Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: FC Thun vs FC Zurich

FC Thun vs FC Zurich prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Super League 2025-12-20 17:00
FC Thun
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
55%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-1
FC Zurich
Away

Prediction Summary

1
47%
X
24%
2
29%
Over 2.5
55%
BTTS Yes
57%
Confidence
Medium

Market Evidence

FC Thun (Home)

Goals scored / match2.37
Goals conceded / match1.53
Over 2.5 rate47%
BTTS rate74%

FC Zurich (Away)

Goals scored / match1.05
Goals conceded / match1.89
Over 2.5 rate5%
BTTS rate63%

Team Form last 5 matches

FC Thun
DLLLL
FC Zurich
LLWDL

Goals Comparison rate per team

84% +0.5 63%
68% +1.5 37%
47% +2.5 5%
26% +3.5 0%
11% +4.5 0%
74% BTTS 63%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 55%. Model confidence is Medium.

FC Thun averages 2.37 goals scored at home, while FC Zurich averages 1.05 goals scored away.

Model Strength
57%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
47%
Draw
24%
Away Win
29%
Over 2.5
55%
BTTS Yes
57%

Head-to-Head last 5

Mar 2026 FC Thun(A) 1 - 2 FC Zurich Away
Dec 2025 FC Thun 4 - 2 FC Zurich Home
Aug 2025 FC Thun(A) 4 - 0 FC Zurich Home
Aug 2020 FC Thun(A) 3 - 3 FC Zurich Draw
Jul 2020 FC Thun 3 - 2 FC Zurich Home

In the last 5 meetings, FC Thun won 3, drew 1 and lost 1.

Current Streaks

FC Thun — unbeaten run (home)0
FC Thun — scoring streak (home)1
FC Zurich — winless run (away)6
FC Zurich — clean sheets (away, last 5)0 of 5

1X2 Probability model

FC Thun Win (1)47%
Draw (X)24%
FC Zurich Win (2)29%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

84% +0.5 63%
68% +1.5 37%
47% +2.5 5%
26% +3.5 0%
11% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

16% -0.5 37%
32% -1.5 63%
53% -2.5 95%
74% -3.5 100%
89% -4.5 100%

FC Thun vs FC Zurich — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

FC Thun — scored (home)2.37
FC Thun — conceded (home)1.53
FC Zurich — scored (away)1.05
FC Zurich — conceded (away)1.89
Model expected combined goals2.88

Both Teams To Score

Yes57%
No43%

Rate per Team

FC Thun — BTTS matches (home)74%
FC Zurich — BTTS matches (away)63%
Combined (simple average)68.5%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.5100%
Under 4.50%
Over 5.598%
Under 5.52%
Over 6.595%
Under 6.55%
Over 7.592%
Under 7.58%
Over 8.584%
Under 8.516%
Over 9.568%
Under 9.532%
Over 10.558%
Under 10.542%
Expected total corners (blended average)11.20

Per-Team Corners own matches

FC Thun (home)

Corners for6.5
Corners against4.3

FC Zurich (away)

Corners for4.6
Corners against6.9

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

FC Thun
12 7 12 5 12
FC Zurich
9 9 10 15 14

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%
Under 0.50%
Over 1.598%
Under 1.52%
Over 2.590%
Under 2.510%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4.5

Yellow Cards per Team

FC Thun (home)

For2.3

FC Zurich (away)

For2.5

Shots per Game

FC Thun — total shots (home)17.2
FC Zurich — total shots (away)11.3

Shots on Target

FC Thun — on target (home)6.4
FC Zurich — on target (away)3.9

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

FC Thun

Inside the box10.82
Outside the box6.21

FC Zurich

Inside the box8.58
Outside the box4.39

Player Shots FC Thun

E. Rastoder
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target56%
+1.5 On Target22%
L. Bertone
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target55%
+1.5 On Target18%
C. Ibayi
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target60%
+1.5 On Target7%
K. Imeri
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target43%
+1.5 On Target17%
E. Meichtry
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target37%
+1.5 On Target23%

Player Shots FC Zurich

S. Zuber
Shots on Target/Game1.2
+0.5 On Target72%
+1.5 On Target39%
P. Keny
Shots on Target/Game1.2
+0.5 On Target59%
+1.5 On Target34%
J. Markelo
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target57%
+1.5 On Target29%
M. Phaëton
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target60%
+1.5 On Target12%
D. Reverson
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target48%
+1.5 On Target7%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

FC Thun xG (home)1.83
FC Zurich xG (away)1.51

Average Possession

46.13% Possession 50.53%

Team Comparison FC Thun vs FC Zurich

70.97% Pass accuracy 74.97%
318.97 Passes per match 365.39
-0.05 Goals prevented -0.01
15.66 Fouls committed 14.26
3.21 Goalkeeper saves 3.5
2.34 Offsides 1.46
17.08 Tackles per match 16.66

League average xG this season is 1.65 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

FC Thun vs FC Zurich prediction analysis

Review FC Thun vs FC Zurich with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Super League.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Super League
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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