Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: FC Thun vs Servette FC

FC Thun vs Servette FC prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Super League 2026-08-23 15:00
FC Thun
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
72%
Confidence
High
Score
2-1
Servette FC
Away

Prediction Summary

1
48%
X
21%
2
31%
Over 2.5
72%
BTTS Yes
71%
Confidence
High

Market Evidence

FC Thun (Home)

Goals scored / match2.37
Goals conceded / match1.53
Over 2.5 rate47%
BTTS rate74%

Servette FC (Away)

Goals scored / match1.79
Goals conceded / match1.79
Over 2.5 rate21%
BTTS rate79%

Team Form last 5 matches

FC Thun
WDLLL
Servette FC
LWWDW

Goals Comparison rate per team

84% +0.5 100%
68% +1.5 53%
47% +2.5 21%
26% +3.5 5%
11% +4.5 0%
74% BTTS 79%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 72%. Model confidence is High.

FC Thun averages 2.37 goals scored at home, while Servette FC averages 1.79 goals scored away.

Model Strength
72%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
48%
Draw
21%
Away Win
31%
Over 2.5
72%
BTTS Yes
71%

Head-to-Head last 5

Feb 2026 FC Thun(A) 3 - 1 Servette FC Home
Nov 2025 FC Thun(A) 1 - 0 Servette FC Home
Oct 2025 FC Thun 3 - 1 Servette FC Home
Oct 2021 FC Thun 4 - 1 Servette FC Home
Jul 2020 FC Thun 5 - 1 Servette FC Home

In the last 5 meetings, FC Thun won 5, drew 0 and lost 0.

Current Streaks

FC Thun — unbeaten run (home)0
FC Thun — scoring streak (home)1
Servette FC — winless run (away)0
Servette FC — clean sheets (away, last 5)2 of 5

1X2 Probability model

FC Thun Win (1)48%
Draw (X)21%
Servette FC Win (2)31%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

84% +0.5 100%
68% +1.5 53%
47% +2.5 21%
26% +3.5 5%
11% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

16% -0.5 0%
32% -1.5 47%
53% -2.5 79%
74% -3.5 95%
89% -4.5 100%

FC Thun vs Servette FC — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

FC Thun — scored (home)2.37
FC Thun — conceded (home)1.53
Servette FC — scored (away)1.79
Servette FC — conceded (away)1.79
Model expected combined goals3.74

Both Teams To Score

Yes71%
No29%

Rate per Team

FC Thun — BTTS matches (home)74%
Servette FC — BTTS matches (away)79%
Combined (simple average)76.5%

Corners Line model prediction

Over 8.567%
Under 8.533%
Over 9.555%
Under 9.545%
Over 10.544%
Under 10.556%
Expected total corners (model prediction)10.20

Per-Team Corners own matches

FC Thun (home)

Corners for6.5
Corners against4.3

Servette FC (away)

Corners for5.6
Corners against4.7

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

FC Thun
7 12 5 12 13
Servette FC
5 8 11 14 13

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%
Under 0.50%
Over 1.5100%
Under 1.50%
Over 2.598%
Under 2.52%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4.4

Yellow Cards per Team

FC Thun (home)

For2.3

Servette FC (away)

For2.3

Shots Forecast model prediction

Match Total

Over 19.588%
Under 19.512%
Over 22.578%
Under 22.522%
Over 25.564%
Under 25.536%
Expected total shots29.15

FC Thun

Shots Over 9.585%
Shots Over 11.572%
Shots Over 13.556%
Expected shots14.67
On Target Over 3.572%
On Target Over 4.556%
On Target Over 5.541%
Expected on target5.17

Servette FC

Shots Over 9.584%
Shots Over 11.571%
Shots Over 13.555%
Expected shots14.47
On Target Over 3.566%
On Target Over 4.549%
On Target Over 5.533%
Expected on target4.68

Shots per Game

FC Thun — total shots (home)17.2
Servette FC — total shots (away)13.5

Shots on Target

FC Thun — on target (home)6.4
Servette FC — on target (away)4.5

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

FC Thun

Inside the box10.82
Outside the box6.21

Servette FC

Inside the box10.05
Outside the box3.71

Player Shots FC Thun

E. Rastoder
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target56%
+1.5 On Target22%
L. Bertone
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target55%
+1.5 On Target18%
C. Ibayi
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target60%
+1.5 On Target7%
K. Imeri
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target43%
+1.5 On Target17%
E. Meichtry
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target37%
+1.5 On Target23%

Player Shots Servette FC

J. Kadile
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target69%
+1.5 On Target46%
A. Antunes
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target33%
M. Stevanović
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target49%
+1.5 On Target24%
F. Ayé
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target54%
+1.5 On Target19%
Keyan Varela
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target43%
+1.5 On Target29%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

FC Thun xG (home)1.83
Servette FC xG (away)1.69

Average Possession

46.13% Possession 51.79%

Team Comparison FC Thun vs Servette FC

70.97% Pass accuracy 79.76%
318.97 Passes per match 431.37
-0.05 Goals prevented -0.31
15.66 Fouls committed 12.68
3.21 Goalkeeper saves 2.61
2.34 Offsides 1.29
17.08 Tackles per match 17.84

League average xG this season is 1.65 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

FC Thun vs Servette FC prediction analysis

Review FC Thun vs Servette FC with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Super League.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Super League
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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