Thun — BTTS matches (home)74%
FC Sion — BTTS matches (away)63%
Combined (simple average)68.5%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.595%
Under 4.55%
Over 5.590%
Under 5.510%
Over 6.587%
Under 6.513%
Over 7.584%
Under 7.516%
Over 8.579%
Under 8.521%
Over 9.558%
Under 9.542%
Over 10.542%
Under 10.558%
Expected total corners (blended average)10.20

Per-Team Corners own matches

FC Thun (home)

Corners for6.5
Corners against4.3

FC Sion (away)

Corners for5.2
Corners against4.5

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

FC Thun
12 7 12 5 12
FC Sion
9 12 12 8 10

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%
Under 0.50%
Over 1.598%
Under 1.52%
Over 2.592%
Under 2.58%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4.5

Yellow Cards per Team

FC Thun (home)

For2.3

FC Sion (away)

For2.2

Shots per Game

FC Thun — total shots (home)17.2
FC Sion — total shots (away)13.0

Shots on Target

FC Thun — on target (home)6.4
FC Sion — on target (away)4.2

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

FC Thun

Inside the box10.82
Outside the box6.21

FC Sion

Inside the box9.58
Outside the box4.45

Player Shots FC Thun

E. Rastoder
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target56%
+1.5 On Target22%
L. Bertone
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target55%
+1.5 On Target18%
C. Ibayi
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target60%
+1.5 On Target7%
K. Imeri
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target43%
+1.5 On Target17%
E. Meichtry
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target37%
+1.5 On Target23%

Player Shots FC Sion

R. Nivokazi
Shots on Target/Game0.9
+0.5 On Target65%
+1.5 On Target22%
I. Chouaref
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target53%
+1.5 On Target13%
B. Kololli
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target43%
+1.5 On Target7%
T. Berdayes
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target37%
+1.5 On Target6%
F. Surdez
Shots on Target/Game0.4
+0.5 On Target38%
+1.5 On Target6%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

FC Thun xG (home)1.83
FC Sion xG (away)1.67

Average Possession

46.13% Possession 51.03%

Team Comparison FC Thun vs FC Sion

70.97% Pass accuracy 80.24%
318.97 Passes per match 410.55
-0.05 Goals prevented 0.16
15.66 Fouls committed 12.55
3.21 Goalkeeper saves 3.24
2.34 Offsides 1.26
17.08 Tackles per match 17.66

League average xG this season is 1.65 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

FC Thun vs FC Sion prediction analysis

Review FC Thun vs FC Sion with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Super League.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Super League
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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