Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: FC Thun vs FC Winterthur

FC Thun vs FC Winterthur prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Super League 2025-10-28 19:30
FC Thun
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
72%
Confidence
High
Score
2-1
FC Winterthur
Away

Prediction Summary

1
68%
X
17%
2
15%
Over 2.5
72%
BTTS Yes
63%
Confidence
High

Market Evidence

FC Thun (Home)

Goals scored / match2.37
Goals conceded / match1.53
Over 2.5 rate47%
BTTS rate74%

FC Winterthur (Away)

Goals scored / match1.11
Goals conceded / match3
Over 2.5 rate11%
BTTS rate63%

Team Form last 5 matches

FC Thun
DLLLL
FC Winterthur
LLWDL

Goals Comparison rate per team

84% +0.5 63%
68% +1.5 37%
47% +2.5 11%
26% +3.5 0%
11% +4.5 0%
74% BTTS 63%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 72%. Model confidence is High.

FC Thun averages 2.37 goals scored at home, while FC Winterthur averages 1.11 goals scored away.

Model Strength
72%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
68%
Draw
17%
Away Win
15%
Over 2.5
72%
BTTS Yes
63%

Head-to-Head last 5

Feb 2026 FC Thun(A) 3 - 0 FC Winterthur Home
Dec 2025 FC Thun(A) 4 - 1 FC Winterthur Home
Oct 2025 FC Thun 3 - 0 FC Winterthur Home
May 2022 FC Thun(A) 2 - 2 FC Winterthur Draw
Feb 2022 FC Thun 2 - 4 FC Winterthur Away

In the last 5 meetings, FC Thun won 3, drew 1 and lost 1.

Current Streaks

FC Thun — unbeaten run (home)0
FC Thun — scoring streak (home)1
FC Winterthur — winless run (away)3
FC Winterthur — clean sheets (away, last 5)0 of 5

1X2 Probability model

FC Thun Win (1)68%
Draw (X)17%
FC Winterthur Win (2)15%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

84% +0.5 63%
68% +1.5 37%
47% +2.5 11%
26% +3.5 0%
11% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

16% -0.5 37%
32% -1.5 63%
53% -2.5 89%
74% -3.5 100%
89% -4.5 100%

FC Thun vs FC Winterthur — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

FC Thun — scored (home)2.37
FC Thun — conceded (home)1.53
FC Winterthur — scored (away)1.11
FC Winterthur — conceded (away)3
Model expected combined goals3.73

Both Teams To Score

Yes63%
No37%

Rate per Team

FC Thun — BTTS matches (home)74%
FC Winterthur — BTTS matches (away)63%
Combined (simple average)68.5%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.5100%
Under 4.50%
Over 5.595%
Under 5.55%
Over 6.589%
Under 6.511%
Over 7.584%
Under 7.516%
Over 8.571%
Under 8.529%
Over 9.561%
Under 9.539%
Over 10.542%
Under 10.558%
Expected total corners (blended average)10.40

Per-Team Corners own matches

FC Thun (home)

Corners for6.5
Corners against4.3

FC Winterthur (away)

Corners for3.4
Corners against6.6

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

FC Thun
12 7 12 5 12
FC Winterthur
8 9 13 16 7

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%
Under 0.50%
Over 1.592%
Under 1.58%
Over 2.582%
Under 2.518%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4.4

Yellow Cards per Team

FC Thun (home)

For2.3

FC Winterthur (away)

For2.4

Shots per Game

FC Thun — total shots (home)17.2
FC Winterthur — total shots (away)11.1

Shots on Target

FC Thun — on target (home)6.4
FC Winterthur — on target (away)4.0

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

FC Thun

Inside the box10.82
Outside the box6.21

FC Winterthur

Inside the box7.74
Outside the box4.05

Player Shots FC Thun

E. Rastoder
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target56%
+1.5 On Target22%
L. Bertone
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target55%
+1.5 On Target18%
C. Ibayi
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target60%
+1.5 On Target7%
K. Imeri
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target43%
+1.5 On Target17%
E. Meichtry
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target37%
+1.5 On Target23%

Player Shots FC Winterthur

C. Gomis
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target100%
+1.5 On Target0%
A. Hunziker
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target25%
N. Burkart
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target23%
P. Kasami
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target46%
+1.5 On Target8%
T. Golliard
Shots on Target/Game0.4
+0.5 On Target31%
+1.5 On Target9%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

FC Thun xG (home)1.83
FC Winterthur xG (away)1.34

Average Possession

46.13% Possession 43.92%

Team Comparison FC Thun vs FC Winterthur

70.97% Pass accuracy 73.42%
318.97 Passes per match 344.13
-0.05 Goals prevented 0.36
15.66 Fouls committed 12.87
3.21 Goalkeeper saves 4.34
2.34 Offsides 1.25
17.08 Tackles per match 19.05

League average xG this season is 1.65 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

FC Thun vs FC Winterthur prediction analysis

Review FC Thun vs FC Winterthur with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Super League.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Super League
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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